Horse profile
Top Guy (IRE)
by Court Cave (IRE) out of Matt Wood (IRE) (Woodborough)
13 runs · 12 courses · from Jan 2025
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Newton Abbot & Aintree
Ran 5 days ago · 3rd of 5
Last raced off OR 118
KTB Profile
Typically ridden with patience — held up in 6 of 7 analysed runs — Top Guy (IRE) is 2 from 13, both wins coming at Class 4 level. Last raced off a career-high mark of 118.
Based on 13 archived runs · run-style from 7 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
All wins at Class 4
OR at career high
- 2–13Wins / Runs
- 15.4%Strike rate
- 5 (38.5%)Placed
- −5.50£1 level staken=13 at SP
- 1.36Fair A/E n=13 · 1.14 incl. margin
- 118Highest OR
- 52dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating118At career-high mark
118
95–118
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 154
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 6 | 116A | 95 | 4 · 116 / 113.5 |
| Good | 3 | 154A | 124 | 2 · 154 / 139 |
| Soft | 3 | 112A | 105 | 2 · 112 / 108.5 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 116A | 112 | 5 · 116 / 112 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 105C | 92 | 1 · — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 154A | 139 | 2 · 154 / 139 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 32B | 27 | — |
Of 13 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 13 runs · as at 18 Oct 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs
- Held up 6 (86%) · 0 wins
- Midfield 1 (14%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Court Cave (IRE)
Progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 7,925 runs since Jan 2008 (551 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 233 | 28 | 12% | +1.9 | — |
| Good | 3,022 | 340 | 11.3% | +1.2 | 1 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 1,437 | 160 | 11.1% | +1 | 0 from 7 |
| Soft | 2,226 | 204 | 9.2% | −0.9 | 1 from 3 |
| Heavy | 934 | 64 | 6.9% | −3.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 71 | 3 | 4.2% | −5.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | −5.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 13 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 71 | 1 | 1.4% | −8.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,785 | 168 | 9.4% | −0.7 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2,846 | 294 | 10.3% | +0.2 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,519 | 263 | 10.4% | +0.3 | 1 from 5 |
| Over 3m | 667 | 72 | 10.8% | +0.7 | 1 from 2 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Matt Wood (IRE) (Woodborough)
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them El Rojo Grande (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m4f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (El Rojo Grande (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Rojo Grande (IRE) | 20 | 4 | 2m–2m4f | Class 5 |
| Moyacomb (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Good | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +1.50 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton Abbot | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.50 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Over 3m | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Durrell | 6 | 2 | 33% | +1.50 |
| Harry Skelton | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Charlie Todd | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.00 |
| 2025 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.50 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 12 | 2 | 17% | −4.50 |
| Chase | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 26+176d | Worcester | CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) Settled at the rear - dropped away 4 out when left in third place - tailed off from 3 out and finished a distant third | 3/5 | 29 | 11-10 | 118 | 79C | 106C | Tristan Durrell | 13/2 |
| 19 Apr 26+15d | Plumpton | BetGoodwin Sussex Stayers' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled at the back early - made progress before 3 out then pressed for effort - soon faded finishing sixth | 6/10 | 3 | 10-10 | 118 | 154A | 116A | Tristan Durrell | 10/1 |
| 04 Apr 26+20d | Newton Abbot | South West Rail Solutions Ltd. Handicap Hurdle Settled towards the back early - moving smoothly through the pack - still within range of the front group 3 out - pushed along to share the advantage before 2 out - clear before the last and pulled away for the win | 1/7 | 11-3 | 108 | 124B | 129A | Tristan Durrell | 3/1 | |
| 15 Mar 26+29d | Market Rasen | Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Handicap Hurdle Held up towards the back - made smooth progress into contention approaching 2 out - up to fourth clearing the last - drifted left under pressure on the run-in but stayed on strongly in the closing stages to finish second | 2/6 | 1½ | 11-10 | 106 | 116A | 120B | Tristan Durrell | 7/1 |
| 14 Feb 26+31d | Ascot | Betfair Handicap Hurdle Held up mid-pack - pushed along before 2 out - unable to close approaching last - well held in 10th | 10/18 | ½ | 10-9 | 106 | 116B | 110A | Tristan Durrell | 6/1 |
| 14 Jan 26+39d | Newbury | Wendigo Wins The Brown Advisory Handicap Hurdle Settled with the pack early - crept forward from 8th into contention - urged into effort before 3 out - driven approaching 2 out - moved into second after the last but unable to challenge the winner | 2/17 | 5½ | 10-11 | 103 | 111B | 119A | Harry Skelton | 10/3 |
| 06 Dec 25+22d | Aintree | William Hill Each Way Extra Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled at the back early - moving smoothly and made progress into contention approaching 3 out - asked for effort with work remaining 2 out - fought back to join the front pair after the last - powered clear to score close home | 1/8 | 11-0 | 98 | 112A | 116A | Tristan Durrell | 5/2F | |
| 14 Nov 25+40d | Southwell | Golf And Gallop Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Towards the back early - made smooth progress to sit 3rd at the home turn - urged forward and tracked the front runner from 2 out - stuck on strongly up the run-in to press the winning horse - beaten a short head | 2/8 | nk | 11-12 | 95 | 105C | 115B | Charlie Todd | 14/1 |
| 05 Oct 25+16d | Uttoxeter | QuinnBet Handicap Hurdle Settled around midfield early - pressed for effort and losing touch after 4 out - well beaten at the finish | 12/14 | 21 | 11-12 | 98 | 22C | 89C | Harry Skelton | 18/1 |
| 19 Sep 25+205d | Newton Abbot | Dartmoor Magazine Handicap Hurdle Sat close behind the front two early - dropped away and ran towards the back after the third - toiling before an error three from home - well held at the finish | 5/6 | ½ | 11-10 | 101 | — | 97B | Harry Skelton | 10/3 |
| 26 Feb 25+17d | Wetherby | RacingTV 100% Profits Returned To Racing Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled in the pack early - made progress from 7th - pushed along but unable to close on leader before 3 out - stumbled on landing over last in 4th then continued to the line | 4/5 | ½ | 11-2 | — | 92C | 99B | Harry Skelton | 22/1 |
| 09 Feb 25+16d | Exeter | TrustATrader Approved And Reviewed Trades People EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Held up at the back - clumsy 3rd and driven on 4 out - well behind by 3 out | 5/6 | 36 | 11-2 | — | 72C | 98C | Harry Skelton | 50/1 |
| 24 Jan 25 | Doncaster | Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Held up in midfield towards the outer - pushed along before the last but unable to threaten - dropped away in the closing stages to finish fifth | 5/8 | 5½ | 11-2 | — | 32B | 107A | Harry Skelton | 11/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Top Guy (IRE) won?
- Top Guy (IRE) won 2 of 13 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 15.4%. Placed 5 times in total (38.5% of starts).
- Who trains Top Guy (IRE)?
- Top Guy (IRE) is trained by Dan Skelton, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 12 October 2026.
- Who is Top Guy (IRE)'s sire?
- Top Guy (IRE) is by Court Cave (IRE) out of Matt Wood (IRE), whose sire is Woodborough.
- What going does Top Guy (IRE) prefer?
- Top Guy (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Top Guy (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 118, from the run on 12 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Top Guy (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Court Cave (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 7,925 runs since Jan 2008 (551 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
- Who are Top Guy (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Matt Wood (IRE), Top Guy (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: El Rojo Grande (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 5 (El Rojo Grande (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.