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Trainer profile

Seamus Fahey

294 runners in the last 5 seasons · 38 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
6–294
Wins / Runs
2%
Strike rate
n=294
44 (15%)
Placed
0.39
n=294 · 0.31 incl. margin
−225.50
£1 level stake
n=294 at SP · −76.7%
£150k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.39).

Deterministic profile computed from 294 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Benjamin P Kennedy: 0% from 70 Claiming riders: 2.5%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.49 and −139.50 to a £1 stake over 201 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Benjamin P Kennedy rides 24% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (0% vs 2%, A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.48 across 63 runners (3.2% strike, −36.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2008, £108,600). The stable star of the record: Wheresben (IRE) — 9 wins from 37 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.0
n=61 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −61.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.0
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.0
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
When favourite
0%
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.5%+0.5
n=201 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −139.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 4.9% vs 2% · n=41
With Benjamin P Kennedy 0% vs 2% · n=70
With horses switching code 0% vs 2% · n=52
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 2% · n=33
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 2% · n=30
Over 1m – 1m1f 3.2% vs 2% · n=63 · A/E 0.48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 135 2 1.5% −107.00
Flat 130 3 2.3% −97.50
NH Flat 23 1 4.3% −15.00
Chase 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 102 3 2.9% −67.50
Good 77 1 1.3% −56.00
Good to Soft 54 1 1.9% −48.00
Standard (AW) 30 0 0% −30.00
Heavy 28 1 3.6% −21.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 28 0 0% −28.00
Gowran Park 25 0 0% −25.00
Clonmel 18 2 11.1% −5.50
Wexford 16 0 0% −16.00
Leopardstown 15 1 6.7% +6.00
Cork 14 0 0% −14.00
Limerick 14 0 0% −14.00
Roscommon 14 0 0% −14.00
Kilbeggan 12 0 0% −12.00
Down Royal 12 1 8.3% +9.00
Sligo 12 0 0% −12.00
Naas 12 0 0% −12.00
Ballinrobe 11 0 0% −11.00
Galway 10 0 0% −10.00
Killarney 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00
2nd–3rd fav 26 1 3.8% 0.28 −19.00
4th–6th fav 69 3 4.3% 0.58 −49.50
7th+ in betting 188 2 1.1% 0.43 −146.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sinbad My Dad (IRE) 37 2 6 18 Oct 26
Jazz Dreamers (IRE) 32 1 6 16 Oct 26
Randall Poets Lass (IRE) 21 0 3 26 Sep 25
Leviosa (IRE)from Leanne Breen 21 0 4 2 Oct 24
Kalanisi Dubh (IRE) 20 2 4 10 Jun 25
Cullagh Pride (IRE) 14 0 4 23 Aug 25
Init Together (GB)from Padraig Roche · then Tony Carroll 14 0 4 4 Oct 24
Beat Of The Sea (IRE)from E Sheehy 14 0 1 7 Aug 23
Big Belief (IRE)from A Oliver 9 0 0 1 May 23
Take All (IRE)then John Joseph Hanlon 9 0 2 27 Dec 22
Camino Mission (IRE)from W McCreery 8 0 0 29 May 24
Keiths Boy (IRE) 7 0 2 2 Apr 26
All 38 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 38 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Ross O'Sullivan (2); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000533025
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
24% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Benjamin P Kennedy 70 0 0% −70.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
111
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.56m
Prize money
2006
Best season · 16 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Wheresben (IRE) — Paddy Power Handicap Chase Leopardstown · Dec 2008 · Grade B
£108,600
Wheresben (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Handicap Chase Navan · Mar 2008 · Grade C
£33,852
Wheresben (IRE) — Nolan & Brophy Handicap Hurdle (0-140) Naas · Mar 2007
£19,530

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Smooth Daddy (USA) 5.4% · 2–37
Progeny have won 7.6% of 331 runs since 2008 (26 horses).
Red Jazz (USA) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,868 runs since 2008 (130 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171.
Kalanisi (IRE) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,742 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Anjaal (GB) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,214 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.4% from 161.
Urban Poet (USA) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 4.8% of 517 runs since 2008 (38 horses).
Born To Sea (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,271 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 960. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 864. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 723.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,534 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,534 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2005 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Seamus Fahey's strike rate?
Seamus Fahey has won 6 of 294 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Seamus Fahey?
Benjamin P Kennedy, with 70 runners since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 0 (0%).
Is Seamus Fahey in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Seamus Fahey's Fair A/E?
0.39, from 294 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).