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Jockey profile

Gaetan Olivier

205 rides in the lifetime window · 96 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2017 97% of rides over jumps
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
35–205
Wins / Runs
17.1%
Strike rate
n=205
73 (36%)
Placed
1.02
n=163 · 1.06 incl. margin
+31.30
£1 level stake
n=193 at SP · +16.2%
£1.30m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 17% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (31 rides). Rode mostly for Francois Nicolle — 61% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 205 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 20% 38.2% when favourite Francois Nicolle: 20.8% from 125 LTO winners: 22.6% Rode the favourite in 17% of races
The read

It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (9.9% over 101 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.6% (n=31, Fair A/E 1.65), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 7.7% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.04). Francois Nicolle supplied 61% of the rides and edges the rider's average (20.8% vs 17.1%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Chase races (21.9%, n=96). The record read poorly in Class 1 — 7.7% over 39 rides, 9.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.52 across 102 rides (12.7% strike, −12.90 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Du President De La Republique Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Apr 2012, £84,375).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
16.7%−0.4
n=96 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +23.90
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
22.6%+5.5
n=31 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +11.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
20%+2.9
n=75 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −8.30
When favourite
38.2%
n=34 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +7.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
10.3%−6.8
n=58 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +1.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.7%−9.4
n=39 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −7.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 1 7.7% vs 17.1% · n=39
In Group / Graded races 7.7% vs 17.1% · n=39
At Auteuil (FR) 9.9% vs 17.1% · n=101
On Heavy going 11.6% vs 17.1% · n=69
In Chase races 21.9% vs 17.1% · n=96
In Hurdle races 12.7% vs 17.1% · n=102
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 102 13 12.7% −12.90
Chase 96 21 21.9% +49.20
Flat 7 1 14.3% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 119 19 16% +24.30
Heavy 69 8 11.6% −15.80
Good to Soft 11 6 54.5% +22.20
Good 6 2 33.3% +0.60

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 101 10 9.9% −24.50
Enghien (FR) 56 10 17.9% +35.70
Pau 18 3 16.7% −3.20
Bordeaux Le Bouscat 5 0 0% −5.00
Toulouse 4 2 50% +11.90
Dax 3 0 0% −2.00
Pompadour 3 1 33.3% +1.80
La Teste De Buch 3 1 33.3% −2.00
Fontainebleau 1 1 100% +0.60
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Agen 1 0 0% −1.00
Chateaubriant 1 1 100% +3.20
Clairefontaine 1 0 0% −1.00
Angers 1 1 100% +0.80
Vichy 1 1 100% +14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 39 3 7.7% −7.90

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 36 14 38.9% 1.10 +7.50
2nd–3rd fav 54 9 16.7% 0.74 +11.00
4th–6th fav 62 5 8.1% 1.02 −14.10
7th+ in betting 41 3 7.3% 1.85 +26.90
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.3% completed · 198 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 96 74% 9 3 12 0 1
Hurdle 102 84.3% 4 0 9 0 3
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Quart Monde (FR) 17 4 8 18 May 14
Numero Un (FR) 10 4 5 10 May 13
Golden Chop (FR) 9 2 5 31 Oct 13
Starnice (FR) 7 3 4 9 Jul 13
Tirelarigot I (FR) 7 1 4 26 Jun 12
Day Gets Up (FR) 6 1 1 4 May 14
Munight (FR) 5 1 1 3 Oct 13
Ninive (FR) 5 1 4 3 Apr 12
Winner Des Places (FR) 4 1 1 25 Apr 14
Sidi Bouknadel (FR) 4 0 0 24 Nov 13
Llanes (USA) 4 0 0 8 Apr 13
Royale Bird (FR) 3 0 1 8 Oct 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 96 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1411252361125672613429
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
61% of all rides
20.8% SR · A/E 1.10
TrainerRWSR£1
Francois Nicolle 125 26 20.8% +48.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
37
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£1.34m
Prize money
2012
Best season · 14 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Quart Monde (FR) — Prix Du President De La Republique (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2012 · Grade 3
£84,375
Quart Monde (FR) — Prix Montgomery (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2011 · Grade 3
£67,888
Ninive (FR) — Prix Spumate (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Enghien (FR) · Mar 2012
£39,375

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Network (GER) 17.4% · 4–23
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,769 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 275.
Muhaymin (USA) 21.1% · 4–19
Progeny have won 10.6% of 662 runs since 2010 (100 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.1% from 113.
Martaline (GB) 40% · 4–10
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,347 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Saint Des Saints (FR) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 15% of 5,359 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Soave (GER) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 7.9% of 910 runs since 2010 (109 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.9% from 203.
Poliglote (GB) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 211 · newest first

The latest 50 of 211 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 April 2005 to 8 October 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Aug 15 Vichy Pillard (FR)T: L Cadot Prix DHuriel (Hurdle)17.5f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 1st 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gaetan Olivier's strike rate?
Gaetan Olivier has won 35 of 205 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 17.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gaetan Olivier do best at?
Enghien (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 56 rides (17.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Gaetan Olivier ride most for?
Francois Nicolle, with 125 rides since 2008 — 61% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (20.8%).
What is Gaetan Olivier's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 163 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).