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Trainer profile

Martin Brassil

421 runners in the last 5 seasons · 69 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
42–421
Wins / Runs
10%
Strike rate
n=421
116 (28%)
Placed
1.17
n=421 · 0.94 incl. margin
−138.66
£1 level stake
n=421 at SP · −32.9%
£1.39m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.17).

Deterministic profile computed from 421 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Fresh horses: 10.3% 34.4% when favourite Ricky Doyle: 14.3% from 112 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

Debutants struggle at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.61). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −73.00 to a £1 stake over 112 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ricky Doyle rides 27% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.3% vs 10%, A/E 1.90) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (20.9%, n=43). The record reads poorly on Good going — 3.4% over 58 runners, 6.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.55 across 74 runners (4.1% strike, −55.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 19 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand National Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2006, £399,140). The stable star of the record: Double Seven (IRE) — 9 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.3%+0.3
n=145 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −51.01
New recruits · first run for the yard
10.5%+0.5
n=19 · A/E 1.76 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
2.9%−7.1
n=34 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −27.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7.5%−2.5
n=40 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −27.37
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.7%−2.3
n=13 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −10.62
When favourite
34.4%
n=32 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −2.11
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%−5.5
n=112 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −73.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.2%−2.8
n=69 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −11.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 21.4% vs 10% · n=42
Beyond 3m 20.9% vs 10% · n=43
Over 1m5f – 2m 4.4% vs 10% · n=137
On Good going 3.4% vs 10% · n=58
With claiming riders up 4.5% vs 10% · n=112
On Good to Soft going 4.1% vs 10% · n=74
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 210 17 8.1% −108.85
Chase 108 16 14.8% +21.56
NH Flat 52 5 9.6% −19.62
Flat 51 4 7.8% −31.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 211 27 12.8% −23.91
Heavy 76 10 13.2% −14.75
Good to Soft 74 3 4.1% −55.50
Good 58 2 3.4% −42.50
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 92 11 12% −5.87
Leopardstown 45 2 4.4% −26.00
Naas 38 2 5.3% −30.88
Fairyhouse 28 1 3.6% −17.00
Kilbeggan 20 3 15% −8.81
Roscommon 20 3 15% +13.50
Limerick 18 3 16.7% −4.90
Galway 17 1 5.9% −7.50
Cheltenham 12 0 0% −12.00
Tipperary 12 0 0% −12.00
Gowran Park 12 1 8.3% −2.00
Clonmel 11 2 18.2% +0.38
Navan 11 1 9.1% −7.00
Sligo 9 2 22.2% −0.75
Wexford 9 1 11.1% +2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 76 5 6.6% −18.50
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 35 12 34.3% 1.24 +0.39
2nd–3rd fav 85 15 17.6% 1.19 −7.55
4th–6th fav 137 12 8.8% 1.31 −13.50
7th+ in betting 164 3 1.8% 0.67 −118.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.8% completed · 318 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 108 77.8% 7 5 11 0 1
Hurdle 210 90% 5 0 15 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Desertmore House (IRE) 31 6 11 30 Apr 26
Panda Boy (IRE) 22 3 8 1 May 26
Built By Ballymore (IRE)from P M J Doyle 15 2 3 21 Mar 26
Container Madness (IRE) 15 0 1 14 Oct 25
Galileo Springs (IRE) 14 1 6 15 Oct 26
Il Silenzio (GB) 14 2 5 1 Oct 26
Great Universe (GB)from Thomas Gallagher 14 2 8 14 Apr 26
Fastorslow (FR)from A Chaille-Chaille 14 3 7 28 Dec 25
Saffronandblue (IRE) 14 2 3 20 Apr 25
Longhouse Poet (IRE) 14 3 3 4 May 24
Classy Cc (IRE) 12 0 2 5 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 69 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A Chaille-Chaille (3) and P M J Doyle (3); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1637121308191161010
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRicky Doyle
27% of all rides
14.3% SR · A/E 1.90
RiderRWSR£1
Ricky Doyle 112 16 14.3% +19.13
J J Slevin 92 9 9.8% −36.14
Conor Brassil 40 4 10% −19.40
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
148
Archived wins
19
Pattern / graded wins
£3.71m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 17 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Numbersixvalverde (IRE) — Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2006 · Class 1
£399,140
Fastorslow (FR) — Ladbrokes Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · May 2024 · Grade 1
£177,000
Fastorslow (FR) — Ladbrokes Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2023 · Grade 1
£177,000

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Court Cave (IRE) 16.7% · 6–36
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,928 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Valirann (FR) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,437 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 341.
Getaway (GER) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Yeats (IRE) 18.2% · 4–22
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Kayf Tara (GB) 15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,739 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Progeny have won 12.3% of 1,539 runs since 2008 (123 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 6% from 151.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,403 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,403 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Martin Brassil's strike rate?
Martin Brassil has won 42 of 421 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Martin Brassil do best at?
Punchestown by strike rate: 11 wins from 92 runners (12%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Martin Brassil?
Ricky Doyle, with 112 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (14.3%).
Is Martin Brassil in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Martin Brassil's Fair A/E?
1.17, from 421 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).