Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.83).
Deterministic profile computed from 221 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026
The read
It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (0% over 59 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 0% over 32 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Lucien Barriere Grand Prix de Deauville at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2014, £95,000). The stable star of the record: Royal Prize (GB) — 7 wins from 52 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5%−0.9
n=40 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −18.90
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.9
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.9
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
22.2%+16.3
n=9 · A/E 3.07 · £1 +7.70
When favourite
16.7%
n=18 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −4.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.7%−1.2
n=64 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −28.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
At Saint-Cloud (FR)0% vs 5.9% · n=59
With Christophe Soumillon12.5% vs 5.9% · n=32
Over 6f – 7f0% vs 5.9% · n=32
With a new jockey booking2.2% vs 5.9% · n=92
Off a 31-60-day break2.2% vs 5.9% · n=45
At Chantilly (FR)8% vs 5.9% · n=75
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)11487%−38.40
Soft4324.7%−19.20
Good to Soft3825.3%−18.70
Heavy1700%−17.00
Good9111.1%−3.80
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR)7568%−15.90
Saint-Cloud (FR)5900%−59.00
Deauville (FR)5435.6%−25.20
Longchamp (FR)29413.8%+7.00
Clairefontaine (FR)200%−2.00
La Teste De Buch (FR)100%−1.00
Compiegne (FR)100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1600%−6.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite18316.7%0.86−4.50
2nd–3rd fav2627.7%0.62−12.30
4th–6th fav6158.2%0.98−11.90
7th+ in betting11532.6%0.77−68.40
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f11487%−25.70
1m2f – 1m4f7045.7%−40.40
6f – 7f3200%−32.00
1m5f – 2m5120%+1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
202211576.1%−36.50
20238033.8%−64.70
202426311.5%+4.10
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps13996.5%−43.60
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners10487.7%−21.60
11-13 runners5012%−44.00
8-10 runners3326.1%−18.30
17+ runners2114.8%−8.40
5-7 runners1317.7%−4.80
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 31 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alicja Karkosa (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.
13 have since run for another yard, most often for Mme A Budka (3) and P Nador (2); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
020104520000900
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
157
Archived wins
13
Pattern / graded wins
£4.44m
Prize money
2007
Best season · 14 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Cocktail Queen (IRE) — Lucien Barriere Grand Prix de Deauville (3yo+) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2014 · Group 2
£95,000
Norse King (FR) — Prix du Conseil de Paris (3yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2013 · Group 2
£60,244
Norse King (FR) — Prix Exbury (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Mar 2014 · Group 3
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,817 runs since 2008 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.7% from 134. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 445.
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,869 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.7% from 193. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.4% from 143.
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,073 runs since 2008 (245 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 244. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.1% from 199.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 1,958 · newest first
The latest 50 of 1,958 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2005 to 13 June 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mme M Bollack-Badel's strike rate?
Mme M Bollack-Badel has won 13 of 221 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme M Bollack-Badel do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 75 runners (8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Mme M Bollack-Badel's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 220 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mme M Bollack-Badel·SR 5.9%·A/E 0.83
1Tap Share in the toolbar2Scroll down the sheet3Tap Add to Home Screen, then Add
1Open your browser's menu (the three dots)2Tap Add to Home screen or Install app
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy