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Trainer profile

E J O'Neill

237 runners in the last 5 seasons · 51 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
15–237
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=237
50 (21%)
Placed
1.09
n=237 · 0.89 incl. margin
−111.70
£1 level stake
n=237 at SP · −47.1%
£276k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09).

Deterministic profile computed from 237 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

Debutants struggle at 2.9% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.74). The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (9.5%, n=42). 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Totepool Two-year-old Trophy at Redcar (Oct 2009, £94,692). The stable star of the record: Moscow Eight (IRE) — 10 wins from 66 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.7%−2.6
n=54 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −22.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
2.9%−3.4
n=35 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −25.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.3
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
25%
n=8 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +0.60
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−6.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 2.9% vs 6.3% · n=35
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 9.5% vs 6.3% · n=42
Over 1m – 1m1f 4.2% vs 6.3% · n=48
On Soft going 8% vs 6.3% · n=50 · A/E 1.39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 73 4 5.5% −37.00
Standard (AW) 67 4 6% −47.90
Soft 50 4 8% −20.00
Good to Soft 37 3 8.1% +3.20
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 42 2 4.8% −31.50
Curragh 23 0 0% −23.00
Chantilly (FR) 17 0 0% −17.00
Naas 17 1 5.9% −4.00
Deauville (FR) 14 1 7.1% −2.80
Longchamp (FR) 12 1 8.3% −3.60
Leopardstown 12 1 8.3% +1.00
Down Royal 11 0 0% −11.00
Navan 10 0 0% −10.00
Fairyhouse 8 2 25% +8.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 7 1 14.3% +13.60
Sligo 7 1 14.3% −2.50
Killarney 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 5 1 20% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 4 3 2 66.7% +5.60
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 2 22.2% 1.07 −0.40
2nd–3rd fav 30 4 13.3% 1.01 −8.10
4th–6th fav 52 7 13.5% 1.70 +9.20
7th+ in betting 146 2 1.4% 0.52 −112.40
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
No Niki No (IRE) 31 5 11 29 Sep 25
Universally (IRE) 22 3 8 12 Oct 24
Seas And Oceans (IRE) 15 0 4 12 Jul 25
Petit Calvados (IRE) 14 3 6 21 Jun 24
Hallowed Time (IRE)then Mark Loughnane 12 0 2 18 Oct 23
Gesture (IRE) 11 2 5 18 Oct 24
Flynn Ryder (GB)then Stuart Edmunds 8 0 1 19 Sep 25
Shocker (IRE) 7 0 1 19 Oct 24
Badinage (GB) 7 0 0 6 Sep 23
Tamam Desert (IRE)then M D O'Callaghan 6 1 1 31 Jul 25
Dark Enigma (GB)then J G Murray 6 0 3 31 May 24
Maponus (IRE) 6 0 1 20 Oct 23
All 51 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 51 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Mark Fahey (2); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
3380220137580025
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderChris Hayes
19% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 0.94
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Hayes 44 3 6.8% −25.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
267
Archived wins
13
Pattern / graded wins
£4.53m
Prize money
2005
Best season · 33 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Lucky Like (FR) — Totepool Two-year-old Trophy (Listed) Redcar · Oct 2009 · Listed
£94,692
Vital Equine (IRE) — Sportsman Champagne Stakes (Group 2) York · Sep 2006 · Group 2
£56,780
Always Hopeful (GB) — Richmond Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2005 · Group 2
£40,600

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Helmet (AUS) 16.1% · 5–31
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,851 runs since 2008 (351 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 148.
Acclamation (GB) 10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Equiano (FR) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,538 runs since 2008 (549 horses).
Churchill (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11% of 4,781 runs since 2008 (458 horses).
Hallowed Crown (AUS) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.9% of 619 runs since 2008 (48 horses).
Bated Breath (GB) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,126 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 843.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,461 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,461 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 January 2005 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Aug 25 Tramore No Niki No (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Brennan's Pharmacy Handicap16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 6th 14/1
16 Aug 25 Tramore Flynn Ryder (GB)J: Donagh O'Connor Morris DIY Rated Race12f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 6th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is E J O'Neill's strike rate?
E J O'Neill has won 15 of 237 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does E J O'Neill do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 42 runners (4.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is E J O'Neill in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is E J O'Neill's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 237 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).