No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (82 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 130 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 7.3%
The read
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well off a 15-30-day break (10.8%, n=37). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 61 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Mister Fizz (GB) — 6 wins from 49 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.6
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.6
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.6
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.6
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.98 · £1 +2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.3%+2.7
n=82 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −23.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break10.8% vs 4.6% · n=37
Over 1m5f – 2m0% vs 4.6% · n=61
With claiming riders up7.3% vs 4.6% · n=82
In Flat races7.1% vs 4.6% · n=56
On Good going2.2% vs 4.6% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat5647.1%−38.50
Hurdle5323.8%−12.00
Chase1200%−12.00
NH Flat900%−9.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good4512.2%−41.00
Standard (AW)2514%−21.50
Soft2314.3%−20.00
Good to Soft2229.1%+19.00
Good to Firm1218.3%−5.00
Heavy300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW)1616.3%−12.50
Worcester1300%−13.00
Ludlow8112.5%+18.00
Cheltenham700%−7.00
Uttoxeter700%−7.00
Ffos Las500%−5.00
Stratford500%−5.00
Newbury400%−4.00
Haydock4250%+3.00
Southwell300%−3.00
Leicester300%−3.00
Kempton300%−3.00
Huntingdon300%−3.00
Nottingham300%−3.00
Goodwood3133.3%+4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 54836.3%−33.50
Class 43313%−30.00
Class 62200%−22.00
Class 31417.1%+12.00
Class 29111.1%+6.00
Class 1400%−4.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite2150%1.98+2.00
2nd–3rd fav7228.6%1.35−0.50
4th–6th fav3812.6%0.48−31.00
7th+ in betting8322.4%1.17−42.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m6100%−61.00
1m2f – 1m4f24416.7%−6.50
2m1f – 2m4f2400%−24.00
2m5f – 3m13215.4%+28.00
6f – 7f300%−3.00
1m – 1m1f200%−2.00
Over 3m200%−2.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2010300%−3.00
2011100%−1.00
201316318.8%−1.50
20144025%−11.00
20153313%−18.00
20161500%−15.00
20171200%−12.00
2018400%−4.00
2019500%−5.00
2020100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps8056.3%−47.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners4624.3%−13.00
5-7 runners3013.3%−26.50
11-13 runners2727.4%−8.00
14-16 runners1800%−18.00
17+ runners600%−6.00
2-4 runners3133.3%+0.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 19 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Price (2) and Edward Bevan (2); 9 had their first archived run for this yard.
5 have since run for another yard; 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000007813690
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mister Fizz (GB) — Toteswinger Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Aug 2015 · Class 2
£22,522
Mister Fizz (GB) — November Introductory Hurdle Ludlow · Nov 2014 · Class 3
£6,498
Mister Fizz (GB) — Music Here On 8th August Handicap Haydock · Jul 2014 · Class 4
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,243 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
Trade Fair (GB)0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,230 runs since 2008 (113 horses).
Montjeu (IRE)0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,895 runs since 2008 (165 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.9% from 227. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5% from 278.
Green Card (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 2.3% of 44 runs since 2008 (7 horses).
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2008 (291 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 131 · newest first
The latest 50 of 131 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 March 2007 to 23 February 2020.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Miss Imogen Pickard's strike rate?
Miss Imogen Pickard has won 6 of 130 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Miss Imogen Pickard's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 130 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Miss Imogen Pickard·SR 4.6%·A/E 1.04
KTB
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