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Trainer profile

Liam Casey

101 runners in the last 5 seasons · 11 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–101
Wins / Runs
1%
Strike rate
n=101
19 (19%)
Placed
0.20
Fair A/E
n=100 · 0.15 incl. margin
−96.00
£1 level stake
n=101 at SP · −95.0%
£35,295
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.20).

Deterministic profile computed from 101 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.0
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.0
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 3.1% vs 1% · n=32
In Hurdle races 0% vs 1% · n=52 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 52 0 0% −52.00
Chase 32 1 3.1% −27.00
Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 35 0 0% −35.00
Good to Soft 28 0 0% −28.00
Good 21 1 4.8% −16.00
Heavy 13 0 0% −13.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 15 0 0% −15.00
Punchestown 15 0 0% −15.00
Tipperary 10 0 0% −10.00
Cork 9 0 0% −9.00
Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00
Tramore 6 1 16.7% −1.00
Killarney 6 0 0% −6.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Dundalk (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 1 8.3% 0.67 −7.00
4th–6th fav 19 0 0% 0.00 −19.00
7th+ in betting 66 0 0% 0.00 −66.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
92.9% completed · 84 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 32 87.5% 0 1 3 0 0
Hurdle 52 96.2% 1 0 1 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Reponse Finale (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast · then Gavin Cromwell 15 0 2 5 Jun 26
Apples In Winter (IRE) 15 0 2 24 Jul 25
Rule Of June (IRE) 14 1 5 23 May 24
Dawn Escape (IRE) 12 0 1 22 Aug 25
Early Arrival (IRE)then James M Barcoe 12 0 3 17 Nov 22
Imperial Tune (IRE) 11 0 2 15 Jun 26
Mist On The Bog (IRE) 10 0 4 6 Nov 25
Strawberry Diamond (IRE) 5 0 0 4 Jul 24
Chardonay (IRE) 3 0 0 9 Mar 25
Plushy (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 2 0 0 21 Oct 26
Victory Sign (IRE) 2 0 0 6 May 23
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000000090000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSean Flanagan
35% of all rides
2.9% SR · A/E 0.47
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Flanagan 35 1 2.9% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
8
Archived wins
£133k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Carole Rose (IRE) — myITdepartment.ie Handicap Chase Roscommon · May 2017
£10,164
Carole Rose (IRE) — Follow Limerick Racecourse On Facebook Mares Handicap Chase Limerick · Apr 2017
£7,392
Betterthanalright (IRE) — Littleton Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Thurles · Feb 2012
£6,900
Notable horses
Betterthanalright (IRE) Carole Rose (IRE) Omega Springs (IRE) Rule Of June (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Imperial Monarch (IRE) 0% · 0–48
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,584 runs since 2008 (172 horses).
Rule of Law (USA) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 5.8% of 310 runs since 2008 (35 horses).
Inns Of Court (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,224 runs since 2008 (231 horses).
Ocovango (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,982 runs since 2008 (302 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.1% from 191.
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.6% of 3,122 runs since 2008 (315 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.6% from 378.
Ardad (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,512 runs since 2008 (350 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 310 · newest first

The latest 50 of 310 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 May 2007 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Plushy (IRE)J: Alan Casey Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 20th 125/1
03 Jul 26 Bellewstown Plushy (IRE)J: Alan Casey Eco Bullet Handicap (0-60)5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 50/1
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Imperial Tune (IRE)J: Alan Casey Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)24.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran F 20/1
05 Jun 26 Fairyhouse Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Alan Casey Dino Day 8th July Handicap (0-60)6f · Good · 17 ran 4th 9/1
28 May 26 Fairyhouse Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Alan Casey 5 Euro General Admission Next Friday Handicap (0-60)6f · Good · 18 ran 8th 66/1
10 May 26 Cork Imperial Tune (IRE)J: Alan Casey Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24.5f · Good · 21 ran 11th 50/1
24 Apr 26 Cork Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Alan Casey Follow Cork Racecourse On Social Media Handicap (0-60)8f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 17th 25/1
26 Nov 25 Dundalk (AW) Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Alan Casey Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 33/1
06 Nov 25 Clonmel Mist On The Bog (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Prior Park Service Station Clonmel Handicap Chase (0-100)17f · Soft · 16 ran 10th 25/1
05 Nov 25 Dundalk (AW) Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Alan Casey Bet On The Best Night Out At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60)7f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 33/1
29 Oct 25 Dundalk (AW) Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Alan Casey Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60)7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 50/1
08 Oct 25 Navan Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Alan Casey Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60)6f · Yielding · 17 ran 12th 22/1
30 Sep 25 Cork Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Alan Casey Mallow Handicap (0-60)6f · Yielding · 10 ran 3rd 66/1
16 Sep 25 Punchestown Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Alan Casey See You On The 14th & 15th October Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)9.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 12th 80/1
02 Sep 25 Gowran Park Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Alan Casey Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Apprentice Handicap (0-60)8f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 28/1
22 Aug 25 Kilbeggan Dawn Escape (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Chase (0-100)26f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 7th 7/1
17 Aug 25 Tramore Mist On The Bog (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Heinz Pollmeier Memorial Handicap Chase (0-100)15.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 5/1
09 Aug 25 Kilbeggan Dawn Escape (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Smiddys Pub Handicap Chase25.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 4th 5/1
08 Aug 25 Tipperary Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Alan Casey Don Moloney Plumbing & Heating Ltd. Handicap (0-60)7.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 12/1
25 Jul 25 Kilbeggan Mist On The Bog (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Bretland Construction Edenderry Handicap Chase (0-100)20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 4th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Liam Casey's strike rate?
Liam Casey has won 1 of 101 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Liam Casey in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Liam Casey's Fair A/E?
0.20, from 100 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).