Gaetan Olivier
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 17% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (31 rides). Rode mostly for Francois Nicolle — 61% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (9.9% over 101 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.6% (n=31, Fair A/E 1.65), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 7.7% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.04). Francois Nicolle supplied 61% of the rides and edges the rider's average (20.8% vs 17.1%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Chase races (21.9%, n=96). The record read poorly in Class 1 — 7.7% over 39 rides, 9.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.52 across 102 rides (12.7% strike, −12.90 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Du President De La Republique Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Apr 2012, £84,375).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 17.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 211 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 211 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 April 2005 to 8 October 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Gaetan Olivier's strike rate?
- Gaetan Olivier has won 35 of 205 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 17.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Gaetan Olivier do best at?
- Enghien (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 56 rides (17.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Gaetan Olivier ride most for?
- Francois Nicolle, with 125 rides since 2008 — 61% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (20.8%).
- What is Gaetan Olivier's Fair A/E?
- 1.02, from 163 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.