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Trainer profile

John Holt

816 runners in the lifetime window · 99 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2020
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
38–816
Wins / Runs
4.7%
Strike rate
n=816
140 (17%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=809 · 0.74 incl. margin
−296.75
£1 level stake
n=816 at SP · −36.4%
£347k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 60 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 816 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Royston Ffrench: 5.3% from 95
The read

The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (12.5%, n=32), clear of the yard's 4.7% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 0.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.21 and −12.00 to a £1 stake over 138 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Royston Ffrench rode 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 0.90). The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (17.9%, n=39) and on Soft going (10.5%, n=95). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 96 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Mata Hari Blue (GB) — 5 wins from 42 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0.7%−4.0
n=138 · A/E 0.21 · £1 −12.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.7
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
Debutants · first career start
1.6%−3.1
n=62 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.4%−1.3
n=29 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −24.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.7
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
31.3%
n=16 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3%−1.7
n=201 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −145.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.7
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 17.9% vs 4.7% · n=39
On last-time-out winners 15.4% vs 4.7% · n=39
With C&D winners 12.1% vs 4.7% · n=66
At Kempton (AW) 12.5% vs 4.7% · n=32
On Soft going 10.5% vs 4.7% · n=95
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 4.7% · n=96
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 660 34 5.2% −172.25
Hurdle 118 2 1.7% −97.00
NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00
Chase 15 2 13.3% −4.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 257 11 4.3% −171.75
Good 170 4 2.4% −43.00
Good to Firm 160 8 5% −98.25
Good to Soft 104 5 4.8% −50.50
Soft 95 10 10.5% +96.75
Heavy 28 0 0% −28.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 121 4 3.3% −85.00
Leicester 64 1 1.6% −59.50
Southwell (AW) 59 2 3.4% −49.25
Catterick 41 3 7.3% −21.25
Nottingham 41 4 9.8% +177.00
Kempton (AW) 32 4 12.5% +2.50
Redcar 29 2 6.9% −7.00
Uttoxeter 28 2 7.1% −13.00
Chelmsford (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00
Warwick 22 0 0% −22.00
Doncaster 21 0 0% −21.00
Southwell 20 0 0% −20.00
Haydock 20 5 25% +8.00
Lingfield (AW) 17 1 5.9% −12.00
Beverley 17 0 0% −17.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 343 14 4.1% −161.25
Class 5 298 14 4.7% −31.00
Class 4 123 5 4.1% −89.00
Class 3 23 2 8.7% −9.50
Class 7 11 1 9.1% −1.00
Class 2 10 2 20% +3.00
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 8 34.8% 1.68 +12.00
2nd–3rd fav 88 13 14.8% 1.04 −6.25
4th–6th fav 203 8 3.9% 0.62 −120.50
7th+ in betting 502 9 1.8% 0.70 −182.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Goadby (GB) 51 3 12 27 Dec 17
Mata Hari Blue (GB)then Michael Appleby 42 5 20 4 Jul 12
Barnsdale (GB)then Steph Hollinshead 32 1 3 22 Feb 18
The Graig (GB)from Clive Drew 32 2 6 6 Jan 11
Glyder (GB) 31 1 8 16 Oct 19
Number Theory (GB) 24 4 14 24 Aug 13
Emperatriz (GB) 23 2 9 15 Aug 14
Mini's Destination (GB) 22 2 7 5 Sep 14
Iceaxe (GB) 21 2 5 8 Nov 17
El Potro (GB)from Ed McMahon 20 0 1 22 Feb 10
Mocead Cappall (GB) 18 0 2 11 Jan 20
Nomadic Warrior (GB)from John Best · then Diana Grissell 18 2 6 2 Jan 12
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 99 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Clive Drew (2) and Ed McMahon (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Appleby (4) and Steph Hollinshead (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
4675655432210
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRoyston Ffrench
12% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 0.90
RiderRWSR£1
Royston Ffrench 95 5 5.3% +75.75
Jerry O'Dwyer 61 4 6.6% +7.50
Megan Ellingworth 42 1 2.4% −32.00
Russ Kennemore 41 4 9.8% −16.00
Chris Honour 38 0 0% −38.00
Charlie Poste 32 0 0% −32.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
48
Archived wins
£393k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 8 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Number Theory (GB) — bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Haydock · Jul 2012 · Class 2
£62,250
Skylla (GB) — John And Alison Fitzgibbons Anniversary Nursery Handicap Haydock · Aug 2009 · Class 2
£11,333
Number Theory (GB) — Trust Inns Publicans Handicap Haydock · Jun 2012 · Class 3
£6,663
Notable horses
Mata Hari Blue (GB) Number Theory (GB) Goadby (GB) Padre Nostro (IRE) Shrine Mountain (USA) Bosstime (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kodiac (GB) 5.5% · 3–55
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,541 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Stimulation (IRE) 5.7% · 3–53
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,723 runs since 2008 (100 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.4% from 368. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.4% from 145.
Monsieur Bond (IRE) 11.9% · 5–42
Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,979 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Byron (GB) 0% · 0–39
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,248 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 172.
Forzando (GB) 0% · 0–35
Progeny have won 3.7% of 481 runs since 2008 (49 horses).
Camacho (GB) 2.9% · 1–34
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,320 runs since 2008 (596 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,008 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,008 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 February 2005 to 30 December 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Dec 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Monica (GB)J: William Cox Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 22/1
27 Nov 20 Southwell (AW) Herring Bay (GB)J: William Cox Bombardier British-Hopped Amber Beer Selling HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 200/1
22 Nov 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Monica (GB)J: William Cox Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 100/1
09 Nov 20 Southwell (AW) Mistry Girl (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 250/1
22 Oct 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Herring Bay (GB)J: William Cox EBF Fillies' Novice StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 300/1
19 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Mistry Girl (GB)J: William Cox Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 200/1
06 Oct 20 Leicester Mistry Girl (GB)J: William Cox British EBF Dormouse Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 80/1
05 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Herring Bay (GB)J: Liam Keniry Watch Free Race Replays On atheraces.com Novice StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 125/1
09 Sep 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Tigerinmytank (GB)J: Royston Ffrench Whiston Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 14/1
07 Sep 20 Leicester Lady Monica (GB)J: Kaia Ingolfsland Bodie Hodges Foundation Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 22/1
25 Aug 20 Catterick White Face (IRE)J: Royston Ffrench Hipswell Fillies' Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 10 ran 10th 125/1
09 Aug 20 Windsor Tigerinmytank (GB)J: Luke Morris Watch Free Race Replays On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 9th 28/1
09 Aug 20 Windsor Lady Monica (GB)J: Liam Keniry Watch Free Race Replays On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 4th 18/1
22 Jul 20 Catterick Lady Monica (GB)J: Royston Ffrench Sky Bet Most Extra Places HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 10th 33/1
14 Jul 20 Ripon Tigerinmytank (GB)J: Royston Ffrench Copt Hewick HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 25/1
04 Jul 20 Haydock Lady Monica (GB)J: Connor Beasley bet365 HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 16/1
02 Jul 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Tigerinmytank (GB)J: Royston Ffrench Sky Sports Racing Virgin 535 Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 50/1
17 Mar 20 Wetherby Vicky Cristina (IRE)J: Lewis Stones Enjoy The Craic Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 33/1
04 Mar 20 Catterick Vicky Cristina (IRE)J: Lewis Stones La Fille Rouge Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 100/1
20 Feb 20 Huntingdon Vicky Cristina (IRE)J: Lewis Stones Betway Novices' Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Holt's strike rate?
John Holt has won 38 of 816 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Holt do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 32 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Holt?
Royston Ffrench, with 95 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.3%).
What is John Holt's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 809 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).