Cedric Sagot
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 10 times a season, across both codes, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.29). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (52 runs). Rode mostly for A Sagot — 54% of rides in the window.
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 9.6% (n=52, Fair A/E 2.11). A Sagot supplied 54% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 2.02) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well over 1m2f – 1m4f (9.4%, n=32). The record read poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 2.8% over 36 rides, 3.3pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 155 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 155 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 April 2006 to 26 September 2020.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Cedric Sagot's strike rate?
- Cedric Sagot has won 9 of 148 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Cedric Sagot do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 33 rides (6.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Cedric Sagot ride most for?
- A Sagot, with 80 rides since 2008 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7.5%).
- What is Cedric Sagot's Fair A/E?
- 1.29, from 141 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.