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Jockey profile

Declan Bates

4 rides in the last 5 seasons · 4 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 129 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–4
Wins / Runs
25%
Strike rate
n=4
1 (25%)
Placed
3.69
Fair A/E
n=4 · 3.09 incl. margin
+4.50
£1 level stake
n=4 at SP · +112.5%
£234k
Prize money (window)

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 25% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
25%+0.0
n=4 · A/E 3.69 · £1 +4.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−25.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
50%+25.0
n=2 · A/E 7.68 · £1 +6.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
25%+0.0
n=4 · A/E 3.69 · £1 +4.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 25% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 2 1 50% +6.50
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
4th–6th fav 1 1 100% 10.25 +7.50
7th+ in betting 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Warnie (IRE) 1 0 0 13 Jun 26
Voynichese (AUS) 1 0 0 13 Jun 26
Zou Sensation (AUS) 1 0 0 6 Jun 26
Fireball Miss (AUS) 1 1 1 6 Jun 26
All 4 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Ciaron Maher 2 1 50% +6.50
Nick Olive 1 0 0% −1.00
Leon & Troy Corstens & Will Larkin 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
84
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£945k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 19 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Fireball Miss (AUS) — Seven Queensland Oaks (Fillies) (Turf) Eagle Farm (AUS) · Jun 2026 · Group 1
£207,921
Penny's Bill (IRE) — Bettyville Park Veterans Handicap Chase Wexford · Mar 2012
£14,625
Al's Memory (IRE) — Liverpool One Handicap Chester · Jul 2013 · Class 2
£12,938
Notable horses
Black Dave (IRE) Annaluna (IRE) Forest Edge (IRE) Spider Lily (GB) Jacks Island (IRE) Paddy O Dee (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bivouac (AUS) 100% · 1–1
Progeny have won 75% of 4 runs since 2008 (3 horses). A small sample.
Highland Reel (IRE) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,505 runs since 2008 (161 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.4% from 144.
Pinatubo (IRE) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 13.9% of 1,074 runs since 2008 (181 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 10.7% from 112.
Zoustar (AUS) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,736 runs since 2008 (313 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.3% from 328. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.6% from 193.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,362 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,362 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 October 2007 to 13 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Jun 26 Eagle Farm (AUS) Warnie (IRE)T: Ciaron Maher Ladbrokes Stradbroke Handicap (Handicap) (Turf)7f · Heavy · 18 ran 8th 25/1
13 Jun 26 Eagle Farm (AUS) Voynichese (AUS)T: Nick Olive Trackside NZ J.J. Atkins (Turf)8f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 10/1
06 Jun 26 Eagle Farm (AUS) Zou Sensation (AUS)T: Leon & Troy Corstens & Will Larkin Ladbrokes Moreton Cup (Turf)6f · Good · 11 ran 10th 12/1
06 Jun 26 Eagle Farm (AUS) Fireball Miss (AUS)T: Ciaron Maher Seven Queensland Oaks (Fillies) (Turf)11f · Good · 18 ran 1st 15/2
28 Aug 15 Ffos Las Sir Billy Wright (IRE)T: David Evans Sinclairs HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Heavy · 5 ran 3rd 15/8J
24 Aug 15 Kempton (AW) Saint Helena (IRE)T: Mark Gillard Racing UK Anywhere HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 2nd 25/1
20 Aug 15 Lingfield (AW) Smugglers Lane (IRE)T: David Evans Bhest Racing To School Handicap (AW)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 25/1
20 Aug 15 Lingfield (AW) Fast Scat (USA)T: David Evans Hickstead Show Ground Handicap (AW)Class 6 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 8/1
19 Aug 15 Ffos Las Black Dave (IRE)T: David Evans Victorian Sliders HandicapClass 5 · 7.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 3/1
19 Aug 15 Ffos Las Sir Billy Wright (IRE)T: David Evans Centerplate HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 15/8F
18 Aug 15 Leicester Cabuchon (GER)T: David Evans Countesthorpe HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 16/1
17 Aug 15 Windsor Surprise Us (GB)T: Mark Gillard Unibet 90+ Cashback Offer Selling StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 14/1
14 Aug 15 Newbury Phantom River (GB)T: Alan King Al Basti Equiworld EBF Stallions Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 28/1
13 Aug 15 Ffos Las Annaluna (IRE)T: David Evans Camarthen HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 3/1
13 Aug 15 Ffos Las Black Dave (IRE)T: David Evans Llanelli HandicapClass 5 · 7.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 7/2
13 Aug 15 Ffos Las Sark (IRE)T: David Evans European Breeders' Fund Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7.5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 25/1
30 Jul 15 Ffos Las Annaluna (IRE)T: David Evans Garej Raymond HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 7/1
30 Jul 15 Ffos Las Ourlittle Senorita (GB)T: Miss Imogen Pickard Bluebell Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good · 7 ran 7th 100/1
29 Jul 15 Sandown Garcon De Soleil (GB)T: Michael Blanshard EBF Stallions Unibet's Community Shield Penalty Payback Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 13th 100/1
28 Jul 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Ofcoursewecan (USA)T: Mark Gillard Award Winning Fine Dining At Horizons HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Declan Bates's strike rate?
Declan Bates has won 1 of 4 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 25% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 rides, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).