No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 6.5%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.7%−1.9
n=27 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −18.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
50%+44.4
n=2 · A/E 4.33 · £1 +6.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−5.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.5%+0.9
n=31 · A/E 1.62 · £1 −13.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
11.1%+5.5
n=9 · A/E 2.94 · £1 +0.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)1200%−12.00
Good to Firm10220%+7.50
Good700%−7.00
Firm300%−3.00
Good to Soft300%−3.00
Soft100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW)600%−6.00
Brighton4125%+4.50
Haydock300%−3.00
Bath300%−3.00
Salisbury300%−3.00
Southwell (AW)200%−2.00
Chelmsford (AW)200%−2.00
Warwick2150%+7.00
Beverley100%−1.00
Wolverhampton (AW)100%−1.00
Catterick100%−1.00
Ripon100%−1.00
Redcar100%−1.00
Chepstow100%−1.00
Folkestone100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 62229.1%−4.50
Class 51000%−10.00
Class 4200%−2.00
Class 7200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav3133.3%3.04+6.00
4th–6th fav10110%1.66−1.50
7th+ in betting2300%0.00−23.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f1218.3%−3.00
1m2f – 1m4f1000%−10.00
6f – 7f9111.1%−0.50
Under 6f300%−3.00
1m5f – 2m200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081200%−12.00
200920210%−2.50
2011400%−4.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps2926.9%−11.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners1119.1%−2.50
8-10 runners1000%−10.00
14-16 runners9111.1%+0.00
5-7 runners600%−6.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 27 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00003300000·0
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Annes Rocket (IRE) — Play Blackjack At Totesportcasino.com Handicap Brighton · May 2009 · Class 6
£2,461
Annes Rocket (IRE) — Knowle Apprentice Handicap Warwick · May 2009 · Class 6
Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.
Noverre (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.
Pursuit of Love (GB)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 6.7% of 929 runs since 2008 (74 horses).
Docksider (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.6% of 569 runs since 2008 (42 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13% from 123.
Grand Lodge (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,359 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 250. Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 182.
Bien Bien (USA)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 12.8% of 180 runs since 2008 (16 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 38 archived runs · newest first
Every one of Gemma Elford's 38 archived rides, from 28 November 2007 to 13 April 2011, newest first — 2 winners among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Gemma Elford's strike rate?
Gemma Elford has won 2 of 36 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Gemma Elford's Fair A/E?
1.35, from 36 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Gemma Elford·SR 5.6%·A/E 1.35
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