What is Caroline Auvray's strike rate?

Caroline Auvray has won 20 of 408 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Caroline Auvray do best at?

Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 143 runners (5.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Caroline Auvray?

Thomas Trullier, with 70 runners since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.3%).

Is Caroline Auvray in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Caroline Auvray's Fair A/E?

0.69, from 406 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Caroline Auvray

408 runners in the last 5 seasons · 32 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

20–408

Wins / Runs

4.9%

Strike rate

n=408

87 (21%)

Placed

0.69

Fair A/E

n=406 · 0.60 incl. margin

−136.40

£1 level stake

n=407 at SP · −33.5%

£354k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.69). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 8% off breaks of two months or more (53 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 408 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Fresh horses: 7.5% Thomas Trullier: 4.3% from 70

The read

Thomas Trullier rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.3%, A/E 0.46). The stable star of the record: Parfaite Merill (FR) — 5 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.5%+2.6

n=53 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +8.20

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.3%−0.6

n=23 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +20.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.9

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−4.9

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10%+5.1

n=10 · A/E 3.23 · £1 +33.00

When favourite

20.8%

n=24 · A/E 0.89 · £1 +26.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

2.4%−2.5

n=41 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −29.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 1.9% vs 4.9% · n=157

With claiming riders up 2.4% vs 4.9% · n=41

With Augustin Madamet 7.1% vs 4.9% · n=56

On Good to Soft going 2.5% vs 4.9% · n=40

At Saint-Cloud 3.5% vs 4.9% · n=85 · A/E 0.58

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 270 15 5.6% −47.80

Soft 66 4 6.1% −24.10

Good to Soft 40 1 2.5% −32.50

Heavy 17 0 0% −17.00

Good 14 0 0% −14.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 143 7 4.9% −47.40

Deauville (AW) 143 8 5.6% −16.40

Saint-Cloud 85 3 3.5% −67.20

Longchamp (FR) 27 1 3.7% −12.40

Dieppe (FR) 6 1 16.7% +11.00

Compiegne (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Amiens (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 3 15 0 0% −15.00

Class 4 11 1 9.1% +6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 24 5 20.8% 0.89 +26.20

2nd–3rd fav 61 5 8.2% 0.61 −29.60

4th–6th fav 85 2 2.4% 0.29 −65.50

7th+ in betting 237 8 3.4% 0.99 −67.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Parfaite Merill (FR)from P Fleurie 50 5 18 31 Oct 25

Gin Gembre (FR)from Thibault Speicher 49 0 8 5 Oct 26

Hot Summer (FR)from L Rovisse 39 1 11 27 Dec 25

Zygfryd (FR)from Mme A Budka 34 0 13 19 Oct 26

Salsa Chic (GB)from M Brasme 31 2 5 25 May 24

Princedeschamps (FR)from C Plisson 25 2 8 24 Apr 26

American Lily (FR)from L Rovisse 17 0 1 29 Dec 23

Ayana (FR)from H Fortineau 17 0 3 16 May 23

Joukovka (FR)from Nicolas Guilbert 15 2 3 19 Oct 26

Massa Chop (FR)from J-P Sauvage 15 2 2 14 Oct 26

Messagin A Bottle (FR)from Charlotte Alesi 13 0 1 22 Oct 23

Puff Dakota (FR)from C Escuder 11 1 4 23 Mar 23

All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 27 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Thibault Speicher (3) and L Rovisse (2); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

01007660106535

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderThomas Trullier

17% of all rides
4.3% SR · A/E 0.46

RiderRWSR£1

Thomas Trullier 70 3 4.3% −8.30

L Boisseau 58 2 3.4% −8.50

Augustin Madamet 56 4 7.1% −22.20

Antoine Hamelin 37 2 5.4% +1.10

Eddy Hardouin 30 2 6.7% +3.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

Archived wins

£472k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 5 wins

American Lily (FR) — Prix de Gonneville (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2021

£10,268

Salsa Chic (GB) — Prix de la Roquette (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2023

£9,292

Parfaite Merill (FR) — Prix de Belloy-en-France (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Feb 2024

£9,130

Notable horses

Parfaite Merill (FR) American Lily (FR) La Raceuse (IRE) Salsa Chic (GB) Princedeschamps (FR) Vent Charlie (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Penny's Picnic (IRE) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,439 runs since 2008 (172 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 10% from 321. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.3% from 425.

Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–49

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Literato (FR) 0% · 0–47

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,055 runs since 2008 (130 horses).

Sommerabend (GB) 2.6% · 1–39

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,181 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.5% from 105.

Rio De La Plata (USA) 6.5% · 2–31

Progeny have won 10.3% of 1,508 runs since 2008 (152 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 252.

Rajsaman (FR) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,836 runs since 2008 (311 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 557 · newest first

The latest 50 of 557 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 April 2016 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Joukovka (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De La Foret De Cerisy9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 9th 16/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Zygfryd (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De La Foret De Cinglais9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 9/2

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Massa Chop (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Des Falaises De Craie10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 22/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Clair De Lune (FR)J: Mme Lorette Gallo Prix De La Pointe Du Hode10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 11/1

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Royal Shake (GB)J: Ludovic Boisseau Prix Du Carrefour Du Fond PernantClass 3 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 12th 25/1

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Joukovka (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Du Bois Laris9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 33/1

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Zygfryd (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De Saint-imier9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 4/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Gin Gembre (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De La SambreClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 9/1

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Clair De Lune (FR)J: Mme Lorette Gallo Prix Dominique GerouxClass 4 · 11f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 11/1

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Royal Shake (GB)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De Noisy-sur-oise8f · Good · 15 ran 7th 12/1

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Gin Gembre (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De Boran-sur-oise8f · Good · 14 ran 8th 16/1

17 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Massa Chop (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix Du TouquetClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 16/1

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Zygfryd (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Du Canal Saint Jean8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 9/1

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Joukovka (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Du Canal Du Hameau8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 22/1

10 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Royal Shake (GB)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De La Rue Du Chemin VertClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 11/2

09 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Clair De Lune (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De LannoyClass 4 · 12f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 18/1

07 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Massa Chop (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix Du Pays D'ortheClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 16/1

04 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Joukovka (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De CinqueuxClass 3 · 9f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 16/1

01 Sep 26 Deauville (FR) Royal Shake (GB)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De L'etang De ToutevoieClass 3 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 8th 4/1

31 Aug 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Clair De Lune (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de l'Avenue MarengoClass 3 · 12f · Heavy · 15 ran 14th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Caroline Auvray's strike rate?: Caroline Auvray has won 20 of 408 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Caroline Auvray do best at?: Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 143 runners (5.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Caroline Auvray?: Thomas Trullier, with 70 runners since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.3%).
Is Caroline Auvray in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Caroline Auvray's Fair A/E?: 0.69, from 406 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.