What is Antonio Polli's strike rate?

Antonio Polli has won 4 of 158 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Antonio Polli do best at?

Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 50 rides (4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Antonio Polli's Fair A/E?

0.69, from 156 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Antonio Polli

158 rides in the lifetime window · 118 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Dec 2022 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

4–158

Wins / Runs

2.5%

Strike rate

n=158

17 (11%)

Placed

0.69

Fair A/E

n=156 · 0.76 incl. margin

+16.50

£1 level stake

n=158 at SP · +10.4%

£86,832

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.69).

Deterministic profile computed from 158 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.5%+0.0

n=118 · A/E 0.62 · £1 +33.30

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

25%+22.5

n=4 · A/E 2.92 · £1 +19.20

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2%−0.5

n=49 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −25.80

When favourite

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.8%+0.3

n=107 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +37.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−2.5

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m – 1m1f 4.8% vs 2.5% · n=42

At Chantilly (FR) 4% vs 2.5% · n=50 · A/E 1.51

At Deauville (FR) 1.5% vs 2.5% · n=67 · A/E 0.50

Over 6f – 7f 1.7% vs 2.5% · n=59 · A/E 0.68

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 105 3 2.9% +39.50

Good 22 1 4.5% +8.00

Soft 12 0 0% −12.00

Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00

Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 67 1 1.5% −43.80

Chantilly (FR) 50 2 4% +71.30

Saint-Cloud (FR) 23 0 0% −23.00

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 12 0 0% −12.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Pornichet-La Baule (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Wissembourg 1 1 100% +29.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Longchamp (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00

2nd–3rd fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00

4th–6th fav 13 1 7.7% 0.00 +17.00

7th+ in betting 139 3 2.2% 1.12 +5.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sun Sea Bird (FR) 5 1 2 16 Feb 18

S Grillo (GB) 4 0 0 19 Dec 17

Big Letters (IRE) 4 0 1 18 Apr 17

Until Dream (FR) 3 0 0 26 Dec 18

Never Without You (FR) 3 0 0 14 Dec 18

Rebecamille (FR) 3 0 0 24 Feb 17

Unexpected Gift (GB) 3 0 0 14 Dec 16

Drosera Belle (FR) 3 0 0 20 Oct 16

Golden Drop (FR) 3 0 0 14 Oct 16

Eloave Des Goats (FR) 2 0 0 27 Oct 19

Charlotte's Web (FR) 2 0 0 30 Sep 19

Quadesh (BEL) 2 0 0 14 Dec 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 118 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5000014000602

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

G Bernaud 12 1 8.3% +11.20

C Plisson 11 0 0% −11.00

N Branchu 7 0 0% −7.00

A & G Botti 7 0 0% −7.00

E Large 6 0 0% −6.00

Andrew Hollinshead 5 0 0% −5.00

Georgios Alimpinisis 5 0 0% −5.00

Mme V Dissaux 4 0 0% −4.00

T Van Den Troost 4 0 0% −4.00

A Giorgi 4 1 25% +13.30

Mme E Siavy-Julien 4 0 0% −4.00

P Leblanc 3 0 0% −3.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

£86,832

Prize money

2018

Best season · 2 wins

Glamorous Boy (FR) — Prix du Haquet (Handicap) (3yo) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Jan 2018

£10,619

Sun Sea Bird (FR) — Prix de Breuilly (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2017

£8,547

Namasjar (FR) — Prix de la Route Chaperon (Claimer) (2yo) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2016

£6,985

Notable horses

Sun Sea Bird (FR) Kissing Light (FR) Glamorous Boy (FR) Namasjar (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Air Chief Marshal (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,984 runs since 2014 (189 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.2% from 672. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 267. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.3% from 565.

Whipper (USA) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,607 runs since 2009 (397 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 516. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.7% from 1,130.

Russian Blue (IRE) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 8% of 375 runs since 2009 (46 horses).

Val Royal (FR) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,015 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 140.

American Post (GB) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.

Anabaa Blue (GB) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,934 runs since 2008 (226 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 277. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6% from 416.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 158 · newest first

The latest 50 of 158 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 July 2012 to 6 December 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Dec 22 Chantilly (FR) Reine De Lune (FR)T: S Morineau Prix de l'Ecluse de Creil (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 12th 23/1

24 Nov 22 Chantilly (FR) Baileys Solaire (FR)T: Mme A-S Crombez Prix du Bois de la Tuilerie (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 144/1

14 Dec 19 Deauville (FR) Kavakney (BEL)T: Y Mathijs Prix de Roiville (Conditions) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 8th 145/1

13 Dec 19 Deauville (FR) Song Of Summer (FR)T: Mlle L Kneip Prix de Precolette (Conditions) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 58/1

02 Dec 19 Deauville (FR) Anecdotic (USA)T: I Endaltsev Prix de Bonnerie (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 5th 18/1

27 Oct 19 Longchamp (FR) Eloave Des Goats (FR)T: Gerard Rivases Prix Peau de Chagrin (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)7f · Heavy · 11 ran 11th 55/1

30 Sep 19 Chantilly (FR) Charlotte's Web (FR)T: J Ward Prix du Rallye Trois Forets (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 64/1

09 Sep 19 Chantilly (FR) Eloave Des Goats (FR)T: Gerard Rivases Prix de la Grande Singerie (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 76/1

22 Aug 19 Pornichet-La Baule (FR) Terre De France (FR)T: M Delcher Sanchez Prix de Bexbach (Claimer) (2yo) (Viscoride)8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 87/10

01 Apr 19 Chantilly (FR) Tahiti Way (FR)T: P Azzopardi Prix Caerlina (Handicap) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 89/1

13 Jan 19 Chantilly (FR) Saint Roch Junior (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix des Brulis (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 35/1

26 Dec 18 Chantilly (FR) Tutti (FR)T: D De Waele Prix Watermael-Boitsfort (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 17 ran 16th 22/1

26 Dec 18 Chantilly (FR) Until Dream (FR)T: J-P Busson Prix de Vemars (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)16f · Standard · 17 ran 8th 15/1

26 Dec 18 Chantilly (FR) Rubis Queen (FR)T: N Caullery Prix de Fosses (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)16f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 51/1

26 Dec 18 Chantilly (FR) Power Best (IRE)T: A & G Botti Prix du Carrefour des Marchands de Navets (Claimer) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 4th 77/10

16 Dec 18 Deauville (FR) Dixit Confucius (FR)T: F Chappet Prix de Roiville (Conditions) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 30/1

14 Dec 18 Deauville (FR) Never Without You (FR)T: P Capelle Prix Flying Water (Conditions) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 111/1

14 Dec 18 Deauville (FR) Quadesh (BEL)T: Guillaume Courbot Prix de Precolette (Conditions) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 105/1

05 Dec 18 Deauville (FR) Until Dream (FR)T: J-P Busson Prix de Beauchene (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)17f · Standard · 16 ran 6th 15/1

05 Dec 18 Deauville (FR) Quadesh (BEL)T: Guillaume Courbot Prix de Mirande (Maiden) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 117/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Antonio Polli's strike rate?: Antonio Polli has won 4 of 158 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Antonio Polli do best at?: Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 50 rides (4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Antonio Polli's Fair A/E?: 0.69, from 156 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.