Seamus Fahey
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 60 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.39).
The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.49 and −139.50 to a £1 stake over 201 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Benjamin P Kennedy rides 24% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (0% vs 2%, A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.48 across 63 runners (3.2% strike, −36.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2008, £108,600). The stable star of the record: Wheresben (IRE) — 9 wins from 37 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,534 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,534 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2005 to 18 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Seamus Fahey's strike rate?
- Seamus Fahey has won 6 of 294 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Who rides most for Seamus Fahey?
- Benjamin P Kennedy, with 70 runners since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 0 (0%).
- Is Seamus Fahey in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Seamus Fahey's Fair A/E?
- 0.39, from 294 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.