Skip to content
Trainer profile

Michael Blanshard

1,835 runners in the lifetime window · 139 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2021 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
91–1,835
Wins / Runs
5%
Strike rate
n=1,835
359 (20%)
Placed
0.76
Fair A/E
n=1,829 · 0.65 incl. margin
−882.54
£1 level stake
n=1,835 at SP · −48.1%
£587k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.76).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,835 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Apr 20% when favourite David Probert: 7% from 214 Sent off the favourite in 2% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (8.4%, n=311), clear of the yard's 5% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=98, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −55.00 to a £1 stake over 126 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. David Probert rode 12% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7% vs 5%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (9.9%, n=71). The record read poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 55 runners, 5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sky Bet Windsor Sprint Series Finale Handicap at Windsor (Aug 2016, £48,518). The stable star of the record was The Jobber (IRE) — 8 wins from 68 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.1%−0.9
n=245 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −121.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.0
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.0
n=98 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −98.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
2.5%−2.5
n=40 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −35.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4.3%−0.7
n=23 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −16.50
When favourite
20%
n=45 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −13.62
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4%−1.0
n=126 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −55.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Jimmy McCarthy 11.1% vs 5% · n=54
With debutants 0% vs 5% · n=98
With James Doyle 10.8% vs 5% · n=37
Off a 0-7-day break 9.9% vs 5% · n=71
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 5% · n=55
At Lingfield (AW) 8.4% vs 5% · n=311
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,712 84 4.9% −831.29
Hurdle 107 7 6.5% −35.25
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 836 48 5.7% −295.00
Good to Firm 331 13 3.9% −202.25
Good 269 9 3.3% −180.00
Soft 162 11 6.8% −70.54
Good to Soft 145 6 4.1% −75.00
Firm 58 1 1.7% −47.00
Heavy 34 3 8.8% −12.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 361 15 4.2% −182.00
Lingfield (AW) 311 26 8.4% −63.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 133 7 5.3% −19.00
Bath 123 4 3.3% −94.50
Salisbury 112 6 5.4% −20.00
Chepstow 84 3 3.6% −66.75
Windsor 76 3 3.9% −56.25
Lingfield 70 4 5.7% −19.17
Newbury 57 3 5.3% −24.00
Goodwood 50 3 6% −21.50
Ffos Las 47 4 8.5% −11.50
Leicester 46 2 4.3% −23.00
Brighton 44 1 2.3% −40.25
Warwick 32 2 6.3% −21.62
Sandown 30 0 0% −30.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 797 42 5.3% −329.67
Class 5 696 32 4.6% −362.62
Class 4 240 14 5.8% −113.75
Class 3 46 1 2.2% −35.00
Class 2 29 2 6.9% −14.50
Class 7 21 0 0% −21.00
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 60 11 18.3% 0.87 −21.62
2nd–3rd fav 226 27 11.9% 0.85 −66.42
4th–6th fav 580 31 5.3% 0.69 −277.50
7th+ in betting 969 22 2.3% 0.73 −517.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Famous Dynasty (IRE)then Jonathan Portman 71 5 23 21 Apr 21
Ivanhoe (GB) 65 3 17 30 Oct 18
Dishy Guru (GB) 62 8 13 5 Dec 16
Accomplice (GB) 56 8 23 4 May 21
Fair Comment (GB) 56 2 17 11 Apr 17
Stellarta (GB) 53 7 21 30 Dec 17
The Composer (GB) 52 3 12 10 Feb 15
Copperwood (GB)then Mark Johnston 49 5 18 18 Jan 12
Charles Darwin (IRE) 44 3 9 30 Mar 11
Bajan Bear (GB)then David Nicholls 43 3 13 26 Feb 14
The Jobber (IRE) 39 2 8 22 Sep 10
Mrs Benson (IRE) 37 1 12 8 Apr 21
The 60 most-raced of 139 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Charles Hills (2); 50 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Jonathan Portman (2); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
4810743366135
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDavid Probert
12% of all rides
7% SR · A/E 1.08
RiderRWSR£1
David Probert 214 15 7% −77.62
Liam Keniry 166 9 5.4% −81.25
Fergus Sweeney 136 4 2.9% −111.75
Dane O'Neill 105 9 8.6% −19.50
Steve Drowne 102 3 2.9% −52.00
Franny Norton 86 4 4.7% −36.00
Jimmy Quinn 79 2 2.5% −18.00
Rob Hornby 66 4 6.1% −13.67
Jimmy McCarthy 54 6 11.1% +13.25
Luke Morris 46 2 4.3% −30.00
James Doyle 37 4 10.8% −2.00
Kieran O'Neill 35 1 2.9% −22.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
127
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.05m
Prize money
2006
Best season · 18 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Stellarta (GB) — Sky Bet Windsor Sprint Series Finale Handicap Windsor · Aug 2016 · Class 2
£48,518
The Trader I (IRE) — Prix du Gros-Chene Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2005 · Group 2
£48,511
The Jobber (IRE) — Coral 'Bookmaker Of The Year' Handicap Haydock · Aug 2006 · Class 2
£16,193
Notable horses
The Jobber (IRE) Dishy Guru (GB) Accomplice (GB) Synonymy (GB) Stellarta (GB) Charles Darwin (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Compton Place (GB) 5.7% · 7–123
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Sakhee's Secret (GB) 12.4% · 15–121
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,866 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.3% from 772.
Iceman (GB) 2.5% · 2–81
Progeny have won 8.1% of 2,215 runs since 2008 (119 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 206. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 137.
Ishiguru (USA) 11.4% · 9–79
Progeny have won 10.4% of 3,199 runs since 2008 (156 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.5% from 155.
Haafhd (GB) 4.2% · 3–72
Progeny have won 11% of 4,748 runs since 2008 (305 horses).
Famous Name (GB) 7% · 5–71
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,510 runs since 2008 (102 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,567 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,567 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 4 May 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 May 21 Lingfield (AW) Accomplice (GB)J: David Probert Read Hollie Doyle's Column On attheraces.com HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 11/1
29 Apr 21 Lingfield (AW) Accomplice (GB)J: David Probert Kentucky Derby On Sky Sports Racing HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 11/1
26 Apr 21 Windsor Wisper (IRE)J: David Probert Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 4th 16/1
26 Apr 21 Southwell (AW) Ladyroc (GB)J: Adam McNamara Free Racecourse Entry With Golf Membership HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 150/1
21 Apr 21 Lingfield (AW) Accomplice (GB)J: David Probert Visit attheraces.com/marketmovers Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 9/1
21 Apr 21 Lingfield (AW) Famous Dynasty (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Watch Free Race Replays On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 15/2
14 Apr 21 Kempton (AW) Wisper (IRE)J: David Probert Wise Betting At racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 5th 11/1
14 Apr 21 Kempton (AW) Ladyroc (GB)J: Charlie Bennett Unibet New Instant Roulette HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 14th 200/1
09 Apr 21 Kempton (AW) Famous Dynasty (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Unibet New Instant Roulette HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 10th 14/1
09 Apr 21 Kempton (AW) Supremo (GB)J: David Probert Bet At racingtv.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 150/1
08 Apr 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Mrs Benson (IRE)J: David Probert Support The Injured Jockeys Fund Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 17/2
01 Apr 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Accomplice (GB)J: David Probert Support The Injured Jockeys Fund HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 28/1
31 Mar 21 Kempton (AW) Wisper (IRE)J: David Probert Join Racing TV Now Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 4th 5/1
31 Mar 21 Kempton (AW) Mrs Benson (IRE)J: David Probert Bet At Racing TV Classified StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 13th 17/2
27 Mar 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Supremo (GB)J: Charlie Bennett Get Your Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boost Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 300/1
18 Mar 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Famous Dynasty (IRE)J: David Probert tote.co.uk Live Streaming Every UK Race Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 8/1
17 Mar 21 Kempton (AW) Mrs Benson (IRE)J: David Probert Wise Betting At racingtv.com Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 3rd 9/2
12 Mar 21 Lingfield (AW) Wisper (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Get Your Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boost HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 12/1
10 Mar 21 Lingfield (AW) Accomplice (GB)J: Hollie Doyle Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 7/1
03 Mar 21 Lingfield (AW) Famous Dynasty (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Betway Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 10/3J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Blanshard's strike rate?
Michael Blanshard has won 91 of 1,835 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Blanshard do best at?
Ffos Las by strike rate: 4 wins from 47 runners (8.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Blanshard?
David Probert, with 214 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (7%).
What is Michael Blanshard's Fair A/E?
0.76, from 1,829 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).