What is Adam Pogson's strike rate?

Adam Pogson has won 72 of 983 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Adam Pogson do best at?

Leicester by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 rides (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Adam Pogson ride most for?

Charles Pogson, with 734 rides since 2008 — 75% of the total. That pairing has won 53 (7.2%).

What is Adam Pogson's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 980 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Adam Pogson

983 rides in the lifetime window · 166 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2018 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

72–983

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=983

231 (24%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=980 · 0.81 incl. margin

−373.30

£1 level stake

n=983 at SP · −38.0%

£537k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (77 rides). Rode mostly for Charles Pogson — 75% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 983 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Apr 37.8% when favourite Charles Pogson: 7.2% from 734 LTO winners: 14.3% Rode the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Leicester (14.3%, n=35), clear of the rider's 7.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.3% (n=77, Fair A/E 1.04), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.7% (n=187, Fair A/E 0.45). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −82.00 to a £1 stake over 148 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Charles Pogson supplied 75% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.2%, A/E 0.87). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (13.9%, n=36). The standout partner of the record was Cusheen Bridge (IRE) — 7 wins from 37 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.4%−3.9

n=148 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −82.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.3%+7.0

n=77 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −24.72

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.7%−4.6

n=187 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −158.62

When favourite

37.8%

n=45 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +4.17

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.3%+0.0

n=371 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −140.64

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.5%−2.8

n=179 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −9.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.3

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Caroline Bailey 18.7% vs 7.3% · n=91

On last-time-out winners 14.3% vs 7.3% · n=77

With headgear back on 0% vs 7.3% · n=39

With Mandy Rowland 0% vs 7.3% · n=31

At Leicester 14.3% vs 7.3% · n=35

Off a 0-7-day break 13.9% vs 7.3% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 574 37 6.4% −225.56

Chase 350 33 9.4% −109.74

NH Flat 59 2 3.4% −38.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 453 31 6.8% −186.94

Good to Soft 182 12 6.6% −74.14

Soft 172 18 10.5% −27.50

Good to Firm 112 7 6.3% −44.00

Heavy 56 4 7.1% −32.72

Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell 178 12 6.7% −61.00

Market Rasen 164 16 9.8% −65.19

Uttoxeter 138 6 4.3% −70.67

Huntingdon 59 7 11.9% −18.47

Worcester 57 4 7% −13.00

Doncaster 56 2 3.6% −22.00

Fakenham 55 6 10.9% −31.00

Towcester 45 3 6.7% −7.00

Wetherby 40 4 10% +8.25

Leicester 35 5 14.3% −15.05

Bangor-on-Dee 24 2 8.3% −7.50

Stratford 20 0 0% −20.00

Sedgefield 17 1 5.9% −6.00

Warwick 11 1 9.1% +23.00

Aintree 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 519 41 7.9% −227.29

Class 5 279 20 7.2% −99.56

Class 3 114 8 7% −25.45

Class 6 44 1 2.3% −40.00

Class 1 14 0 0% −14.00

Class 2 13 2 15.4% +33.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 57 21 36.8% 1.31 +6.75

2nd–3rd fav 153 16 10.5% 0.68 −73.55

4th–6th fav 343 22 6.4% 0.91 −149.50

7th+ in betting 430 13 3% 1.00 −157.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85% completed · 924 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 350 83.1% 9 10 38 0 2

Hurdle 574 86.1% 8 8 62 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Noble Witness (IRE) 45 4 12 6 Jul 15

Hopeand (GB) 42 3 8 2 Jun 15

Alfloramoor (GB) 39 2 10 3 Jun 12

Cusheen Bridge (IRE) 37 7 14 4 Jul 18

Kayfton Pete (GB) 35 3 13 12 Jul 16

Mondo Cane (IRE) 30 3 11 15 May 18

Minella Forfitness (IRE) 28 2 8 1 Sep 17

Moidore (GB) 26 2 7 28 Jan 18

Ravenscar (GB) 26 0 4 15 Mar 11

Inside Knowledge (USA) 22 1 2 4 Mar 15

Ballycamp (IRE) 21 0 8 18 Aug 18

Morocchius (USA) 21 0 3 19 Oct 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 166 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

513191179247547

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardCharles Pogson

75% of all rides
7.2% SR · A/E 0.87

TrainerRWSR£1

Charles Pogson 734 53 7.2% −309.75

Caroline Bailey 91 17 18.7% +70.45

Mandy Rowland 31 0 0% −31.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

100

Archived wins

£713k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 11 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Minella Forfitness (IRE) — Alfa Aggregate Product Handicap Chase Bangor-on-Dee · Mar 2015 · Class 3

£16,245

Oscardeal (IRE) — Book Your Tickets On Line At Southwell-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Hurdle Southwell · Feb 2009 · Class 2

£13,941

Seymour Weld (GB) — Cheltenham Racing Ltd Novices' Chase Cheltenham · Apr 2009 · Class 2

£13,636

Notable horses

Cusheen Bridge (IRE) Seymour Weld (GB) Lord Baskerville (GB) Global Dream (GB) Noble Witness (IRE) Bronson F'sure (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 8.3% · 6–72

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Witness Box (USA) 10.7% · 6–56

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.

Alflora (IRE) 5.9% · 3–51

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 16% · 8–50

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Westerner (GB) 8.5% · 4–47

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,858 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

King's Theatre (IRE) 6.7% · 3–45

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,337 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,337 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 19 August 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Aug 18 Southwell Shady Oaks (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Porsche Centre Nottingham Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 15.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 14/1

19 Aug 18 Southwell Overtoujay (GB)T: Charles Pogson Coopers Marquees Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 5/1

18 Aug 18 Market Rasen Ballycamp (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Jane Clugston Challenge Cup Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 6/1

21 Jul 18 Market Rasen Ballycamp (IRE)T: Charles Pogson 188bet Casino Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 10/1

15 Jul 18 Southwell West To Crossgales (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Mintbet.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 6th 11/2

15 Jul 18 Southwell Shady Oaks (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Mintbet.com Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 15.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 20/1

08 Jul 18 Market Rasen Overtoujay (GB)T: Charles Pogson Manny Bernstein Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 13 ran 5th 6/1

04 Jul 18 Worcester Cusheen Bridge (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Arctic Spas Worcester Grand Annual Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 23f · Good · 14 ran 9th 20/1

25 Jun 18 Southwell West To Crossgales (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Horse Racing Betting Odds At bettingodds.com Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 5th 13/2

25 Jun 18 Southwell Ballycamp (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Betting Offers At bettingodds.com Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 6/1

24 Jun 18 Worcester Overtoujay (GB)T: Charles Pogson Bet toteplacepot At totesport.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 9/1

06 Jun 18 Uttoxeter Bridey's Lettuce (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Andrew Thornton Congratulations On Your Retirement Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 33/1

03 Jun 18 Fakenham Ballycamp (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Wordingham Plant Hire Limited Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 6/1

03 Jun 18 Fakenham West To Crossgales (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Pedlars Hall Cafe Double Bubble Breakfast Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 5/1

01 Jun 18 Market Rasen Overtoujay (GB)T: Charles Pogson Lord Bradford Of Drayton Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 9/4F

28 May 18 Huntingdon Bridey's Lettuce (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Best Odds Guaranteed At 188bet Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran PU 20/1

23 May 18 Southwell West To Crossgales (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Betting Odds At bettingodds.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 2/1F

20 May 18 Market Rasen Cusheen Bridge (IRE)T: Charles Pogson Get Promo Codes At onlinebettingcodes.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 4th 10/3

20 May 18 Market Rasen New Kid In Town (IRE)T: Peter Winks B Eyre & Son Ltd Ford Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 50/1

15 May 18 Southwell Mondo Cane (IRE)T: Charles Pogson N & L Franklin Developments Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adam Pogson's strike rate?: Adam Pogson has won 72 of 983 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Adam Pogson do best at?: Leicester by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 rides (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Adam Pogson ride most for?: Charles Pogson, with 734 rides since 2008 — 75% of the total. That pairing has won 53 (7.2%).
What is Adam Pogson's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 980 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.