What is Adam Leahy's strike rate?

Adam Leahy has won 2 of 52 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

What is Adam Leahy's Fair A/E?

1.29, from 52 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Adam Leahy

52 rides in the last 5 seasons · 31 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 193 days ago 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

2–52

Wins / Runs

3.8%

Strike rate

n=52

6 (12%)

Placed

1.29

Fair A/E

n=52 · 1.04 incl. margin

−29.50

£1 level stake

n=52 at SP · −56.7%

£21,356

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

0%−3.8

n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

50%+46.2

n=2 · A/E 2.38 · £1 +3.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.3%+4.5

n=12 · A/E 4.18 · £1 +5.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

3.8%+0.0

n=52 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −29.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.2%−0.6

n=31 · A/E 2.24 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With John Joseph Hanlon 0% vs 3.8% · n=36

On first rides for the horse 0% vs 3.8% · n=31

When claiming 3.8% vs 3.8% · n=52 · A/E 1.29

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 44 2 4.5% −21.50

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 20 0 0% −20.00

Good 12 0 0% −12.00

Heavy 11 0 0% −11.00

Good to Soft 9 2 22.2% +13.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 9 0 0% −9.00

Cork 5 0 0% −5.00

Clonmel 5 1 20% +0.50

Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00

Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00

Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00

Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00

Naas 3 1 33.3% +14.00

Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00

Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00

Down Royal 2 0 0% −2.00

Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00

Ballinrobe 1 0 0% −1.00

Downpatrick 1 0 0% −1.00

Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00

2nd–3rd fav 4 1 25% 1.74 +1.50

4th–6th fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00

7th+ in betting 41 1 2.4% 2.17 −24.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88.6% completed · 44 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Hurdle 44 88.6% 0 0 5 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Back To Cali (IRE) 8 0 2 6 Apr 26

Party President (IRE) 6 2 3 9 Jan 26

Cornaroya Rocco (IRE) 3 0 0 20 Apr 26

Portnacoo (IRE) 2 0 0 18 Feb 26

Beara Beauty (IRE) 2 0 0 15 Dec 25

Kofino (FR) 2 0 0 2 Dec 25

Mount Hotham (IRE) 2 0 0 25 Nov 25

Ballinagaine Girl (IRE) 2 0 0 8 Nov 25

Keep It Cool (IRE) 2 0 0 14 Aug 25

Hey Driver (IRE) 2 0 0 5 Aug 24

Victoria Kesia (IRE) 1 0 0 4 May 26

Roxboro River (IRE) 1 0 0 14 Apr 26

All 31 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

00·1800000000

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn Joseph Hanlon

69% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00

TrainerRWSR£1

John Joseph Hanlon 36 0 0% −36.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

£23,451

Prize money

2025

Best season · 2 wins

Party President (IRE) — Thank You To Dr. John Downey Handicap Hurdle Clonmel · Apr 2025

£6,785

Party President (IRE) — Franco Hughes Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Naas · Apr 2025

£5,900

Notable horses

Party President (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Califet (FR) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,814 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Berkshire (IRE) 33.3% · 2–6

Progeny have won 11.5% of 529 runs since 2022 (79 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 15.6% from 141. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.8% from 183.

Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,206 runs since 2010 (927 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Affinisea (IRE) 0% · 0–2

Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,305 runs since 2022 (209 horses).

Australia (GB) 0% · 0–2

Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,683 runs since 2018 (569 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Balko (FR) 0% · 0–2

Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,667 runs since 2011 (297 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 63 · newest first

The latest 50 of 63 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2020 to 4 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 May 26 Down Royal Victoria Kesia (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Ballygowan Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 19 ran 16th 200/1

20 Apr 26 Tramore Cornaroya Rocco (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 5th 80/1

14 Apr 26 Clonmel Roxboro River (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Killusty Handicap Hurdle23f · Yielding · 15 ran 11th 50/1

10 Apr 26 Wexford Cornaroya Rocco (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Wexfordwalkingtrails.ie (C & G) Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 6th 150/1

06 Apr 26 Cork Back To Cali (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Finbarr Quaid Electrical Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Yielding · 20 ran 3rd 10/1

26 Feb 26 Clonmel Back To Cali (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Cloneen Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)16.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 4th 9/1

18 Feb 26 Punchestown Portnacoo (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Watch At SimonNottRacing On YouTube Handicap Hurdle25f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 10/1

10 Feb 26 Limerick Teescomponentsyess (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Munster Suite At Limerick Handicap Hurdle (0-100)21f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 50/1

26 Jan 26 Punchestown Banphrionsa Alainn (IRE)T: Anthony Mullins Matchbook 50:50 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 125/1

22 Jan 26 Gowran Park Portnacoo (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 9th 80/1

15 Jan 26 Fairyhouse Back To Cali (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)20f · Soft · 15 ran 5th 10/1

09 Jan 26 Naas Party President (IRE)T: Anthony Mullins Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle19f · Yielding · 11 ran 9th 13/2

26 Dec 25 Down Royal Back To Cali (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Yielding · 20 ran 3rd 12/1

15 Dec 25 Naas Beara Beauty (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon BAR 1 Casino Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran PU 150/1

13 Dec 25 Fairyhouse Cornaroya Rocco (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Fairyhouse Christmas Party Maiden Hurdle24f · Soft · 11 ran PU 300/1

02 Dec 25 Clonmel Kofino (FR)T: John Joseph Hanlon Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 6th 125/1

25 Nov 25 Tramore Mount Hotham (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon 2026 Annual Badge At Tramore Racecourse Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 14 ran 12th 250/1

18 Nov 25 Limerick Back To Cali (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Limerick Races On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Heavy · 14 ran 4th 25/1

13 Nov 25 Punchestown Kofino (FR)T: John Joseph Hanlon Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 5th 300/1

08 Nov 25 Gowran Park Ballinagaine Girl (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Proficient Engineering Irish EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 20 ran 18th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adam Leahy's strike rate?: Adam Leahy has won 2 of 52 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Adam Leahy's Fair A/E?: 1.29, from 52 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.