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Trainer profile

James Andrew Fahey

377 runners in the last 5 seasons · 60 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 8 days ago 91% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
22–377
Wins / Runs
5.8%
Strike rate
n=377
80 (21%)
Placed
1.05
n=377 · 0.85 incl. margin
−89.44
£1 level stake
n=377 at SP · −23.7%
£332k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05).

Deterministic profile computed from 377 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.5% Kevin Sexton: 7% from 57 Claiming riders: 5.9%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 6.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.74 and +41.33 to a £1 stake over 108 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Kevin Sexton rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (12.2%, n=49) and off a 61-180-day break (10.3%, n=58). The market has also underrated the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 1.41 across 208 runners (8.7% strike, +63.66 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 34 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.58 across 50 runners (2% strike, −29.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Co-Op Superstores Handicap Chase at Cork (Oct 2023, £26,550).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.5%+0.7
n=108 · A/E 1.74 · £1 +41.33
New recruits · first run for the yard
5%−0.8
n=20 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −15.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.8
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
15.8%+10.0
n=19 · A/E 4.09 · £1 +58.83
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
18.2%
n=11 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −7.60
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.9%+0.1
n=236 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −37.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
11.8%+6.0
n=17 · A/E 3.05 · £1 −0.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 12.2% vs 5.8% · n=49
In Flat races 0% vs 5.8% · n=34
Off a 61-180-day break 10.3% vs 5.8% · n=58
Off a 15-30-day break 9.3% vs 5.8% · n=108
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 8.7% vs 5.8% · n=208
Off a break of 180+ days 2% vs 5.8% · n=50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 242 13 5.4% −52.27
NH Flat 52 3 5.8% −0.50
Chase 49 6 12.2% −2.67
Flat 34 0 0% −34.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 146 6 4.1% −101.27
Soft 116 9 7.8% +41.50
Good to Soft 77 6 7.8% −2.67
Heavy 37 1 2.7% −26.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sligo 44 4 9.1% −13.00
Punchestown 33 2 6.1% +49.00
Downpatrick 32 2 6.3% −9.43
Limerick 27 2 7.4% −13.67
Thurles 25 2 8% −8.50
Kilbeggan 22 4 18.2% +5.33
Clonmel 21 0 0% −21.00
Ballinrobe 20 1 5% −18.17
Fairyhouse 20 1 5% −11.50
Listowel 17 0 0% −17.00
Tramore 16 0 0% −16.00
Wexford 16 1 6.3% +18.00
Cork 15 1 6.7% −7.50
Roscommon 12 1 8.3% +22.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 17 2 11.8% −0.50
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 2 15.4% 0.59 −9.60
2nd–3rd fav 45 9 20% 1.45 +3.66
4th–6th fav 93 7 7.5% 1.26 +46.50
7th+ in betting 226 4 1.8% 0.70 −130.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.9% completed · 291 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 49 83.7% 0 1 7 0 0
Hurdle 242 85.1% 4 3 28 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Angelsworknovrtime (IRE) 30 1 6 13 Oct 26
Typical Thomas (IRE) 27 3 7 11 Oct 26
Vroomvroomboo (IRE) 19 0 3 9 Oct 26
Demanding Gerry (IRE) 18 0 6 1 Oct 26
Dancing Jeremy (IRE)from Ian O'Connor 18 4 10 4 Apr 26
Derby De Thaix (FR)from Thomas Cooper 18 0 4 29 Sep 25
Westernersunrise (IRE) 15 1 5 31 Mar 26
Hazelhatch Lady (IRE) 15 4 4 28 Nov 24
Iamagetaway (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 10 1 2 15 Oct 25
Mighty Soldier (IRE) 9 0 1 22 Jul 25
All 60 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ian O'Connor (4); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Aidan Anthony Howard (4) and Gordon Elliott (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
025002311721005
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKevin Sexton
15% of all rides
7% SR · A/E 1.04
RiderRWSR£1
Kevin Sexton 57 4 7% −26.84
Miss H Heffernan 36 1 2.8% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
25
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£384k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 7 wins
Typical Thomas (IRE) — Co-Op Superstores Handicap Chase (Listed) Cork · Oct 2023 · Listed
£26,550
Dancing Jeremy (IRE) — Campion Insurance Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase (0-150) (Listed) Limerick · Dec 2024 · Listed
£26,550
Dancing Jeremy (IRE) — Download The BetVictor App Handicap Hurdle Punchestown · Oct 2023
£9,735

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 6.3% · 3–48
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Sageburg (IRE) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 10% of 3,472 runs since 2008 (414 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.4% from 293. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.3% from 353.
Westerner (GB) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Mahler (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Coastal Path (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 12.8% of 2,204 runs since 2008 (247 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.9% from 498. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.1% from 495.
Jeremy (USA) 22.2% · 4–18
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 491 · newest first

The latest 50 of 491 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2019 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Andrew Fahey's strike rate?
James Andrew Fahey has won 22 of 377 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Andrew Fahey do best at?
Sligo by strike rate: 4 wins from 44 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Andrew Fahey?
Kevin Sexton, with 57 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7%).
Is James Andrew Fahey in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Andrew Fahey's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 377 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).