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Trainer profile

N Dooly

151 runners in the last 5 seasons · 31 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 15 days ago 95% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
5–151
Wins / Runs
3.3%
Strike rate
n=151
23 (15%)
Placed
0.61
n=151 · 0.49 incl. margin
−119.00
£1 level stake
n=151 at SP · −78.8%
£69,915
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.61).

Deterministic profile computed from 151 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.9%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −97.00 to a £1 stake over 129 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 37 runners, 3.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.34 across 57 runners (1.8% strike, −53.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Coolfighter (GER) — 9 wins from 52 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.3
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.3
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.3
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.9%+0.6
n=129 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −97.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Richard Condon 8.8% vs 3.3% · n=34
With horses switching code 8.6% vs 3.3% · n=35
In NH Flat races 0% vs 3.3% · n=37
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 5.6% vs 3.3% · n=54
With a new jockey booking 1.4% vs 3.3% · n=73 · A/E 0.33
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.8% vs 3.3% · n=57 · A/E 0.34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 91 3 3.3% −70.50
NH Flat 37 0 0% −37.00
Chase 15 2 13.3% −3.50
Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 64 3 4.7% −46.00
Good 42 1 2.4% −34.00
Good to Soft 25 1 4% −19.00
Heavy 19 0 0% −19.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tramore 28 2 7.1% −17.50
Wexford 23 1 4.3% −15.50
Clonmel 15 1 6.7% −9.00
Kilbeggan 14 0 0% −14.00
Punchestown 8 0 0% −8.00
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00
Tipperary 7 0 0% −7.00
Navan 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 1 14.3% 0.64 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 21 4 19% 1.45 +7.00
4th–6th fav 28 0 0% 0.00 −28.00
7th+ in betting 95 0 0% 0.00 −95.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.8% completed · 106 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 15 93.3% 0 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 91 84.6% 2 1 11 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Where's Bunny (IRE)then James Moffatt 23 3 7 16 Sep 23
Cheerful Chap (IRE)then P J Rothwell 16 1 3 22 Oct 23
Down Around (IRE)then P J Rothwell 12 0 5 10 Oct 23
The Monkey Pole (IRE) 10 0 3 5 Oct 26
O Faolains Lass (IRE) 9 0 0 31 May 23
The Ducks Walk (IRE) 7 1 1 2 Oct 26
Infinity Tower (IRE)from C W J Farrell 6 0 0 30 Mar 23
Ballinclay Court (IRE) 5 0 0 31 May 23
Starry Heights (IRE) 4 0 0 18 Apr 23
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C W J Farrell (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for P J Rothwell (4); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000008001113013
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRichard Condon
23% of all rides
8.8% SR · A/E 1.57
RiderRWSR£1
Richard Condon 34 3 8.8% −12.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
26
Archived wins
£314k
Prize money
2016
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Jansboy (GB) — Cheestrings Beginners Chase Listowel (IRE) · Sep 2015
£10,350
Coolfighter (GER) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Tramore · Jun 2018
£9,240
Coolfighter (GER) — O'neills Bar Rated Novice Hurdle Tramore · Aug 2016
£7,995

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Arakan (USA) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2008 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.
Pour Moi (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,682 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 380.
Sea Moon (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 11.8% of 585 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16.2% from 234. Weakest on Soft going: 7.2% from 166.
Jet Away (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,496 runs since 2008 (267 horses).
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,133 runs since 2008 (197 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.5% from 474.
Leading Light (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,196 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 621 · newest first

The latest 50 of 621 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 July 2005 to 5 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is N Dooly's strike rate?
N Dooly has won 5 of 151 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is N Dooly's Fair A/E?
0.61, from 151 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).