Conor Brassil
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91).
The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −70.80 to a £1 stake over 137 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Henry De Bromhead supplies 25% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.7% vs 6.2%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 2.7% over 37 rides, 3.5pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 755 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 755 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 July 2011 to 10 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Conor Brassil's strike rate?
- Conor Brassil has won 14 of 227 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Conor Brassil ride most for?
- Henry De Bromhead, with 56 rides since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (10.7%).
- What is Conor Brassil's Fair A/E?
- 0.91, from 227 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.