Value At Risk (GB)
Value At Risk (GB) is 8 from 36, including a Grade 2 win. The biggest win we hold: the Keelings Irish Strawberry Hurdle at Fairyhouse (Mar 2016). Hasn't won since Jan 2019.
- 8–36Wins / Runs
- 22.2%Strike rate
- 13 (36.1%)Placed
- −1.87£1 level staken=36 at SP
- 1.21Fair A/E n=36 · 1.06 incl. margin
- 146Highest OR
- 67dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 110
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 130A | 87 | — |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 147B | 83 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 132C | 115 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 16 | 147B | 89.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 110A | 100 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 22 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 21 figures from 22 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since Jan 2008 (1,148 horses).
Strongest on heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 529 | 60 | 11.3% | −1.3 | — |
| Good | 4,490 | 524 | 11.7% | −0.9 | 3 from 15 |
| Good to Soft | 3,049 | 359 | 11.8% | −0.8 | 2 from 9 |
| Soft | 3,758 | 493 | 13.1% | +0.5 | 3 from 11 |
| Heavy | 1,708 | 277 | 16.2% | +3.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 193 | 24 | 12.4% | −0.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 24 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 163 | 18 | 11% | −1.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3,975 | 521 | 13.1% | +0.5 | 2 from 5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4,758 | 593 | 12.5% | −0.1 | 6 from 23 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3,815 | 479 | 12.6% | 0 | 0 from 7 |
| Over 3m | 1,003 | 126 | 12.6% | 0 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Battlecry (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 2m–3m2f; the highest grade won is Grade 2 (Battlecry (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Battlecry (GB) | 50 | 5 | 2m–3m2f | Grade 2 |
| Venceremos (GB) | 10 | 2 | 2m | Class 6 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 15 | 3 | 20% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 11 | 3 | 27% | −2.12 |
| Good to Soft | 9 | 2 | 22% | +2.25 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 11 | 1 | 9% | −5.00 |
| Class 2 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Class 3 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +7.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.38 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aintree | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Newbury | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.62 |
| Cheltenham | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.00 |
| Market Rasen | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ayr | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 2 | 2 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Huntingdon | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Punchestown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Auteuil (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wincanton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fontwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Perth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 23 | 6 | 26% | +5.13 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 2 | 40% | +1.00 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Skelton | 22 | 5 | 23% | −1.87 |
| Bridget Andrews | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Mr R J Kiely | 4 | 2 | 50% | +2.00 |
| William Marshall | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Michel-Ange Mermel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ian Popham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brian O'Connell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 28 | 7 | 25% | +0.13 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Blinkers | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 10 | 1 | 10% | −2.00 |
| 2018 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.00 |
| 2017 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| 2016 | 6 | 2 | 33% | −0.25 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.62 |
| 2013 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 21 | 3 | 14% | −5.00 |
| Hurdle | 10 | 3 | 30% | +2.13 |
| NH Flat | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.25 |
| Flat | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Value At Risk (GB) won?
- Value At Risk (GB) won 8 of 36 archived starts between 2013 and 2019, a strike rate of 22.2%. Placed 13 times in total (36.1% of starts).
- Who trained Value At Risk (GB)?
- Value At Risk (GB) was trained by Marian Falk Weissmeier on the most recent run on record, at Auteuil (FR) on 3 October 2019.
- Who is Value At Risk (GB)'s sire?
- Value At Risk (GB) is by Kayf Tara (GB) out of Miss Orchestra (IRE), whose sire is Orchestra.
- What going does Value At Risk (GB) prefer?
- Value At Risk (GB) has the best record on soft going: 3 wins from 11 starts (27.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Value At Risk (GB)'s official rating?
- Value At Risk (GB)'s highest official rating on record is 146.
- What is Value At Risk (GB)'s sire's record?
- Kayf Tara (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since Jan 2008 (1,148 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
- Who are Value At Risk (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Miss Orchestra (IRE), Value At Risk (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Battlecry (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Grade 2 (Battlecry (GB)). The wins came over 2m–3m2f. As at Oct 2026.