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Trainer profile

Mme A-S Crombez

239 runners in the last 5 seasons · 38 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 333 days ago 98% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
12–239
Wins / Runs
5%
Strike rate
n=239
42 (18%)
Placed
0.94
n=239 · 0.79 incl. margin
+3.70
£1 level stake
n=239 at SP · +1.5%
£296k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (34 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 239 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Tony Piccone: 5.8% from 52 Claiming riders: 8.8%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 8.8% (n=34, Fair A/E 1.59), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.9% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.40). Tony Piccone rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.8%, A/E 0.92). The market has also underrated the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 1.32 across 100 runners (7% strike, +6.90 to a £1 stake). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix le Fabuleux at Chantilly (FR) (Oct 2019, £24,775).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.9%−3.1
n=53 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −32.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
10.5%+5.5
n=19 · A/E 2.88 · £1 +53.20
First-time headgear · true-first definition
15.8%+10.8
n=19 · A/E 3.75 · £1 +49.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
0%
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.8%+3.8
n=34 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +27.40
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 10% vs 5% · n=30
With claiming riders up 8.8% vs 5% · n=34
Off a 15-30-day break 7.4% vs 5% · n=94
Off a 61-180-day break 2.2% vs 5% · n=46
Over 1m – 1m1f 7% vs 5% · n=100
On Soft going 2.6% vs 5% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 235 12 5.1% +7.70
Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 128 8 6.3% +65.10
Good to Soft 49 2 4.1% −12.90
Soft 38 1 2.6% −32.70
Heavy 14 1 7.1% −5.80
Good 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 82 4 4.9% +61.20
Deauville (FR) 76 4 5.3% −26.10
Longchamp (FR) 42 2 4.8% −12.80
Saint-Cloud (FR) 33 1 3% −27.70
Compiegne (FR) 3 1 33.3% +12.10
Auteuil (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 23 3 13% 1.04 −4.80
4th–6th fav 40 2 5% 0.66 −16.70
7th+ in betting 169 7 4.1% 1.30 +32.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Replenish (FR)from S Cerulis 24 1 4 16 Feb 24
Stormy (FR)from S Cerulis 20 2 4 29 Oct 24
Be A Lord (FR) 15 0 6 9 Jul 25
Ketamine Bailly (FR) 14 0 5 24 Jan 25
Soul Of The Nation (IRE) 12 0 0 30 Dec 23
Dalakhova (FR)from M Delcher Sanchez 12 1 1 14 Jan 23
Myrka (IRE) 11 2 2 9 Sep 23
Marooned (FR)then Gavin Hernon 10 0 2 21 Nov 25
Recoleta (FR) 10 1 1 26 Nov 24
Baileys Blues (FR)from Mark Johnston · then J-V Toux 10 0 1 15 Aug 23
Master Pat (FR)then G Pannier 8 1 2 16 Aug 25
Elieden (IRE)from Gay Kelleway 8 0 1 29 Sep 22
All 38 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 38 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gay Kelleway (3) and A & G Botti (2); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for J-V Toux (2); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
2190058600645
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTony Piccone
22% of all rides
5.8% SR · A/E 0.92
RiderRWSR£1
Tony Piccone 52 3 5.8% −17.10
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
27
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£638k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 7 wins
Alexander James (IRE) — Prix le Fabuleux () (3yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2019 · Listed
£24,775
Roderick (GB) — Prix du Secours Populaire (Handicap) (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2021
£22,321
Baileys Blues (FR) — Prix du Cabinet des Livres (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2021
£22,321

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Le Havre (IRE) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 12.5% of 5,853 runs since 2008 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.
Stormy River (FR) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,223 runs since 2008 (253 horses).
Charm Spirit (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,806 runs since 2008 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.8% from 133. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 445.
Recoletos (FR) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 8.9% of 786 runs since 2008 (110 horses).
Belardo (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,700 runs since 2008 (280 horses).
Pomellato (GER) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 5% of 515 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 0.8% from 124.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 428 · newest first

The latest 50 of 428 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 July 2019 to 21 November 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme A-S Crombez's strike rate?
Mme A-S Crombez has won 12 of 239 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme A-S Crombez do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 76 runners (5.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mme A-S Crombez?
Tony Piccone, with 52 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.8%).
What is Mme A-S Crombez's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 239 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).