What is Alan O'Keeffe's strike rate?

Alan O'Keeffe has won 49 of 606 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alan O'Keeffe do best at?

Sedgefield by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Alan O'Keeffe ride most for?

Jennie Candlish, with 471 rides since 2008 — 78% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (10%).

What is Alan O'Keeffe's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 604 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Alan O'Keeffe

606 rides in the lifetime window · 160 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jan 2013 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

49–606

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=606

153 (25%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=604 · 0.85 incl. margin

−28.14

£1 level stake

n=606 at SP · −4.6%

£359k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (54 rides). Rode mostly for Jennie Candlish — 78% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 606 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 8.5% 25% when favourite Jennie Candlish: 10% from 471 LTO winners: 14.8% Rode the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Sedgefield (16.7%, n=30), clear of the rider's 8.1% baseline. It is weakest at Ludlow (2.6% over 38 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.8% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.99), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 3% (n=133, Fair A/E 0.54). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 3.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −105.50 to a £1 stake over 173 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Jennie Candlish supplied 78% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well beyond 3m (14.7%, n=34) and on Heavy going (13.5%, n=52). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Racing Post Plate Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2007, £57,020). The standout partner of the record was Cross Kennon (IRE) — 7 wins from 27 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3%−5.1

n=133 · A/E 0.54 · £1 +83.75

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.8%+6.7

n=54 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −10.90

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.5%+0.4

n=106 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −28.50

When favourite

25%

n=36 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −4.39

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.5%−4.6

n=173 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −105.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.5%+4.4

n=16 · A/E 2.97 · £1 +190.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Sedgefield 16.7% vs 8.1% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 14.8% vs 8.1% · n=54

On first rides for the horse 3% vs 8.1% · n=133

Beyond 3m 14.7% vs 8.1% · n=34

On Heavy going 13.5% vs 8.1% · n=52

At Ludlow 2.6% vs 8.1% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 386 29 7.5% +18.53

Chase 124 11 8.9% −25.75

NH Flat 93 9 9.7% −17.92

Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 226 23 10.2% +160.88

Good to Soft 136 10 7.4% −45.75

Soft 124 6 4.8% −84.67

Good to Firm 65 3 4.6% −40.70

Heavy 52 7 13.5% −14.90

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 82 6 7.3% −44.50

Bangor-on-Dee 46 4 8.7% −8.25

Ludlow 38 1 2.6% −25.00

Sedgefield 30 5 16.7% −3.12

Market Rasen 28 2 7.1% −16.00

Chepstow 25 5 20% +44.00

Cheltenham 25 2 8% −2.50

Southwell 24 2 8.3% −5.50

Worcester 23 0 0% −23.00

Haydock 22 1 4.5% −13.00

Hereford 22 2 9.1% −7.50

Towcester 20 1 5% −11.00

Warwick 19 1 5.3% −13.00

Stratford 17 1 5.9% −11.50

Carlisle 16 0 0% −16.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 289 23 8% −103.07

Class 5 133 11 8.3% −42.90

Class 3 75 6 8% −25.50

Class 6 56 5 8.9% −22.17

Class 1 31 3 9.7% +184.50

Class 2 22 1 4.5% −19.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 41 11 26.8% 1.10 −0.14

2nd–3rd fav 112 20 17.9% 1.14 +1.50

4th–6th fav 182 14 7.7% 1.03 −6.50

7th+ in betting 271 4 1.5% 0.50 −23.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

77.6% completed · 510 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 124 70.2% 5 4 28 0 0

Hurdle 386 80.1% 5 7 59 2 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Cross Kennon (IRE) 27 7 12 14 Dec 12

Osolomio (IRE) 24 3 7 19 Mar 11

Downward Spiral (IRE) 20 2 7 25 Mar 12

Basford Lass (GB) 20 3 8 7 Oct 10

Basford Bob (IRE) 18 2 10 24 Mar 12

French Ties (IRE) 17 4 8 31 May 12

Decent Lord (IRE) 15 1 3 5 Mar 12

Downing Street (IRE) 14 1 3 27 Jun 10

Barafundle (IRE) 13 4 11 29 Dec 12

Dont Tell Sailor (IRE) 13 2 4 19 Dec 12

Lukeys Luck (GB) 12 1 4 19 Dec 12

Princess Rainbow (FR) 12 2 4 15 Mar 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 160 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

771017750644108

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJennie Candlish

78% of all rides
10% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

Jennie Candlish 471 47 10% +86.86

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£876k

Prize money

2005

Best season · 24 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Idole First (IRE) — Racing Post Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Mar 2007 · Class 1

£57,020

Idole First (IRE) — Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Mar 2005 · Class 1

£43,500

Cross Kennon (IRE) — totescoop6 Hurdle (Registered As The Rendlesham Hurdle) (Grade 2) Haydock · Feb 2011 · Class 1

£18,528

Notable horses

Cross Kennon (IRE) French Ties (IRE) Idole First (IRE) Barafundle (IRE) Osolomio (IRE) Downing Street (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Craigsteel (GB) 22.6% · 7–31

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.

Singspiel (IRE) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 12% of 4,376 runs since 2008 (378 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.

Flemensfirth (USA) 26.1% · 6–23

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Tobougg (IRE) 15% · 3–20

Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).

Windsor Castle (GB) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 6.7% of 326 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.9% from 110.

Bob's Return (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,193 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,193 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 9 January 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Jan 13 Doncaster Ebony River (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Pegler Yorkshire Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 6 ran F 7/1

08 Jan 13 Leicester Wake Your Dreams (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Aquafield Training And Event Cover Novices' Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

05 Jan 13 Wincanton Fiendish Flame (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Bathwick Tyres Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 21f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 33/1

29 Dec 12 Doncaster Party Rock (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Park Hill Hospital Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 16/1

29 Dec 12 Doncaster Barafundle (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Bet At bluesq.com Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 24.5f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 3/1F

29 Dec 12 Doncaster Best Excuse (GB)T: Jennie Candlish crownhotel-bawtry.com 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 20 ran PU 66/1

28 Dec 12 Catterick Mecox Bay (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Become Owners With Thoroughbred Racing Club Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 100/1

27 Dec 12 Wetherby Detour Ahead (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Bramham Hall For Conferences & Exhibitions Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 4/1

27 Dec 12 Wetherby Basford Ben (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Irish Experience Package - Saturday 2nd February Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 12 ran 5th 28/1

19 Dec 12 Ludlow Dont Tell Sailor (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Tanners Wines Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Soft · 9 ran PU 14/1

19 Dec 12 Ludlow Lukeys Luck (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Alfa Aggregate Products Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 11/2

16 Dec 12 Carlisle Highland Rain (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Merry Christmas From Carlisle Racecourse Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Heavy · 11 ran 7th 50/1

16 Dec 12 Carlisle Beauboreen (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Watch Racing Uk At Sky 432 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 6/1

15 Dec 12 Doncaster Fiendish Flame (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Download The Betvictor Spincast App Now Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 10/1

14 Dec 12 Cheltenham Cross Kennon (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Citipost Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 24f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 10/1

11 Dec 12 Sedgefield Basford Ben (GB)T: Jennie Candlish SIS Live Maiden Hurdle (John Wade And Collins Seafoods Ltd Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 21f · Soft · 12 ran PU 66/1

09 Dec 12 Warwick Lucky Lukey (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Betfred 'when Both Teams Score' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 10/1

09 Dec 12 Warwick Mecox Bay (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Betfred Still Treble Odds On Lucky15 Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 18 ran 13th 66/1

08 Dec 12 Wetherby Highland Rain (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Bet Totescoop6 Now At Totepool.com Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 20/1

05 Dec 12 Hereford Flame Of Dixie (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Bet365 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan O'Keeffe's strike rate?: Alan O'Keeffe has won 49 of 606 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan O'Keeffe do best at?: Sedgefield by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Alan O'Keeffe ride most for?: Jennie Candlish, with 471 rides since 2008 — 78% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (10%).
What is Alan O'Keeffe's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 604 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.