What is William Marshall's strike rate?

William Marshall has won 17 of 219 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does William Marshall ride most for?

Dan Skelton, with 131 rides since 2008 — 60% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (8.4%).

What is William Marshall's Fair A/E?

0.78, from 219 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

William Marshall

219 rides in the lifetime window · 146 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2021 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

17–219

Wins / Runs

7.8%

Strike rate

n=219

56 (26%)

Placed

0.78

Fair A/E

n=219 · 0.66 incl. margin

−118.86

£1 level stake

n=219 at SP · −54.3%

£153k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78). Rode mostly for Dan Skelton — 60% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 219 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Dan Skelton: 8.4% from 131 Claiming: 8.5%

The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.1% (n=49, Fair A/E 0.70). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 7.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −90.11 to a £1 stake over 146 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Dan Skelton supplied 60% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.4%, A/E 0.80). The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (14.7%, n=34) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (13%, n=69). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 3.6% over 56 rides, 4.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.84 across 93 rides (10.8% strike, −47.11 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.5%−0.3

n=146 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −90.11

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.2%+10.4

n=22 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −9.55

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.1%−0.7

n=56 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −43.13

When favourite

29.2%

n=24 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −7.86

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.5%+0.7

n=200 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −99.86

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%−3.7

n=49 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −28.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.8

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 8-14-day break 14.7% vs 7.8% · n=34

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 13% vs 7.8% · n=69

Over 2m5f – 3m 3.6% vs 7.8% · n=56

On Good going 10.8% vs 7.8% · n=93

On Good to Soft going 5% vs 7.8% · n=40

In Chase races 10.4% vs 7.8% · n=48

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 160 12 7.5% −91.36

Chase 48 5 10.4% −16.50

NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 93 10 10.8% −47.11

Soft 59 4 6.8% −28.25

Good to Soft 40 2 5% −19.00

Heavy 21 1 4.8% −18.50

Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 21 1 4.8% −18.38

Warwick 16 0 0% −16.00

Market Rasen 11 2 18.2% −0.75

Doncaster 11 0 0% −11.00

Huntingdon 10 2 20% −5.30

Worcester 10 0 0% −10.00

Hereford 9 1 11.1% +1.00

Cheltenham 9 1 11.1% +3.00

Bangor-on-Dee 8 1 12.5% −4.75

Southwell 8 1 12.5% +1.00

Fakenham 7 0 0% −7.00

Ascot 6 0 0% −6.00

Exeter 6 0 0% −6.00

Wincanton 6 0 0% −6.00

Cartmel 6 1 16.7% −4.43

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 90 7 7.8% −62.23

Class 5 74 7 9.5% −33.63

Class 3 26 3 11.5% +6.00

Class 2 16 0 0% −16.00

Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 27 7 25.9% 0.95 −10.86

2nd–3rd fav 37 5 13.5% 0.80 −4.00

4th–6th fav 70 4 5.7% 0.72 −32.00

7th+ in betting 85 1 1.2% 0.38 −72.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87% completed · 208 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 48 72.9% 2 0 11 0 0

Hurdle 160 91.3% 4 2 7 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Joly Maker (IRE) 6 1 3 25 Jul 21

West To The Bridge (IRE) 6 2 2 14 Mar 20

Just Go For It (GB) 5 1 2 11 Mar 21

Call Me Chris (GB) 4 0 0 2 Feb 20

Cobra De Mai (FR) 4 0 0 25 Jan 20

Northofthewall (IRE) 4 0 3 30 Nov 19

Stowaway Magic (IRE) 4 0 0 13 Apr 19

Tyrrell's Succes (FR) 3 0 0 28 Aug 21

Lets Go Dutchess (GB) 3 0 0 22 Aug 21

Demon D'aunou (FR) 3 0 1 22 Jun 21

Top Beak (IRE) 3 1 2 23 Mar 21

Gregarious (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Feb 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 146 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1331115131310140570

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDan Skelton

60% of all rides
8.4% SR · A/E 0.80

TrainerRWSR£1

Dan Skelton 131 11 8.4% −72.43

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

Archived wins

£153k

Prize money

2019

Best season · 7 wins

Sam Red (FR) — Ryman Stationery Cheltenham Business Club Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Oct 2018 · Class 3

£9,359

Value At Risk (GB) — Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Jan 2019 · Class 3

£7,522

West To The Bridge (IRE) — Watch Racing Tv In Stunning Hd Handicap Hurdle Wetherby · Jan 2020 · Class 3

£6,238

Notable horses

West To The Bridge (IRE) Kereman (IRE) Joly Maker (IRE) Just Go For It (GB) Top Beak (IRE) Sam Red (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Flemensfirth (USA) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,934 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.

Kayf Tara (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,744 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,853 runs since 2008 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Stowaway (GB) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.

Martaline (GB) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,345 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 219 · newest first

The latest 50 of 219 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 October 2017 to 1 September 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Sep 21 Uttoxeter Notnow Seamus (GB)T: D J Jeffreys Sign Up At bresbet.com Novices' Handicap Chase (Div 2)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran PU 12/1

01 Sep 21 Uttoxeter Manintheshadows (IRE)T: Jonjo O'Neill BresBet Bet 30 Get 5 Daily Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 20/1

28 Aug 21 Cartmel Ellaat (GB)T: Noel C Kelly Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 7th 18/5F

28 Aug 21 Cartmel Tyrrell's Succes (FR)T: Noel C Kelly Cengiz Sadik Memorial Handicap Chase (For The Cengiz Sadik Memorial Trophy)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 22/1

28 Aug 21 Cartmel Thimbleweed (GB)T: Noel C Kelly Fitzdares Club Is The Best Club In London Mares' Handicap Hurdle (Go North Mares' Series Qual')Class 4 · 22f · Good · 6 ran 5th 11/1

28 Aug 21 Cartmel Gladiatorial (IRE)T: Noel C Kelly Fitzdares Club Loves Cartmel Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 1st 4/7F

22 Aug 21 Worcester Lets Go Dutchess (GB)T: Mitchell Hunt Neu-Servo Mares' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 7th 50/1

29 Jul 21 Stratford Lithic (IRE)T: Jonjo O'Neill Every Race Live On Racing Tv Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 18/1

28 Jul 21 Perth Pat's Pearl (IRE)T: John C McConnell Visit Racingtv.com Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 28/1

25 Jul 21 Uttoxeter Joly Maker (IRE)T: Jonjo O'Neill Read Kevin Blake On attheraces.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 6th 6/1

12 Jul 21 Newton Abbot Joly Maker (IRE)T: Jonjo O'Neill newtonabbotracing.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 4/1

01 Jul 21 Perth Deealli (IRE)T: Karl Thornton Live Racingtv On Facebook Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/1

27 Jun 21 Cartmel Doune Castle (GB)T: Noel C Kelly Coniston Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 9/4J

27 Jun 21 Cartmel Tyrrell's Succes (FR)T: Noel C Kelly Sedbergh Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 40/1

22 Jun 21 Newton Abbot Demon D'aunou (FR)T: Jonjo O'Neill Racing Partnership TRP Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 3/1J

12 Jun 21 Worcester Lets Go Dutchess (GB)T: Mitchell Hunt Download The Free At The Races App Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good · 15 ran PU 16/1

05 Jun 21 Worcester Hurricane Dylan (IRE)T: John Stimpson Equine And Canine Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23f · Good · 10 ran PU 12/1

30 May 21 Kelso Doune Castle (GB)T: Noel C Kelly Racing Tv Supports Racing Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good · 13 ran 1st 7/1

18 May 21 Huntingdon Joly Maker (IRE)T: Jonjo O'Neill Racing TV Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 1st 5/2F

12 May 21 Worcester Big Data (IRE)T: Mitchell Hunt Racing Welfare Supporting Mental Health Awareness Week Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 15 ran PU 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William Marshall's strike rate?: William Marshall has won 17 of 219 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does William Marshall ride most for?: Dan Skelton, with 131 rides since 2008 — 60% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (8.4%).
What is William Marshall's Fair A/E?: 0.78, from 219 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.