No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceFirst rides: 5.1%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.1%+1.5
n=39 · A/E 1.47 · £1 −16.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
33.3%+29.7
n=3 · A/E 2.39 · £1 +12.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−3.6
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−3.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With James Moffatt6.7% vs 3.6% · n=30
In Flat races3.6% vs 3.6% · n=55 · A/E 0.72
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm2400%−24.00
Good1600%−16.00
Good to Soft900%−9.00
Standard (AW)4250%+18.50
Firm100%−1.00
Soft100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle1000%−10.00
Carlisle800%−8.00
Catterick800%−8.00
Hamilton600%−6.00
Ayr500%−5.00
Wolverhampton (AW)4250%+18.50
Musselburgh300%−3.00
Pontefract200%−2.00
Thirsk200%−2.00
Haydock200%−2.00
Redcar100%−1.00
Ripon100%−1.00
Strasbourg (FR)100%−1.00
Beverley100%−1.00
York100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 52600%−26.00
Class 619210.5%+3.50
Class 4500%−5.00
Class 1200%−2.00
Class 3200%−2.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav300%0.00−3.00
4th–6th fav1616.3%0.91−8.50
7th+ in betting3612.8%0.92−21.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f1500%−15.00
1m – 1m1f1417.1%+1.00
6f – 7f1100%−11.00
1m5f – 2m7114.3%+0.50
Under 6f700%−7.00
2m1f – 2m4f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20094724.3%−24.50
2010600%−6.00
2012100%−1.00
2014100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4224.8%−19.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners2129.5%+1.50
8-10 runners1800%−18.00
5-7 runners1000%−10.00
14-16 runners400%−4.00
17+ runners100%−1.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 39 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·0100·40000···
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→
2
Archived wins
£9,915
Prize money
2009
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kings Maiden (IRE) — Bet Asian Handicaps - Betdaq Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · May 2009 · Class 6
£2,730
Ergo (FR) — Enjoy The Lucky 7 Group Offer Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Mar 2009 · Class 6
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Grand Lodge (USA)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,359 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 250. Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 182.
Intikhab (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.
King's Theatre (IRE)33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Mull Of Kintyre (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9% of 2,100 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.2% from 409. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 306.
Selkirk (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 58 · newest first
The latest 50 of 58 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2007 to 20 August 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Darren Moffatt's strike rate?
Darren Moffatt has won 2 of 55 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Darren Moffatt's Fair A/E?
0.72, from 54 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Darren Moffatt·SR 3.6%·A/E 0.72
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