What is Nicky Vaughan's strike rate?

Nicky Vaughan has won 33 of 456 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nicky Vaughan do best at?

Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 runners (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Nicky Vaughan?

Luke Morris, with 119 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (8.4%).

What is Nicky Vaughan's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 456 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Nicky Vaughan

456 runners in the lifetime window · 75 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Sep 2013 97% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

33–456

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=456

94 (21%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=456 · 0.80 incl. margin

−143.08

£1 level stake

n=456 at SP · −31.4%

£150k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 9% (32 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 456 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Jul Luke Morris: 8.4% from 119

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2% (n=100, Fair A/E 0.29). Luke Morris rode 26% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.4%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well off a 8-14-day break (16%, n=75). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 66 runners, 7.2pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Supercast (IRE) — 5 wins from 34 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2%−5.2

n=100 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −69.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.7%−3.5

n=27 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −22.00

Debutants · first career start

2.7%−4.5

n=37 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −34.38

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.4%+2.2

n=32 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +11.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−7.2

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

When favourite

38.9%

n=18 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +5.42

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.3%−3.9

n=92 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −58.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.2

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 27.3% vs 7.2% · n=33

Off a 8-14-day break 16% vs 7.2% · n=75

Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 7.2% · n=66

With claiming riders up 3.3% vs 7.2% · n=92

With C&D winners 11.6% vs 7.2% · n=43

With debutants 2.7% vs 7.2% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 441 33 7.5% −128.08

Hurdle 10 0 0% −10.00

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 214 17 7.9% −73.33

Good to Firm 100 10 10% +0.00

Good 65 3 4.6% −48.25

Good to Soft 34 1 2.9% −17.00

Soft 25 0 0% −25.00

Firm 12 2 16.7% +26.50

Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 140 11 7.9% −52.33

Haydock 35 1 2.9% −20.00

Kempton (AW) 33 3 9.1% −0.50

Southwell (AW) 21 1 4.8% −10.00

Doncaster 20 1 5% −13.50

Chester 18 0 0% −18.00

Lingfield (AW) 17 2 11.8% −7.50

Bath 12 2 16.7% +26.50

Carlisle 12 0 0% −12.00

Warwick 11 0 0% −11.00

Ayr 11 3 27.3% +14.00

Leicester 11 2 18.2% +5.00

Nottingham 10 0 0% −10.00

Chepstow 9 1 11.1% +17.00

Redcar 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 211 18 8.5% −50.96

Class 6 181 10 5.5% −72.62

Class 4 47 4 8.5% −17.50

Class 3 8 1 12.5% +7.00

Class 7 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 23 8 34.8% 1.26 +4.92

2nd–3rd fav 89 10 11.2% 0.79 −29.00

4th–6th fav 133 9 6.8% 0.96 −27.00

7th+ in betting 211 6 2.8% 0.91 −92.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Supercast (IRE)from Mark Brisbourne 34 5 12 24 Sep 10

Gee Major (GB) 22 3 6 22 Aug 12

Faith Jicaro (IRE)from Lisa Williamson · then Rachel Hobbs 18 0 3 7 Feb 11

Inde Country (GB) 17 1 3 9 Apr 12

Rio L'Oren (IRE) 14 1 3 30 Jun 09

Omid (GB)from Tony Coyle · then Evelyn Slack 12 1 2 5 Jun 13

One For The Girls (GB) 11 0 0 19 Feb 13

Tigerbill (GB) 11 0 1 4 Oct 12

Cavendish Road (IRE)from William Muir 11 1 2 22 Jun 12

Questionnaire (IRE) 10 2 2 4 May 12

New England (GB)from Frank Sheridan 10 0 2 12 Aug 10

Theonebox (USA)from M J Wallace · then N P Moore 10 1 3 30 Jun 09

The 60 most-raced of 75 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Lisa Williamson (3) and Michael Dods (3); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

33 have since run for another yard, most often for Tom Dascombe (16) and Tim Pitt (3); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

3710438155113117

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLuke Morris

26% of all rides
8.4% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

Luke Morris 119 10 8.4% −42.08

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

Archived wins

£177k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 14 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Mondovi (GB) — Harvey Nichols Handicap Haydock · May 2008 · Class 3

£10,167

Supercast (IRE) — Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Nov 2008 · Class 4

£5,181

Mr Macattack (GB) — Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Feb 2009 · Class 4

£4,857

Notable horses

Supercast (IRE) Iron Step (GB) Gee Major (GB) Lilac Moon (GER) Mr Macattack (GB) Maryolini (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Alhaarth (IRE) 14.7% · 5–34

Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).

Reset (AUS) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,388 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12% from 208.

Dubawi (IRE) 28.6% · 6–21

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,918 runs since 2008 (1,517 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

One Cool Cat (USA) 0% · 0–19

Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,592 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.4% from 605.

Indesatchel (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 8% of 1,391 runs since 2008 (106 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.9% from 171.

Captain Rio (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 513 · newest first

The latest 50 of 513 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 June 2007 to 21 September 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Sep 13 Catterick Tropical Bachelor (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe catterickbridge.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good · 13 ran 12th 40/1

16 Sep 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Chorlton Manor (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe 32Red.com E.B.F. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 1st 5/1

07 Sep 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Chorlton Manor (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Quicksilverslots On The High Street E.b.f. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 2nd 10/1

05 Sep 13 Haydock Sea Monkey (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Betfred Salford Red Devils' Foundation E.B.F. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 66/1

31 Aug 13 Sandown Sir Maximilian (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Betfred Goals Galore HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd 12/1

28 Aug 13 Carlisle Captain Myles (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe British Stallion Studs E.B.F. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 20/1

18 Aug 13 Pontefract Chorlton Manor (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe British Stallion Studs E.b.f. Trevor Woods Memorial Maiden StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 25/1

17 Aug 13 Doncaster Sir Maximilian (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Joc Murray Memorial HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 8th 11/2

12 Aug 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Captain Myles (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Download Our Iphone App Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 16/1

12 Jul 13 Chester An Cat Dubh (IRE)J: Luke Morris Lindop Toyota HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 16/1

09 Jul 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Youhavecontrol (IRE)J: Adam Kirby Follow Us On Twitter At BetVictorRacing HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 33/1

17 Jun 13 Carlisle Youhavecontrol (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Watch Racing UK On Sky 432 Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 50/1

05 Jun 13 Southwell (AW) Omid (GB)J: Andrea Atzeni Download The BetVictor App Now HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 10/1

03 Jun 13 Chepstow Youhavecontrol (IRE)J: Martin Harley Bathwick Tyres Cardiff HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 16th 10/1

27 May 13 Carlisle Youhavecontrol (IRE)J: P J McDonald 32Red.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 16/1

22 May 13 Southwell (AW) Captain Cavallo (GB)J: Luke Morris 25 Free Bet At BetVictor.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 50/1

06 May 13 Bath Captain Cavallo (GB)J: Noel Garbutt Bathwick Tyres Swindon HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Firm · 14 ran 13th 66/1

26 Apr 13 Doncaster Youhavecontrol (IRE)J: James Doyle 32Red On The App Store Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th 25/1

07 Mar 13 Southwell (AW) Captain Cavallo (GB)J: Luke Morris 32RedBet.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 20/1

05 Mar 13 Southwell (AW) Omid (GB)J: Luke Morris 32Red Casino HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nicky Vaughan's strike rate?: Nicky Vaughan has won 33 of 456 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nicky Vaughan do best at?: Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 runners (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nicky Vaughan?: Luke Morris, with 119 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (8.4%).
What is Nicky Vaughan's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 456 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.