James Andrew Fahey
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 6.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.74 and +41.33 to a £1 stake over 108 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Kevin Sexton rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (12.2%, n=49) and off a 61-180-day break (10.3%, n=58). The market has also underrated the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 1.41 across 208 runners (8.7% strike, +63.66 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 34 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.58 across 50 runners (2% strike, −29.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Co-Op Superstores Handicap Chase at Cork (Oct 2023, £26,550).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 491 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 491 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2019 to 13 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is James Andrew Fahey's strike rate?
- James Andrew Fahey has won 22 of 377 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does James Andrew Fahey do best at?
- Sligo by strike rate: 4 wins from 44 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for James Andrew Fahey?
- Kevin Sexton, with 57 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7%).
- Is James Andrew Fahey in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is James Andrew Fahey's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 377 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.