Emma Smith-Chaston
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.17). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (50 rides). Rides mostly for Micky Hammond — 68% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Sedgefield (17.6%, n=68) and Catterick (15.3%, n=59) — all clear of the rider's 10.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24% (n=50, Fair A/E 1.33), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.57). Micky Hammond supplies 68% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.6% vs 10.4%, A/E 1.27) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well beyond 3m (17.8%, n=45). The record reads poorly in Class 3 — 2.6% over 39 rides, 7.8pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Larry Looby (IRE) — 5 wins from 9 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2017→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 626 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 626 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 May 2017 to 22 April 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Emma Smith-Chaston's strike rate?
- Emma Smith-Chaston has won 47 of 454 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Emma Smith-Chaston do best at?
- Sedgefield by strike rate: 12 wins from 68 rides (17.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Emma Smith-Chaston ride most for?
- Micky Hammond, with 310 rides since 2022 — 68% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (12.6%).
- What is Emma Smith-Chaston's Fair A/E?
- 1.17, from 452 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.