What is Alan Casey's strike rate?

Alan Casey has won 3 of 94 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alan Casey do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 rides (6.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Alan Casey ride most for?

Denis Gerard Hogan, with 55 rides since 2022 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.5%).

Is Alan Casey in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Alan Casey's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 93 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Alan Casey

94 rides in the last 5 seasons · 47 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 5 days ago 98% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)

from 1 Jan 2022

3–94

Wins / Runs

3.2%

Strike rate

n=94

6 (6%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=93 · 0.78 incl. margin

−70.17

£1 level stake

n=94 at SP · −74.6%

£31,709

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB at a glance Denis Gerard Hogan: 5.5% from 55 First rides: 4.3%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.3%+1.1

n=47 · A/E 1.54 · £1 −27.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20%+16.8

n=5 · A/E 1.91 · £1 +1.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−3.2

n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

3.2%+0.0

n=94 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −70.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.2%−1.0

n=45 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −32.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Dundalk (AW) 6.5% vs 3.2% · n=31

On Standard (AW) going 6.5% vs 3.2% · n=31

With Denis Gerard Hogan 5.5% vs 3.2% · n=55

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 92 3 3.3% −68.17

Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 31 2 6.5% −20.17

Good 22 0 0% −22.00

Soft 14 0 0% −14.00

Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00

Heavy 9 0 0% −9.00

Good to Firm 5 1 20% +8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 31 2 6.5% −20.17

Gowran Park 9 1 11.1% +4.00

Curragh 9 0 0% −9.00

Cork 6 0 0% −6.00

Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00

Naas 4 0 0% −4.00

Navan 4 0 0% −4.00

Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00

Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00

Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00

Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00

Ballinrobe 2 0 0% −2.00

Galway 2 0 0% −2.00

Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00

Punchestown 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1 1 100% 5.37 +3.33

2nd–3rd fav 3 1 33.3% 3.42 +3.50

4th–6th fav 16 0 0% 0.00 −16.00

7th+ in betting 74 1 1.4% 0.68 −61.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Reponse Finale (IRE) 15 0 2 5 Jun 26

Sporting Hero (GB) 7 2 3 27 Feb 26

Piatra Neamt (IRE) 4 0 0 18 May 26

Nezeeh (IRE) 4 0 0 25 Apr 25

Polemon (GB) 4 1 1 20 Sep 24

Prince Andorra (IRE) 3 0 0 15 Oct 26

Marbush (GB) 3 0 0 12 Nov 25

Deluca Chop (FR) 3 0 0 5 Nov 25

Sporting Aclaim (GB) 3 0 0 31 Oct 25

Mercurial (IRE) 3 0 0 1 Jun 25

Imperial Tune (IRE) 2 0 0 15 Jun 26

Liberate (GB) 2 0 0 8 May 26

All 47 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

017000001000130

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDenis Gerard Hogan

59% of all rides
5.5% SR · A/E 1.35

TrainerRWSR£1

Denis Gerard Hogan 55 3 5.5% −31.17

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→

Archived wins

£31,709

Prize money

2025

Best season · 2 wins

Sporting Hero (GB) — Racing TV Club Day Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Feb 2025

£9,145

Polemon (GB) — BOYLESPORTS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap (47-65) Gowran Park · Aug 2024

£6,195

Sporting Hero (GB) — Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2025

£5,900

Notable horses

Sporting Hero (GB) Polemon (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Inns Of Court (IRE) 0% · 0–15

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,217 runs since 2008 (230 horses).

Bobby's Kitten (USA) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 8% of 1,666 runs since 2008 (144 horses).

Ardad (IRE) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,505 runs since 2008 (350 horses).

Frankel (GB) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 18% of 7,495 runs since 2008 (873 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.3% from 324. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 267.

New Bay (GB) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,939 runs since 2008 (420 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

Profitable (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,410 runs since 2008 (356 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 94 · newest first

The latest 50 of 94 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 June 2024 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Prince Andorra (IRE)T: Ms Claire O'Connell October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap5f · Soft · 17 ran 11th 50/1

25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Prince Andorra (IRE)T: Ms Claire O'Connell View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 100/1

21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Amazing Force (IRE)T: Ms Claire O'Connell Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 17 ran 17th 300/1

18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Prince Andorra (IRE)T: Ms Claire O'Connell Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 66/1

12 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Blue Orquidea (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden9.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th 250/1

07 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Rock Iguana (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan 1XBET.IE IRISH RACING PARTNERSHIP Optional Claiming Race7f · Good · 12 ran 6th 22/1

22 Jul 26 Naas (IRE) Master Garvey (IRE)T: Joseph Anthony Murray O'Neill & Co. Apprentice Handicap8f · Good · 18 ran 11th 14/1

20 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Concert Party (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Tote Guarantee Never Beaten By SP Claiming Race9.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 5th 20/1

11 Jul 26 Limerick Alfred Tennyson (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Party Time And Limerick Motor Centre Rated Race6.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 14/1

09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Arizonaneargalway (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 13th 200/1

07 Jul 26 Tramore Kashel Spring (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap12f · Good · 6 ran 5th 80/1

03 Jul 26 Bellewstown Plushy (IRE)T: Liam Casey Eco Bullet Handicap (0-60)5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 50/1

15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Imperial Tune (IRE)T: Liam Casey Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)24.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran F 20/1

10 Jun 26 Limerick Autumn Twist (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Racing Again On June 19th Handicap17f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 25/1

05 Jun 26 Fairyhouse Reponse Finale (IRE)T: Liam Casey Dino Day 8th July Handicap (0-60)6f · Good · 17 ran 4th 9/1

28 May 26 Fairyhouse Reponse Finale (IRE)T: Liam Casey 5 Euro General Admission Next Friday Handicap (0-60)6f · Good · 18 ran 8th 66/1

18 May 26 Roscommon Piatra Neamt (IRE)T: S M Duffy Roscommon Handicap (0-60)12f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 5th 50/1

10 May 26 Cork Imperial Tune (IRE)T: Liam Casey Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24.5f · Good · 21 ran 11th 50/1

08 May 26 Ballinrobe Liberate (GB)T: Denis Gerard Hogan KOG Logistics Handicap13f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 10th 80/1

04 May 26 Curragh Cannonball Queen (IRE)T: S M Duffy PG Duffy & Sons Citroen Apprentice Handicap7f · Good · 15 ran 15th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan Casey's strike rate?: Alan Casey has won 3 of 94 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan Casey do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 rides (6.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Alan Casey ride most for?: Denis Gerard Hogan, with 55 rides since 2022 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.5%).
Is Alan Casey in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alan Casey's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 93 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.