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Trainer profile

Marian Falk Weissmeier

407 runners in the last 5 seasons · 81 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 12 days ago 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2022
25–407
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=407
88 (22%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=403 · 0.73 incl. margin
−124.00
£1 level stake
n=406 at SP · −30.5%
£630k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 407 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Rosario Mangione: 16.1% from 56
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 1.5% (n=66, Fair A/E 0.23). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.50 and −85.30 to a £1 stake over 107 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Rosario Mangione rides 14% of the entries and beats the yard's average (16.1% vs 6.1%, A/E 2.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (11.9%, n=42). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 32 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.8%−3.3
n=107 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −85.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.9%−0.2
n=34 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −17.90
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.1
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.1
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.1
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
23.5%
n=17 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +3.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.5%−4.6
n=66 · A/E 0.23 · £1 −63.10
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Rosario Mangione 16.1% vs 6.1% · n=56
On last-time-out winners 12.9% vs 6.1% · n=31
Off a 8-14-day break 11.9% vs 6.1% · n=42
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 6.1% · n=32
On Heavy going 0% vs 6.1% · n=31
With claiming riders up 1.5% vs 6.1% · n=66
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 59.6% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 401 25 6.2% −118.00
Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 166 11 6.6% −47.80
Good to Soft 97 2 2.1% −73.10
Soft 88 9 10.2% +6.20
Heavy 31 0 0% −30.00
Good 25 3 12% +20.70

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (AW) 133 10 7.5% −31.10
Chantilly 111 9 8.1% +9.60
Longchamp (FR) 68 4 5.9% −18.10
Saint-Cloud (FR) 45 1 2.2% −39.40
Compiegne (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Lyon-La Soie (FR) 7 1 14.3% −3.00
Vittel (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Strasbourg (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Amiens (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Touquet (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Craon (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 4 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Class 1 8 0 0% −7.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 18 4 22.2% 1.15 +2.80
2nd–3rd fav 69 6 8.7% 0.65 −35.10
4th–6th fav 92 7 7.6% 0.93 −23.50
7th+ in betting 227 8 3.5% 1.01 −68.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cogolin (FR)from Mme M Bollack-Badel 28 1 8 23 Oct 26
Major Oak (FR)from L Gadbin 26 4 6 27 Oct 26
Aiguiere D'Argent (FR)from D & P Prod'Homme 22 1 3 14 Sep 25
Saga Timgad (FR)from Mario Baratti 19 1 3 15 Sep 25
Calcutta Cup (FR)from Andrew Balding 19 0 4 5 Apr 25
Claim The Stars (IRE)from Philipp Schock · then B V Van Den Troost 16 2 3 1 Sep 25
Karinas Dream (FR)from Werner Glanz 15 1 4 4 Oct 26
Rosetta Stone (FR)from N Clement 15 2 5 11 Aug 26
Just In Love (GB) 15 0 2 6 Sep 24
Zeolakis (FR)from Henk Grewe 13 2 3 19 Sep 26
Simons King (IRE)from K R Burke · then Joeri Goossens 12 2 3 14 Jun 23
Be My Day (FR)from F Chappet · then D & P Prod'Homme 10 1 3 27 Oct 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 81 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Ferland (2) and Henk Grewe (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Joeri Goossens (3); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
5131131001172933
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRosario Mangione
14% of all rides
16.1% SR · A/E 2.20
RiderRWSR£1
Rosario Mangione 56 9 16.1% +53.10
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
36
Archived wins
£948k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 11 wins
Major Oak (FR) — Hong Kong Jockey Club - Grand Handicap des Sprinters (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2024
£32,609
Be My Day (FR) — Qatar Grand Handicap des Flyers Presente Par RMC (3yo+) (New Course: 2nd Post) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2021
£31,250
Have Dancer (FR) — Qatar Prix de la Place de l'Etoile Presente par RMC (Handicap) (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2022
£29,412
Notable horses
Major Oak (FR) Have Dancer (FR) Be My Day (FR) Claim The Stars (IRE) Rosetta Stone (FR) Zeolakis (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dabirsim (FR) 4.3% · 2–47
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,170 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 257. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.7% from 146.
Excelebration (IRE) 4.9% · 2–41
Progeny have won 9% of 3,606 runs since 2016 (244 horses).
Goken (FR) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,110 runs since 2020 (248 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15% from 200.
Birchwood (IRE) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 4.8% of 975 runs since 2021 (133 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.6% from 367.
Territories (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,640 runs since 2020 (350 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.7% from 541.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 585 · newest first

The latest 50 of 585 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2018 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Pajero (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Des Socioprofessionnels (Prix Du Macaron)8f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 11/2
27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Major Oak (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix D'utah Beach6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 14th 33/1
23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Gwo Ka (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix Des Pentes De La Croix-rousseClass 4 · 16f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 11/4F
23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Carrera (FR)J: Theo Le Graet Prix Des Juniors12f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 16/1
23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Maranello (FR)J: Pierre Le Digabel Prix Des Juniors12f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 11/2
23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Cogolin (FR)J: A Ferland Prix De La RoseraieClass 4 · 9f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 11/2
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Cogolin (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix Agriteam (Prix Richard Hartley)Class 3 · 10f · Heavy · 15 ran 5th 12/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Karinas Dream (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix Les Entrepreneurs - Cpme Du Bas-rhin (Prix De La Moder)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 11 ran 9th 16/1
02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Gwo Ka (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix Des Jeunes (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 3/1
02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Maranello (FR)J: Marie Velon Prix Yumpal10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 11/2
02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Pajero (FR)J: Marie Velon Prix De Luneau9f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 11/4
27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Mon Schatzi (FR)J: Luca Carboni Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'ocean Equihen-plage (Prix Edouard Acker)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 11/1
27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) El Vegas (IRE)J: Rosario Mangione Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'union Moreuil (Prix Des Jardins Flottants)8f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 11/2
27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Wilela (GER)J: Luca Carboni Px Du Pdv Pmu Le Chalet Les Attaques (62) (Px Du Stade De La Licorne)11f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 12/1
19 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Zeolakis (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Du Roi Des ManuscritsClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 12/1
19 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Major Oak (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix Du Cabinet Des LivresClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 10th 16/1
13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Cogolin (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix Alphonse Bechtold10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 10/1
13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Gwo Ka (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix Maxi-flash (Prix Aquarelliste)15f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 4th 28/1
09 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Miaimaou (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix De LannoyClass 4 · 12f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 5/1
09 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Zeolakis (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix D'hazebrouckClass 4 · 5.5f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Marian Falk Weissmeier's strike rate?
Marian Falk Weissmeier has won 25 of 407 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Marian Falk Weissmeier do best at?
Chantilly by strike rate: 9 wins from 111 runners (8.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Marian Falk Weissmeier?
Rosario Mangione, with 56 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (16.1%).
Is Marian Falk Weissmeier in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Marian Falk Weissmeier's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 403 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).