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Jockey profile

Alexandra McDonnell

46 rides in the last 5 seasons · 19 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
5–46
Wins / Runs
10.9%
Strike rate
n=46
15 (33%)
Placed
1.26
n=45 · 1.08 incl. margin
−6.00
£1 level stake
n=46 at SP · −13.0%
£34,927
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
11.1%+0.2
n=18 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −6.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
33.3%+22.4
n=3 · A/E 2.28 · £1 +0.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−10.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +0.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.9%+0.0
n=46 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −6.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−10.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With David Evans 8.6% vs 10.9% · n=35
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.3% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 28 3 10.7% +1.00
Good 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Firm 5 2 40% +6.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 14 2 14.3% +6.00
Kempton (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Chepstow 4 1 25% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Bath 3 0 0% −3.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Lingfield (AW) 2 1 50% +7.00
Brighton 2 0 0% −2.00
Ffos Las 2 0 0% −2.00
Goodwood 2 0 0% −2.00
Salisbury 1 1 100% +7.00
Windsor 1 0 0% −1.00
Naas 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00
Leicester 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 22 3 13.6% +0.00
Class 5 15 2 13.3% +3.00
Class 4 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.06 +0.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.65 −1.00
4th–6th fav 8 3 37.5% 4.46 +21.00
7th+ in betting 26 0 0% 0.00 −26.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Level Up (IRE) 8 1 2 17 Jun 26
Ultramarine (IRE) 8 1 5 1 Feb 25
All In The Hips (IRE) 5 1 1 23 May 24
King's Code (GB) 3 0 0 5 Sep 26
Voltaic (GB) 3 1 3 30 Apr 25
Rust E Boy (IRE) 3 0 0 13 Apr 24
Alice's Influence (GB) 2 0 0 3 Nov 26
Under Curfew (GB) 2 0 1 21 May 25
Taxiing (USA) 2 0 0 6 Aug 24
Early Release (GB) 1 0 0 23 Oct 26
Angel Ang (IRE) 1 0 0 19 Oct 26
Knightmare (IRE) 1 0 0 29 Sep 26
All 19 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000250050250017
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDavid Evans
76% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 1.32
TrainerRWSR£1
David Evans 35 3 8.6% −7.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
5
Archived wins
£34,927
Prize money
2024
Best season · 5 wins
Level Up (IRE) — Hat Construction Handicap Salisbury · Aug 2024 · Class 5
£4,580
Ultramarine (IRE) — Get Raceday Ready Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Sep 2024 · Class 5
£3,716
Voltaic (GB) — Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Hands And Heels Apprentice Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Dec 2024 · Class 6
£2,983

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Hot Streak (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 8% of 1,759 runs since 2019 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 782. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 154.
Zoffany (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,780 runs since 2015 (799 horses).
Ivawood (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,411 runs since 2019 (122 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.9% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 180. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 168.
Inns Of Court (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,257 runs since 2023 (232 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 151.
Power (GB) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,727 runs since 2016 (195 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.3% from 353. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.2% from 161.
Saxon Warrior (JPN) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,946 runs since 2022 (369 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15% from 965. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 142.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 47 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Alexandra McDonnell's 47 archived rides, from 10 October 2021 to 3 November 2026, newest first — 5 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Bath Angel Ang (IRE)T: David Evans Mj Church Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 50/1
11 Dec 24 Kempton (AW) Voltaic (GB)T: Tony Carroll Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 3rd 9/2
11 Dec 24 Kempton (AW) Ultramarine (IRE)T: David Evans Unibet Zero% Mission HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 6th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 3 Nov 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Alexandra McDonnell's strike rate?
Alexandra McDonnell has won 5 of 46 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Alexandra McDonnell in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alexandra McDonnell's Fair A/E?
1.26, from 45 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).