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Trainer profile

Joseph Anthony Murray

262 runners in the last 5 seasons · 21 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2022
18–262
Wins / Runs
6.9%
Strike rate
n=262
74 (28%)
Placed
0.87
Fair A/E
n=261 · 0.69 incl. margin
−124.71
£1 level stake
n=262 at SP · −47.6%
£260k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 262 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −59.62 to a £1 stake over 122 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (14.3%, n=42) and off a 31-60-day break (13.5%, n=37). The record reads poorly on Good going — 1.4% over 69 runners, 5.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Mickey The Steel (GB) — 6 wins from 68 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.9
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.9
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+43.1
n=2 · A/E 5.48 · £1 +13.00
When favourite
41.7%
n=12 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +1.59
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.6%−0.3
n=122 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −59.62

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 14.3% vs 6.9% · n=42
Off a 31-60-day break 13.5% vs 6.9% · n=37
On Good going 1.4% vs 6.9% · n=69
Over 1m – 1m1f 2% vs 6.9% · n=49
With Wesley Joyce 2.2% vs 6.9% · n=45
With a new jockey booking 10.5% vs 6.9% · n=114
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 225 17 7.6% −90.59
Hurdle 37 1 2.7% −34.12

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 70 5 7.1% −31.62
Good 69 1 1.4% −64.50
Standard (AW) 54 6 11.1% −10.17
Heavy 42 6 14.3% +8.58
Good to Soft 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 54 6 11.1% −10.17
Curragh 33 2 6.1% +5.00
Navan 32 2 6.3% −19.00
Fairyhouse 20 0 0% −20.00
Bellewstown 17 1 5.9% −14.62
Naas 16 1 6.3% −12.00
Gowran Park 15 0 0% −15.00
Leopardstown 11 0 0% −11.00
Galway 8 1 12.5% +0.50
Roscommon 8 1 12.5% −4.80
Down Royal 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 7 1 14.3% +1.00
Listowel 6 0 0% −6.00
Ballinrobe 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 5 33.3% 1.32 −1.41
2nd–3rd fav 45 3 6.7% 0.47 −33.30
4th–6th fav 73 6 8.2% 0.99 −24.00
7th+ in betting 129 4 3.1% 0.90 −66.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Master Garvey (IRE) 55 2 14 12 Oct 26
Mickey The Steel (GB) 53 6 23 15 Oct 26
Rodney Bay (IRE)then R J Tumilty 30 2 12 28 Jan 25
Hot Sunset (GB) 17 0 3 29 Mar 23
Furnace Creek (IRE)from James M Barrett 13 1 3 29 Nov 23
Never Back Down (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness 13 0 2 9 Nov 22
Miss Gitana (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 12 0 2 15 Oct 26
Lynskey (IRE) 11 0 0 7 Jun 24
Make Good (IRE)from Shane Crawley · then Cian Collins 9 2 2 25 Oct 25
Arch Hall (IRE) 9 0 2 21 Jul 25
Lyle The Crocodile (IRE) 8 2 4 28 Feb 25
Oristown Boy (IRE) 6 1 3 10 Oct 26
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1781100635101460
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWesley Joyce
17% of all rides
2.2% SR · A/E 0.28
RiderRWSR£1
Wesley Joyce 45 1 2.2% −42.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
29
Archived wins
£404k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 5 wins
Oristown Boy (IRE) — Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Galway (IRE) · Aug 2026
£15,000
Master Garvey (IRE) — Dundalk Stadium Winter Series Awards Day Handicap (47-65) Dundalk (AW) · Mar 2025
£11,800
Mickey The Steel (GB) — Cavalor Equine Nutrition Handicap Curragh · Nov 2023
£9,440
Notable horses
Mickey The Steel (GB) Captain Cullen (IRE) Rodney Bay (IRE) Captain Midnight (IRE) Master Garvey (IRE) Make Good (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Hot Streak (IRE) 8.6% · 6–70
Progeny have won 8% of 1,753 runs since 2008 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.7% from 780. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 153.
Dragon Pulse (IRE) 3.6% · 2–55
Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,260 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 570. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.
Most Improved (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 6.7% of 1,100 runs since 2008 (71 horses).
Inns Of Court (IRE) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,217 runs since 2008 (230 horses).
Divine Prophet (AUS) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.6% of 293 runs since 2008 (20 horses).
Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 447 · newest first

The latest 50 of 447 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 March 2015 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Mickey The Steel (GB)J: Luke McAteer Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 5th 10/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Miss Gitana (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 21st 66/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Master Garvey (IRE)J: Terry Casey Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div I)7.5f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 12/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Oristown Boy (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Birdcatcher Premier Nursery Handicap6f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 9/2
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mickey The Steel (GB)J: Rory Mulligan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 4/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Miss Gitana (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Racing Here On The 12th November Handicap16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 8th 20/1
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Miss Gitana (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 11th 33/1
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Mickey The Steel (GB)J: Rory Mulligan Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 11/2
22 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Oristown Boy (IRE)J: Colin Keane MAC Hardware & Farm Supplies Irish EBF Rated Race8f · Yielding · 7 ran 7th 3/1
18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mickey The Steel (GB)J: Rory Mulligan Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 9/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Miss Gitana (IRE)J: Mr J R Martin John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap17f · Yielding · 7 ran 6th 11/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Miss Gitana (IRE)J: Mr J R Martin Kilberry (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Good · 16 ran 15th 20/1
01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Master Garvey (IRE)J: Terry Casey Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Apprentice Handicap8f · Yielding · 16 ran 12th 8/1
18 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Oristown Boy (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Irish EBF Auction Series Race7.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/2
15 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Miss Gitana (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Brennan's Pharmacy Handicap16f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 11/2
15 Aug 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Master Garvey (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 12/1
06 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Master Garvey (IRE)J: Terry Casey Carnival de Leop Handicap7f · Good · 17 ran 9th 13/2
02 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Oristown Boy (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden7f · Yielding · 10 ran 1st 15/2
01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Mickey The Steel (GB)J: Jamie Powell Ardilaun Hotel Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 10/1
25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Master Garvey (IRE)J: Terry Casey Tote Apprentice Handicap9.5f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joseph Anthony Murray's strike rate?
Joseph Anthony Murray has won 18 of 262 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joseph Anthony Murray do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 54 runners (11.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Joseph Anthony Murray in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Joseph Anthony Murray's Fair A/E?
0.87, from 261 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).