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Trainer profile

Brian Rothwell

259 runners in the last 5 seasons · 26 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–259
Wins / Runs
2.3%
Strike rate
n=259
21 (8%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=257 · 0.71 incl. margin
−152.75
£1 level stake
n=259 at SP · −59.0%
£65,328
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 259 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Faye McManoman: 2.6% from 116
The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (6.3%, n=32), clear of the yard's 2.3% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.53 and −103.75 to a £1 stake over 114 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Faye McManoman rides 45% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (2.6%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (14.3%, n=42) and off a 0-7-day break (9.7%, n=31). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 69 runners (0% strike, −69.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Tinseltown (GB) — 8 wins from 78 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.3
n=44 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −44.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.3
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.3
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −2.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.8%−0.5
n=114 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −103.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 14.3% vs 2.3% · n=42
Off a 0-7-day break 9.7% vs 2.3% · n=31
At Southwell (AW) 6.3% vs 2.3% · n=32
On Good to Firm going 5.7% vs 2.3% · n=53
In Class 5 5.3% vs 2.3% · n=76
On Good going 0% vs 2.3% · n=69
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 226 6 2.7% −119.75
Hurdle 15 0 0% −15.00
Chase 9 0 0% −9.00
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 90 2 2.2% −43.00
Good 69 0 0% −69.00
Good to Firm 53 3 5.7% −16.75
Good to Soft 25 1 4% −2.00
Soft 20 0 0% −20.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 54 0 0% −54.00
Beverley 49 2 4.1% −15.50
Southwell (AW) 32 2 6.3% +15.00
Catterick 22 0 0% −22.00
Redcar 15 0 0% −15.00
Ripon 13 0 0% −13.00
Thirsk 11 0 0% −11.00
Sedgefield 8 0 0% −8.00
Wetherby 8 0 0% −8.00
Pontefract 7 0 0% −7.00
Doncaster 7 0 0% −7.00
Carlisle 7 1 14.3% −4.25
Market Rasen 4 0 0% −4.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Musselburgh 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 147 2 1.4% −87.00
Class 5 76 4 5.3% −29.75
Class 4 32 0 0% −32.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.53 −3.25
2nd–3rd fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
4th–6th fav 44 2 4.5% 1.13 −23.50
7th+ in betting 201 3 1.5% 1.20 −118.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Opal Storm (GB)from Chris Fairhurst 40 6 11 10 Oct 26
Rajawail (GB) 33 0 1 15 Oct 26
Wath Court (GB)then Philip Kirby 27 0 1 24 Oct 25
Turbulent Power (GB)then Philip Kirby 23 0 7 15 May 23
Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)from Neil Mechie 16 0 0 15 Oct 26
Stonegate (GB) 16 0 0 9 May 26
Gloryella (GB)from Ruth Carr 16 0 1 20 Sep 22
Selby's Joy (GB)from Tony Coyle 10 0 0 26 Aug 25
Turkish Tiger (GB) 9 0 0 8 Nov 24
Raja Charger (GB) 7 0 0 25 Jul 26
Cherry Tree Dawn (GB) 7 0 0 31 May 25
Lady's Charm (GB) 7 0 0 5 Nov 24
All 26 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 26 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Philip Kirby (2); 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000430444600
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderFaye McManoman
45% of all rides
2.6% SR · A/E 1.11
RiderRWSR£1
Faye McManoman 116 3 2.6% −43.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
22
Archived wins
£211k
Prize money
2012
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rose Marmara (GB) — 5th Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Catterick · Jul 2018 · Class 4
£6,728
Rose Marmara (GB) — Subscribe To Racing Uk On Youtube Handicap Catterick · Aug 2018 · Class 5
£5,111
Rose Marmara (GB) — Millbry Hill Handicap Catterick · May 2018 · Class 5
£5,111
Notable horses
Tinseltown (GB) Opal Storm (GB) Rose Marmara (GB) Lady Norlela (GB) Sirius Star (GB) Celtic Blaze (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rajasinghe (IRE) 0% · 0–47
Progeny have won 12.8% of 760 runs since 2008 (60 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.9% from 327. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 9.3% from 140.
Massaat (IRE) 0% · 0–44
Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,200 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.5% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.8% from 131.
Hot Streak (IRE) 15% · 6–40
Progeny have won 8% of 1,753 runs since 2008 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.7% from 780. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 153.
Power (GB) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,720 runs since 2008 (195 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.3% from 353. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.3% from 160.
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Proconsul (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 8.4% of 346 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,143 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,143 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rajawail (GB)J: Faye McManoman Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 200/1
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Faye McManoman Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 250/1
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Opal Storm (GB)J: Faye McManoman Pilsner To The Post Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 12/1
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rajawail (GB)J: Faye McManoman bettingsites.co.uk Each Way Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 500/1
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Opal Storm (GB)J: Faye McManoman Bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 12/1
02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Faye McManoman Armah Switchgear Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 200/1
02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Rajawail (GB)J: Faye McManoman Henry Malone 1926 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 500/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Laura Coughlan Mwh Treatment Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 250/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Rajawail (GB)J: Laura Coughlan Esh Stantec Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 300/1
22 Sep 26 Beverley Opal Storm (GB)J: Tom Eaves Eddie And Violet Smith Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 200/1
17 Sep 26 Ayr Opal Storm (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Brandinghub For Signs & Graphics Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 1st 22/1
09 Sep 26 Carlisle Opal Storm (GB)J: Tom Eaves Deanta Fire Door Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 16/1
08 Sep 26 Catterick Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Shay Farmer Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 125/1
03 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Faye McManoman Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 125/1
26 Aug 26 Catterick Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Faye McManoman Berber Leather Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 5th 300/1
24 Aug 26 Musselburgh Opal Storm (GB)J: Faye McManoman Ocean Scotland Outdoor Advertising Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 9/1
19 Aug 26 Carlisle Rajawail (GB)J: Faye McManoman North Lakes Energy - Harry Doyle Memorial Maiden Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 125/1
16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Wats On Tiger (GB)J: Faye McManoman LNAA Critical Care Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 500/1
13 Aug 26 Beverley Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Faye McManoman Racing Again On Saturday 29 August Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 250/1
13 Aug 26 Beverley Opal Storm (GB)J: Faye McManoman Connexin Super Fast Sprint Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brian Rothwell's strike rate?
Brian Rothwell has won 6 of 259 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Brian Rothwell do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 runners (6.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Brian Rothwell?
Faye McManoman, with 116 runners since 2022 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (2.6%).
Is Brian Rothwell in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Brian Rothwell's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 257 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).