The Outlier (IRE)
The Outlier (IRE) is 4 from 25, including a Grade 2 win. The biggest win we hold: the Peter Marsh Handicap Chase at Haydock (Jan 2007). Hasn't won since Jan 2007. Last raced off 113, 24lb below the career-high mark.
- 4–25Wins / Runs
- 16%Strike rate
- 8 (32%)Placed
- −5.13£1 level staken=25 at SP
- 1.17Fair A/E n=25 · 1.02 incl. margin
- 137Highest OR
- 66dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 374 runs since Jan 2008 (71 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 27 | 1 | 3.7% | −5.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 92 | 7 | 7.6% | −1.5 | 0 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 86 | 7 | 8.1% | −1 | 1 from 8 |
| Soft | 90 | 6 | 6.7% | −2.4 | 1 from 4 |
| Heavy | 76 | 13 | 17.1% | +8 | 2 from 6 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 81 | 11 | 13.6% | +4.5 | 1 from 7 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 163 | 12 | 7.4% | −1.7 | 3 from 8 |
| Over 3m | 123 | 11 | 8.9% | −0.2 | 0 from 9 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Shuil A Hocht (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m3f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shuil A Hocht (IRE) | 8 | 2 | 2m–2m3f | — |
| Shuil Mavourneen (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 8 | 1 | 13% | −6.38 |
| Heavy | 6 | 2 | 33% | +9.00 |
| Good | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.75 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Class 4 | 7 | 3 | 43% | +3.87 |
| Class 1 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +4.00 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haydock | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.00 |
| Towcester | 4 | 2 | 50% | +5.25 |
| Newcastle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Folkestone | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.38 |
| Newbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Perth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kelso | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fakenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3m | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 3 | 38% | +8.62 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.75 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Thomas | 12 | 2 | 17% | −7.13 |
| P C O'Neill | 4 | 2 | 50% | +11.00 |
| Alan O'Keeffe | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Aidan Coleman | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jason Maguire | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| J P Elliott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Carberry | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 24 | 4 | 17% | −4.13 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2008 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2007 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +3.00 |
| 2006 | 9 | 3 | 33% | +1.87 |
| 2005 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 21 | 4 | 19% | −1.13 |
| Hurdle | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has The Outlier won?
- The Outlier (IRE) won 4 of 25 archived starts between 2005 and 2009, a strike rate of 16%. Placed 8 times in total (32% of starts).
- Who trained The Outlier?
- The Outlier (IRE) was trained by Gordon Elliott on the most recent run on record, at Perth on 14 May 2009.
- Who is The Outlier's sire?
- The Outlier (IRE) is by Roselier (FR) out of Shuil A Cuig (GB), whose sire is Quayside I.
- What going does The Outlier prefer?
- The Outlier (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is The Outlier's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 113, from the run on 14 May 2009. The highest on record is 137.
- What is The Outlier's sire's record?
- Roselier (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 374 runs since Jan 2008 (71 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are The Outlier's siblings?
- Out of Shuil A Cuig (GB), The Outlier (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Shuil A Hocht (IRE) (2). The wins came over 2m–2m3f. As at Oct 2026.