What is David Evans's strike rate?

David Evans has won 239 of 2,187 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Evans do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 17 wins from 107 runners (15.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Evans?

Jordan Williams, with 195 runners since 2022 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (10.3%).

Is David Evans in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is David Evans's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 2,179 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Evans

2,187 runners in the last 5 seasons · 219 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 11.2% of 412 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

239–2,187

Wins / Runs

10.9%

Strike rate

n=2,187

654 (30%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=2,179 · 0.87 incl. margin

−315.28

£1 level stake

n=2,187 at SP · −14.4%

£2.95m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 440 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,187 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 28.8% when favourite Jordan Williams: 10.3% from 195 New recruits: 11.7% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.2% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.39). Jordan Williams rides 9% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.3%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20%, n=185). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2.2% over 46 runners, 8.7pts below the baseline. 16 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Wokingham Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2022, £94,500). The stable star of the record: Forest Edge (IRE) — 16 wins from 61 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.7%−3.2

n=156 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +110.33

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.7%+0.8

n=60 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +165.50

Debutants · first career start

3.9%−7.0

n=128 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −8.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−4.6

n=79 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −41.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12%+1.1

n=83 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +24.37

When favourite

28.8%

n=198 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −28.34

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.1%−1.8

n=462 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −175.71

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.2%−8.7

n=46 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −42.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Oisin Murphy 27.3% vs 10.9% · n=33

Off a 0-7-day break 20% vs 10.9% · n=185

With Billy Loughnane 22.2% vs 10.9% · n=36

With debutants 3.9% vs 10.9% · n=128

In Class 1 2.2% vs 10.9% · n=46

In Group / Graded races 2.2% vs 10.9% · n=46

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,170 237 10.9% −355.28

NH Flat 10 1 10% −4.00

Hurdle 7 1 14.3% +44.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,081 119 11% −130.99

Good 363 32 8.8% −51.91

Good to Firm 320 43 13.4% −23.71

Good to Soft 211 23 10.9% −82.79

Soft 146 15 10.3% −33.71

Heavy 46 5 10.9% −21.67

Firm 20 2 10% +29.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 412 47 11.4% −137.46

Lingfield (AW) 180 18 10% −60.96

Southwell (AW) 170 14 8.2% −65.84

Kempton (AW) 167 19 11.4% +83.78

Chelmsford City (AW) 119 17 14.3% +43.99

Chepstow 107 17 15.9% +28.38

Windsor 95 6 6.3% −58.55

Bath 91 9 9.9% +15.75

Chester 79 10 12.7% −15.22

Leicester 78 10 12.8% −23.17

Salisbury 75 8 10.7% −38.17

Ffos Las 71 7 9.9% −40.00

Haydock 61 5 8.2% +10.50

Newbury 42 5 11.9% +26.25

Goodwood 40 5 12.5% −8.87

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 721 93 12.9% −111.42

Class 5 620 62 10% −95.76

Class 4 472 43 9.1% −11.89

Class 3 183 29 15.8% −16.71

Class 2 145 11 7.6% −37.50

Class 1 46 1 2.2% −42.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 234 65 27.8% 1.00 −31.60

2nd–3rd fav 511 93 18.2% 1.07 −44.01

4th–6th fav 753 63 8.4% 0.99 −88.67

7th+ in betting 689 18 2.6% 0.83 −151.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Level Up (IRE)from Amanda Perrett 89 14 37 19 Oct 26

King's Code (GB)from Richard Hannon 60 14 21 6 Oct 26

Supreme King (IRE)from Richard Hannon 57 9 21 1 Oct 26

Eagle Day (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 49 7 15 15 Sep 26

Lihou (GB) 49 7 16 17 Feb 25

Meet Me In Meraki (GB) 48 7 19 9 Oct 26

Ultramarine (IRE)from John Butler 46 7 19 27 Feb 26

Rohaan (IRE)from George Scott 43 3 8 6 Sep 25

Cuban Breeze (GB)from Mick Quinn 43 6 18 26 Jun 24

Blue Prince (IRE)from Richard Fahey 40 5 18 14 Oct 26

Radio Goo Goo (GB) 37 7 17 25 Oct 24

All In The Hips (IRE)from Jack W Davison 33 5 10 14 Oct 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 219 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Hannon (4) and George Scott (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard; 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 14

Only 14 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1391012111014121081110

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJordan Williams

9% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 1.05

RiderRWSR£1

Jordan Williams 195 20 10.3% −60.58

George Downing 180 15 8.3% −48.50

Rossa Ryan 175 30 17.1% +21.64

Pat Cosgrave 128 18 14.1% +67.38

Richard Kingscote 93 14 15.1% −12.40

Hollie Doyle 71 10 14.1% −33.31

David Probert 70 12 17.1% +31.08

Neil Callan 67 8 11.9% −4.29

J F Egan 67 3 4.5% −27.50

Ben Curtis 56 9 16.1% −5.35

Darragh Keenan 56 5 8.9% −25.63

Saffie Osborne 51 4 7.8% −13.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,543

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£11.7m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 124 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rohaan (IRE) — Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2022 · Class 2

£94,500

Rohaan (IRE) — Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2021 · Class 2

£64,800

The Kiddykid (IRE) — Hearthstead Homes Duke Of York Stakes (Group 2) York · May 2005 · Group 2

£58,000

Notable horses

Forest Edge (IRE) Level Up (IRE) King's Code (GB) Memphis Man (GB) Lihou (GB) I Confess (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Massaat (IRE) 10.4% · 18–173

Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,200 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.5% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.8% from 131.

Mayson (GB) 12.1% · 19–157

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,363 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,726. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Hot Streak (IRE) 15.7% · 14–89

Progeny have won 8% of 1,753 runs since 2008 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.7% from 780. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 153.

Dandy Man (IRE) 6.8% · 6–88

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Kodiac (GB) 10.8% · 9–83

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Saxon Warrior (JPN) 18.8% · 15–80

Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,877 runs since 2008 (358 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.9% from 928. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.9% from 135.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 15,138 · newest first

The latest 50 of 15,138 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Little Jaybee (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 3/1J

19 Oct 26 Bath Absolute Diamond (IRE)J: Amy Tucker Wiltshire And Bath Air Ambulance Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 50/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Rupertsbeenrumbled (GB)J: Finley Marsh Elite Racing Club Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 100/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Level Up (IRE)J: Amy Tucker Big Stage Hire Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 25/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Angel Ang (IRE)J: Alexandra McDonnell Mj Church Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 50/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Blue Prince (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 3rd 6/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) My A'ali Baba (GB)J: Finley Marsh Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 4th 40/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Persian Land (IRE)J: John Egan Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 20/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Bath Taverness (GB)J: Robert Dunne Dragonbet / Ebf Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Ebf Mares' Nh Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 100/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Meet Me In Meraki (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 7th 5/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Garth Spirit (GB)J: Joe Leavy Unibet More Extra Place Races Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 250/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lihou Lady (GB)J: Joe Leavy Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 8th 40/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Alice's Influence (GB)J: Alexandra McDonnell Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 7th 14/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Little Jaybee (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Mda Consulting Ltd Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 6/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester King's Code (GB)J: Pat Dobbs Paul & Margo Barley Mow Cosgrove Farewell Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 8/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Alfey Moon (GB)J: Rossa Ryan Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 7th 6/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Dream On Kent (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 5th 10/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ard As A Rock (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 11/2

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Guernsey Angel (GB)J: David Nolan Bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 7/1

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dovey Moon (GB)J: David Nolan Bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Evans's strike rate?: David Evans has won 239 of 2,187 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Evans do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 17 wins from 107 runners (15.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Evans?: Jordan Williams, with 195 runners since 2022 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (10.3%).
Is David Evans in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Evans's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 2,179 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.