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Jockey profile

Alan Casey

97 rides in the lifetime window · 48 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 8 days ago 97% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–97
Wins / Runs
3.1%
Strike rate
n=97
6 (6%)
Placed
0.99
Fair A/E
n=96 · 0.77 incl. margin
−73.17
£1 level stake
n=97 at SP · −75.4%
£31,909
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Denis Gerard Hogan: 5.5% from 55 First rides: 4.2%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.2%+1.1
n=48 · A/E 1.52 · £1 −28.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20%+16.9
n=5 · A/E 1.91 · £1 +1.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−3.1
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.1%+0.0
n=97 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −73.17
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.1%−1.0
n=47 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −34.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Dundalk (AW) 6.3% vs 3.1% · n=32
On Standard (AW) going 6.3% vs 3.1% · n=32
With Denis Gerard Hogan 5.5% vs 3.1% · n=55
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 94 3 3.2% −70.17
Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 32 2 6.3% −21.17
Good 22 0 0% −22.00
Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Firm 5 1 20% +8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 32 2 6.3% −21.17
Gowran Park 9 1 11.1% +4.00
Curragh 9 0 0% −9.00
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00
Navan 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Ballinrobe 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Punchestown 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 1 100% 5.37 +3.33
2nd–3rd fav 3 1 33.3% 3.42 +3.50
4th–6th fav 16 0 0% 0.00 −16.00
7th+ in betting 77 1 1.3% 0.66 −64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Reponse Finale (IRE) 15 0 2 5 Jun 26
Sporting Hero (GB) 7 2 3 27 Feb 26
Piatra Neamt (IRE) 4 0 0 18 May 26
Nezeeh (IRE) 4 0 0 25 Apr 25
Polemon (GB) 4 1 1 20 Sep 24
Imperial Tune (IRE) 3 0 0 26 Oct 26
Prince Andorra (IRE) 3 0 0 15 Oct 26
Marbush (GB) 3 0 0 12 Nov 25
Deluca Chop (FR) 3 0 0 5 Nov 25
Sporting Aclaim (GB) 3 0 0 31 Oct 25
Mercurial (IRE) 3 0 0 1 Jun 25
Plushy (IRE) 2 0 0 21 Oct 26
All 48 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
017000001000110
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDenis Gerard Hogan
57% of all rides
5.5% SR · A/E 1.35
TrainerRWSR£1
Denis Gerard Hogan 55 3 5.5% −31.17
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
3
Archived wins
£31,909
Prize money
2025
Best season · 2 wins
Sporting Hero (GB) — Racing TV Club Day Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Feb 2025
£9,145
Polemon (GB) — BOYLESPORTS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap (47-65) Gowran Park · Aug 2024
£6,195
Sporting Hero (GB) — Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2025
£5,900
Notable horses
Sporting Hero (GB) Polemon (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Inns Of Court (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,259 runs since 2023 (233 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 151.
Bobby's Kitten (USA) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,675 runs since 2020 (144 horses).
Ardad (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,550 runs since 2021 (352 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 100.
Frankel (GB) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 18% of 7,547 runs since 2016 (883 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 271.
New Bay (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 14.3% of 4,007 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Profitable (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,450 runs since 2021 (358 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 97 · newest first

The latest 50 of 97 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 June 2024 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Aughlish (IRE)T: Ms Claire O'Connell Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 66/1
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Imperial Tune (IRE)T: Liam Casey COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 19 ran PU 50/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Plushy (IRE)T: Liam Casey Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 20th 125/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Prince Andorra (IRE)T: Ms Claire O'Connell October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap5f · Soft · 17 ran 11th 50/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Prince Andorra (IRE)T: Ms Claire O'Connell View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 100/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Amazing Force (IRE)T: Ms Claire O'Connell Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 17 ran 17th 300/1
18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Prince Andorra (IRE)T: Ms Claire O'Connell Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 66/1
12 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Blue Orquidea (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden9.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th 250/1
07 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Rock Iguana (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan 1XBET.IE IRISH RACING PARTNERSHIP Optional Claiming Race7f · Good · 12 ran 6th 22/1
22 Jul 26 Naas (IRE) Master Garvey (IRE)T: Joseph Anthony Murray O'Neill & Co. Apprentice Handicap8f · Good · 18 ran 11th 14/1
20 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Concert Party (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Tote Guarantee Never Beaten By SP Claiming Race9.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 5th 20/1
11 Jul 26 Limerick Alfred Tennyson (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Party Time And Limerick Motor Centre Rated Race6.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 14/1
09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Arizonaneargalway (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 13th 200/1
07 Jul 26 Tramore Kashel Spring (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap12f · Good · 6 ran 5th 80/1
03 Jul 26 Bellewstown Plushy (IRE)T: Liam Casey Eco Bullet Handicap (0-60)5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 50/1
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Imperial Tune (IRE)T: Liam Casey Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)24.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran F 20/1
10 Jun 26 Limerick Autumn Twist (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Racing Again On June 19th Handicap17f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 25/1
05 Jun 26 Fairyhouse Reponse Finale (IRE)T: Liam Casey Dino Day 8th July Handicap (0-60)6f · Good · 17 ran 4th 9/1
28 May 26 Fairyhouse Reponse Finale (IRE)T: Liam Casey 5 Euro General Admission Next Friday Handicap (0-60)6f · Good · 18 ran 8th 66/1
18 May 26 Roscommon Piatra Neamt (IRE)T: S M Duffy Roscommon Handicap (0-60)12f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 5th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan Casey's strike rate?
Alan Casey has won 3 of 97 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan Casey do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 rides (6.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Alan Casey ride most for?
Denis Gerard Hogan, with 55 rides since 2008 — 57% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.5%).
Is Alan Casey in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alan Casey's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 96 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).