Martin Brassil
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.17).
Debutants struggle at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.61). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −73.00 to a £1 stake over 112 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ricky Doyle rides 27% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.3% vs 10%, A/E 1.90) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (20.9%, n=43). The record reads poorly on Good going — 3.4% over 58 runners, 6.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.55 across 74 runners (4.1% strike, −55.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 19 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand National Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2006, £399,140). The stable star of the record: Double Seven (IRE) — 9 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,403 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,403 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 15 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Martin Brassil's strike rate?
- Martin Brassil has won 42 of 421 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Martin Brassil do best at?
- Punchestown by strike rate: 11 wins from 92 runners (12%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Martin Brassil?
- Ricky Doyle, with 112 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (14.3%).
- Is Martin Brassil in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Martin Brassil's Fair A/E?
- 1.17, from 421 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.