What is Peter Niven's strike rate?

Peter Niven has won 47 of 436 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Peter Niven do best at?

Redcar by strike rate: 8 wins from 30 runners (26.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Peter Niven in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Peter Niven's Fair A/E?

1.18, from 435 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Peter Niven

436 runners in the last 5 seasons · 52 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

47–436

Wins / Runs

10.8%

Strike rate

n=436

112 (26%)

Placed

1.18

Fair A/E

n=435 · 1.01 incl. margin

−48.29

£1 level stake

n=436 at SP · −11.1%

£427k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.18). With a claiming rider up the record reads 15% (117 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 436 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Sep 26.7% when favourite Claiming riders: 15.4% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Redcar (26.7%, n=30), clear of the yard's 10.8% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 15.4% (n=117, Fair A/E 1.45), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 6.9% (n=72, Fair A/E 0.88). The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (23.8%, n=42) and in Class 6 (17.8%, n=169). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 0% over 74 runners, 10.8pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betway Yorkshire Cup at York (May 2016, £90,736). The stable star of the record: Hurstwood (GB) — 11 wins from 80 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.9%−3.9

n=72 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −13.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.5%+1.7

n=16 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +13.00

Debutants · first career start

7.7%−3.1

n=26 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −15.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−4.5

n=16 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −11.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−10.8

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

When favourite

26.7%

n=30 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −5.12

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

15.4%+4.6

n=117 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +52.03

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.8

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Redcar 26.7% vs 10.8% · n=30

On Good to Firm going 23.8% vs 10.8% · n=42

In Class 4 0% vs 10.8% · n=74

On last-time-out winners 20.4% vs 10.8% · n=49

In Class 6 17.8% vs 10.8% · n=169

On Soft going 2.4% vs 10.8% · n=41

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 273 33 12.1% +11.51

Hurdle 78 4 5.1% −47.17

Chase 50 8 16% +11.37

NH Flat 35 2 5.7% −24.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 151 18 11.9% +12.95

Standard (AW) 132 14 10.6% −2.65

Good to Soft 65 4 6.2% −39.25

Good to Firm 42 10 23.8% +19.16

Soft 41 1 2.4% −33.50

Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 81 5 6.2% −45.62

Market Rasen 41 6 14.6% −8.55

Catterick 31 1 3.2% −28.25

Redcar 30 8 26.7% +51.66

Southwell (AW) 29 4 13.8% +12.35

Ripon 25 3 12% −7.00

Thirsk 22 2 9.1% −7.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 19 4 21.1% +32.00

Musselburgh 16 1 6.3% −13.00

Wetherby 16 1 6.3% −8.50

Doncaster 15 3 20% +8.50

Sedgefield 14 1 7.1% −8.00

Newcastle 9 0 0% −9.00

Southwell 9 0 0% −9.00

Kelso 8 1 12.5% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 169 30 17.8% +97.01

Class 5 155 13 8.4% −70.80

Class 4 74 0 0% −74.00

Class 2 24 2 8.3% −3.50

Class 1 7 1 14.3% +2.00

Class 3 7 1 14.3% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 34 9 26.5% 0.97 −4.79

2nd–3rd fav 88 18 20.5% 1.26 +11.00

4th–6th fav 131 10 7.6% 0.98 −30.50

7th+ in betting 183 10 5.5% 1.68 −24.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hurstwood (GB)from Paul Midgley 58 9 17 16 Oct 26

Sugar Baby (GB) 44 9 17 16 Oct 26

Prospect House (IRE)from Jamie Albert Sloan 31 5 15 10 Oct 26

Malystic (GB) 28 4 8 1 Jan 26

Misty Mani (GB) 22 3 8 7 Jun 24

Annalee Lass (IRE)from Lawrence Mullaney 20 1 6 4 Mar 26

Quintus Arrius (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 17 0 1 10 Jan 26

Monsieur Fantaisie (IRE)from Archie Watson · then Roger Fell 15 3 9 21 Apr 25

Chantilly Moon (GB) 14 0 0 28 May 25

Storm Force One (GB) 13 0 5 11 Jan 24

Little Beck Annie (GB) 12 1 3 15 Oct 26

Admiral Nelson (GB)from J F Levins 12 1 2 1 Oct 24

All 52 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 52 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J F Levins (2) and Lawrence Mullaney (2); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Roger Fell (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

16119841314151811012

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBrian Hughes

8% of all rides
5.7% SR · A/E 0.49

RiderRWSR£1

Brian Hughes 35 2 5.7% −22.00

Cam Hardie 31 1 3.2% −14.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

179

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.54m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 17 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Clever Cookie (GB) — Betway Yorkshire Cup (Group 2) (British Champions Series) York · May 2016 · Group 2

£90,736

Clever Cookie (GB) — Boodles Diamond Ormonde Stakes (25K Field Size Bonus Race) (Group 3) Chester · May 2015 · Group 3

£56,710

Malystic (GB) — Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Doncaster · Jan 2023 · Class 2

£26,405

Notable horses

Hurstwood (GB) Clever Cookie (GB) Sugar Baby (GB) Malystic (GB) Golden Future (GB) Beat The Shower (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 15.5% · 9–58

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 20.5% · 9–44

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,979 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Malinas (GER) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,938 runs since 2008 (419 horses).

Retirement Plan (GB) 16.1% · 5–31

Progeny have won 7.8% of 154 runs since 2008 (17 horses).

Sulamani (IRE) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,243 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Pether's Moon (IRE) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 13.2% of 901 runs since 2008 (106 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,071 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,071 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Oct 26 Redcar Jam Lass (GB)J: Mr Joshua Brown Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 7th 9/2

16 Oct 26 Redcar Sugar Baby (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 9th 7/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Hurstwood (GB)J: Jake Dickson Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 7th 10/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Little Beck Annie (GB)J: Mark Winn Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 22/1

10 Oct 26 Hexham Prospect House (IRE)J: William Maggs Blaydon Races Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 15.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 11/4J

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Popalot (GB)J: Brian Hughes Mowden Park Rfc Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 6th 18/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) West Sleekburn Lad (GB)J: Mr Eireann Cagney bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 11/2

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Prospect House (IRE)J: William Maggs F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 1st 14/1

26 Sep 26 Ripon Hurstwood (GB)J: Mark Winn Michael Raby Memorial Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 4th 7/2

24 Sep 26 Pontefract Jam Lass (GB)J: Cam Hardie Pontefract Prince Of Wales Hospice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good · 8 ran 4th 10/1

19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) West Sleekburn Lad (GB)J: Billy Garritty Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 13/2

15 Sep 26 Redcar Sugar Baby (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 12th 20/1

14 Sep 26 Thirsk Clova Royale (GB)J: Alex Jary Constant Security Services Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 10th 66/1

09 Sep 26 Redcar Hurstwood (GB)J: Mark Winn Visit Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 1st 6/1

09 Sep 26 Carlisle Little Beck Annie (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Quickstep Supporting Andersons Autumn Flooring Offers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

03 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Little Beck Annie (GB)J: Mark Winn Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 8/1

02 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Clova Royale (GB)J: Mark Winn Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 12/1

31 Aug 26 Ripon Jam Lass (GB)J: Mr Joshua Brown Aja Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 18/1

22 Aug 26 Redcar Hurstwood (GB)J: Billy Garritty Celebrate National Racehorse Week Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 1st 20/1

22 Aug 26 Redcar Sugar Baby (GB)J: Billy Garritty Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 5th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Peter Niven's strike rate?: Peter Niven has won 47 of 436 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Peter Niven do best at?: Redcar by strike rate: 8 wins from 30 runners (26.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Peter Niven in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Peter Niven's Fair A/E?: 1.18, from 435 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.