Francois-Xavier Bertras
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.28). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (185 rides). Rode mostly for F Rohaut — 55% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at La Teste De Buch (8.3% over 48 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 25.4% (n=185, Fair A/E 1.36), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 11% (n=418, Fair A/E 1.43). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 16.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.43 and +19.20 to a £1 stake over 320 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. F Rohaut supplied 55% of the rides and edges the rider's average (21% vs 16.8%, A/E 1.38) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well at trips under 6f (25%, n=32). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 8.8% over 34 rides, 8pts below the baseline. 54 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Grand Handicap de Deauville at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2015, £36,434). The standout partner of the record was Roero (FR) — 7 wins from 21 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 16.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,196 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,196 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 May 2005 to 16 December 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Francois-Xavier Bertras's strike rate?
- Francois-Xavier Bertras has won 190 of 1,131 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 16.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Francois-Xavier Bertras do best at?
- Cagnes-Sur-Mer by strike rate: 14 wins from 67 rides (20.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Francois-Xavier Bertras ride most for?
- F Rohaut, with 619 rides since 2008 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 130 (21%).
- What is Francois-Xavier Bertras's Fair A/E?
- 1.28, from 920 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.