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Trainer profile

Patrik Olave Valdivielso

69 runners in the last 5 seasons · 37 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2022
13–69
Wins / Runs
18.8%
Strike rate
n=69
29 (42%)
Placed
1.18
Fair A/E
n=69 · 0.96 incl. margin
−9.81
£1 level stake
n=69 at SP · −14.2%
£347k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
22.4%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−18.8
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.5%−9.3
n=21 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −16.25
Debutants · first career start
18.8%+0.0
n=16 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +3.60
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−18.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−18.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
40%
n=15 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −1.99
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−18.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+1.2
n=20 · A/E 2.34 · £1 +3.68

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Aurelien Lemaitre 27% vs 18.8% · n=37
With a new jockey booking 11.4% vs 18.8% · n=35
In Flat races 18.8% vs 18.8% · n=69 · A/E 1.18
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 22 4 18.2% +3.25
Soft 20 2 10% −15.25
Standard (AW) 11 2 18.2% −1.50
Good 8 2 25% +3.38
Heavy 7 3 42.9% +1.31
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Toulouse (FR) 11 2 18.2% −6.25
La Teste De Buch (FR) 9 1 11.1% −6.62
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 7 4 57.1% +17.23
Longchamp (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Chantilly (FR) 6 3 50% +12.50
Deauville (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Lyon Parilly (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Vichy (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Pau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Mans (FR) 2 2 100% +3.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Dax (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Craon (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 23 4 17.4% +0.68
Class 2 7 4 57.1% +2.03
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 7 41.2% 1.15 −1.74
2nd–3rd fav 16 3 18.8% 1.08 −0.17
4th–6th fav 18 3 16.7% 1.89 +10.10
7th+ in betting 18 0 0% 0.00 −18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
My Calyx Cen (IRE) 5 2 2 4 Oct 26
Mr Lope Cen (IRE)from H-F Devin 4 1 1 5 Oct 26
Blue Blossom Cen (IRE) 3 1 3 11 Nov 26
Spanish Breeze Cen (IRE)from Mme Victoria Head 3 0 1 11 Nov 26
Darius Cen (FR)from Mme Victoria Head 3 0 3 8 Nov 26
Lady Falcon Cen (IRE)from Mme V Head 3 1 2 28 Oct 26
Spanish Nation Cen (IRE) 3 0 0 21 Oct 26
Grandpa Cen (IRE) 3 2 2 14 Oct 26
Sir Tommy Cen (IRE)from Mme Victoria Head 3 0 1 3 Oct 26
Dancing Eagle Cen (FR) 3 1 1 28 Sep 26
Another Rose (SPA) 3 0 1 28 Oct 25
Portalma (IRE) 3 0 0 18 May 23
All 37 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 37 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J-C Rouget (8) and Mme Victoria Head (7); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·05010000002732130
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAurelien Lemaitre
54% of all rides
27% SR · A/E 1.39
RiderRWSR£1
Aurelien Lemaitre 37 10 27% +6.44
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
13
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£353k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 13 wins
My Calyx Cen (IRE) — Prix Sigy (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Apr 2026 · Group 3
£31,826
Habibi (FR) — Derby Du Languedoc - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage Toulouse (FR) · Oct 2026 · Listed
£25,150
Grandpa Cen (IRE) — Grand Prix Anjou Bretagne - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage Nantes (FR) · Oct 2026 · Listed
£23,799
Notable horses
My Calyx Cen (IRE) Grandpa Cen (IRE) Golden Lyon Cen (IRE) Mr Lope Cen (IRE) Dancing Eagle Cen (FR) Blue Blossom Cen (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Calyx (GB) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 13.4% of 1,525 runs since 2023 (175 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.3% from 172. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.9% from 111.
Frankel (GB) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 18% of 7,548 runs since 2016 (883 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 271.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,244 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.
Persian King (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.6% of 953 runs since 2024 (167 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 294.
Churchill (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11% of 4,853 runs since 2021 (462 horses).
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 72 · newest first

The latest 50 of 72 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 November 2018 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Knuckle (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix Jerome Rambaud12f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 5/1
11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Grecian Comet (FR)J: Jean-Bernard Eyquem Prix Fille De L'air (Group 3)10.5f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 14/1
11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Spanish Breeze Cen (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Ville De Toulouse12f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 9/2
11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Blue Blossom Cen (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Criterium Du Languedoc - Prix Bernard De Marmiesse8f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 15/8F
11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Winnie Cen (IRE)J: Hugo Mouesan Prix Des Animateurs Pmu8f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 14/1
11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Clementina Cen (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Des Animateurs Pmu8f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 3/1
08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Darius Cen (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Tantieme8f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 12/1
05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Golden Lyon Cen (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Croix D'anleuClass 2 · 6.5f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 2/5F
29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Imperial Me Cen (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Chapeau RougeClass 1 · 7f · Heavy · 5 ran 5th 6/4F
28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Lady Falcon Cen (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Du Salon Du Cheval D'angers (Prix D'yvre-l'eveque)8f · Heavy · 14 ran 1st 5/4F
26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Graswang (FR)J: Hugo Mouesan Prix De La Cote Pavee10f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 2/1F
26 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Nalon River (FR)J: Jean-Bernard Eyquem Criterium De Provence - Prix Lucien Planard10f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 13/2
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Spanish Nation Cen (IRE)J: Hugo Mouesan Prix De Billere7f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 7/1
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Desiree Du Fraisse (FR)J: Jean-Bernard Eyquem Prix De Billere7f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 5/4F
21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Spanish Breeze Cen (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Londe7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 15/8F
20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Boomslang (FR)J: Hugo Mouesan Prix De Floirac9.5f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 7/2
16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Tomtit (FR)J: Jean-Bernard Eyquem Coupe Des Poulains Et Des PoulichesClass 2 · 8f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 6/4F
14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Grandpa Cen (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Grand Prix Anjou Bretagne - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage8f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 100/30
13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Idole Du Fraisse (FR)J: Jean-Bernard Eyquem Prix Djarvis6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 6/1
09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Habibi (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Derby Du Languedoc - Fonds Europeen De L'elevageClass 1 · 12f · Very Soft · 7 ran 1st 5/4J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrik Olave Valdivielso's strike rate?
Patrik Olave Valdivielso has won 13 of 69 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 18.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Patrik Olave Valdivielso in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Patrik Olave Valdivielso's Fair A/E?
1.18, from 69 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).