What is David Brassil's strike rate?

David Brassil has won 10 of 183 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Brassil do best at?

Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 119 rides (5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does David Brassil ride most for?

F-M Cottin, with 113 rides since 2008 — 62% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.1%).

What is David Brassil's Fair A/E?

0.74, from 180 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

David Brassil

183 rides in the lifetime window · 102 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2019 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

10–183

Wins / Runs

5.5%

Strike rate

n=183

41 (22%)

Placed

0.74

Fair A/E

n=180 · 0.69 incl. margin

−102.10

£1 level stake

n=183 at SP · −55.8%

£388k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (47 runs). Rode mostly for F-M Cottin — 62% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 183 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8.5% F-M Cottin: 7.1% from 113

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 8.5% (n=47, Fair A/E 1.42). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −49.00 to a £1 stake over 102 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. F-M Cottin supplied 62% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 0.85). The rider also read well off a 61-180-day break (9.7%, n=31). The record read poorly off a 8-14-day break — 2.4% over 42 rides, 3.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.9%−0.6

n=102 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −49.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20%+14.5

n=5 · A/E 1.78 · £1 −2.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.5%+3.0

n=47 · A/E 1.42 · £1 −6.80

When favourite

27.3%

n=11 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −4.80

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5%−0.5

n=140 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −82.60

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.3%−1.2

n=69 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −32.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.5

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 12.9% vs 5.5% · n=31

Off a 61-180-day break 9.7% vs 5.5% · n=31

Off a 8-14-day break 2.4% vs 5.5% · n=42

At Enghien (FR) 2.9% vs 5.5% · n=35

Off a 15-30-day break 7.7% vs 5.5% · n=52

With F-M Cottin 7.1% vs 5.5% · n=113 · A/E 0.85

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 118 5 4.2% −74.30

Chase 64 4 6.3% −38.80

Flat 1 1 100% +11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 128 8 6.3% −54.60

Heavy 54 2 3.7% −46.50

Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 119 6 5% −59.60

Enghien (FR) 35 1 2.9% −30.00

Compiegne (FR) 24 2 8.3% −19.50

Fontainebleau 2 0 0% −2.00

Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Naas 1 0 0% −1.00

Argentan 1 1 100% +11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 11 3 27.3% 0.84 −4.80

2nd–3rd fav 22 2 9.1% 0.34 −5.00

4th–6th fav 38 5 13.2% 1.76 +19.70

7th+ in betting 112 0 0% 0.00 −112.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.2% completed · 182 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 64 85.9% 7 0 2 0 0

Hurdle 118 84.7% 6 0 10 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mister Emily (FR) 11 0 4 4 Oct 16

Le Meteque (FR) 9 1 3 9 Jun 19

Le Puy De Sancy (FR) 7 0 2 23 Nov 15

Baron Du Seuil (FR) 6 1 2 14 Oct 17

La Foret (FR) 6 0 2 21 Nov 16

Dominicaine (FR) 4 0 2 14 Jun 19

Rasique (FR) 4 2 2 14 May 19

Calune (FR) 4 0 1 5 Mar 18

Limara (FR) 4 0 0 22 Jun 15

Guyonne (FR) 3 0 0 1 Jun 19

Hell's Queen (FR) 3 1 1 19 May 19

Furie D'Ainay (FR) 3 0 0 18 May 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 102 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0330985·00830

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardF-M Cottin

62% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 0.85

TrainerRWSR£1

F-M Cottin 113 8 7.1% −51.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

£388k

Prize money

2019

Best season · 3 wins

Hell's Queen (FR) — Prix Bougie (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Feb 2019

£22,703

Love Moon (FR) — Prix Kashnil (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2017

£22,564

Le Meteque (FR) — Prix de Chantilly (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2018

£22,301

Notable horses

Rasique (FR) Le Meteque (FR) Baron Du Seuil (FR) Hell's Queen (FR) Royal Piper (FR) A La Prochaine (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mister Conway (FR) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 4.4% of 45 runs since 2008 (4 horses).

Early March (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 9.1% of 910 runs since 2008 (119 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.9% from 202. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13% from 138. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.9% from 127.

Forestier (FR) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 8.8% of 454 runs since 2008 (44 horses).

Nombre Premier (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 10.8% of 490 runs since 2008 (68 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.9% from 118.

Le Triton (USA) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 9.4% of 384 runs since 2008 (58 horses).

Network (GER) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,768 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 274.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 183 · newest first

The latest 50 of 183 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 October 2012 to 14 June 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Jun 19 Auteuil (FR) Dominicaine (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Xavier de Chevigny (Chase) (AQPS Conditions) (5-6yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 11 ran F 26/1

14 Jun 19 Auteuil (FR) Fangio (POL)T: Davide Satalia Prix Port Said (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran F 17/5

09 Jun 19 Auteuil (FR) Kallipso (FR)T: A Junk Prix de la Concorde (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran 13th 65/1

09 Jun 19 Auteuil (FR) Le Meteque (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Gacko (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran 3rd 17/1

01 Jun 19 Auteuil (FR) Dominicaine (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Quo Vadis (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 8 ran F 21/10F

01 Jun 19 Auteuil (FR) Guyonne (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Jean Victor (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 14 ran 4th 19/1

01 Jun 19 Auteuil (FR) Sassari (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Gopal (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran 8th 14/1

28 May 19 Auteuil (FR) Race To Glory (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Valmajour (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 8th 22/1

25 May 19 Compiegne (FR) Eclittica (IRE)T: Davide Satalia Prix PMU l'As des As (Prix de Saint-Germain) (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)16f · Very Soft · 7 ran 4th 23/1

25 May 19 Compiegne (FR) Bullrider (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix le Bouif (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran 7th 19/1

25 May 19 Compiegne (FR) Bolt Of Lightning (IRE)T: Davide Satalia Prix PMU le Balto (Prix Ouistreham) (Chase) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 8 ran 7th 11/1

25 May 19 Compiegne (FR) Marais (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix PMU a la Victoire (Prix Galafron) (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)16f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 36/1

19 May 19 Auteuil (FR) Candos (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Jackal (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 18 ran 5th 58/10

19 May 19 Auteuil (FR) Le Meteque (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Tanerko (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 18 ran F 15/1

19 May 19 Auteuil (FR) Hell's Queen (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Wild Risk (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 17 ran 9th 14/1

18 May 19 Auteuil (FR) Furie D'Ainay (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Le Parisien (Prix Le Guales De Mezaubran) (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 16 ran 9th 18/1

14 May 19 Compiegne (FR) Rasique (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix du Morbihan (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 10 ran 1st EvensF

14 May 19 Compiegne (FR) Constante (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Pansa (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+ Mares) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran 3rd 23/1

14 May 19 Compiegne (FR) Pinaclouddown (IRE)T: J-Y Artu Prix Gacko (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)16f · Very Soft · 12 ran F 57/1

10 May 19 Auteuil (FR) Dix Mille (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix de Pouilly (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 47/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Brassil's strike rate?: David Brassil has won 10 of 183 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Brassil do best at?: Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 119 rides (5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does David Brassil ride most for?: F-M Cottin, with 113 rides since 2008 — 62% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.1%).
What is David Brassil's Fair A/E?: 0.74, from 180 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.