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Trainer profile

Michael Blake

312 runners in the last 5 seasons · 32 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
29–312
Wins / Runs
9.3%
Strike rate
n=312
67 (22%)
Placed
1.11
Fair A/E
n=312 · 0.95 incl. margin
−41.72
£1 level stake
n=312 at SP · −13.4%
£279k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
18.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (45 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 312 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jul Claiming riders: 11.1%
The read

The record is strongest at Windsor (22.9%, n=35), clear of the yard's 9.3% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.68). The yard also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (18.6%, n=43) and in Hurdle races (14.9%, n=74). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 1.3% over 80 runners, 8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Pick A Little (GB) — 9 wins from 72 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.8%−5.5
n=52 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −30.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.3
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4%−5.3
n=25 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
23.1%
n=13 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −3.72
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.1%+1.8
n=45 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +17.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Windsor 22.9% vs 9.3% · n=35
With C&D winners 17.8% vs 9.3% · n=90
On Standard (AW) going 1.3% vs 9.3% · n=80
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 18.6% vs 9.3% · n=43
At Wolverhampton (AW) 0% vs 9.3% · n=30
In Hurdle races 14.9% vs 9.3% · n=74
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 229 18 7.9% −47.25
Hurdle 74 11 14.9% +14.53
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 91 12 13.2% +2.03
Standard (AW) 80 1 1.3% −68.00
Good to Firm 62 8 12.9% +20.75
Good to Soft 31 3 9.7% +5.50
Soft 31 4 12.9% +8.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Firm 5 1 20% +2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Windsor 35 8 22.9% +31.75
Kempton (AW) 31 1 3.2% −19.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 30 0 0% −30.00
Bath 26 2 7.7% −8.00
Newton Abbot 24 8 33.3% +29.03
Salisbury 23 4 17.4% +25.50
Chepstow 19 0 0% −19.00
Leicester 16 2 12.5% −5.50
Newbury 14 0 0% −14.00
Lingfield (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Southwell (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Taunton 8 1 12.5% −2.50
Wincanton 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Exeter 7 0 0% −7.00
Brighton 6 1 16.7% +20.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 118 6 5.1% −43.00
Class 4 84 10 11.9% +10.28
Class 5 83 9 10.8% −12.00
Class 3 21 4 19% +9.00
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 3 18.8% 0.75 −6.72
2nd–3rd fav 61 10 16.4% 0.98 −9.00
4th–6th fav 92 8 8.7% 1.06 −20.00
7th+ in betting 143 8 5.6% 1.86 −6.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Under The Twilight (GB)from Tom Ward 39 7 14 1 Oct 26
Mr Zee (IRE) 39 6 13 1 Feb 26
We're Reunited (IRE)from Ronald Harris 38 2 11 2 Sep 25
Clearance (GB)from Iain Jardine 31 6 8 7 May 25
Happy Chandler (GB)from Owen Burrows 21 1 5 28 Sep 26
Eagle Court (IRE)from Tom Ward 16 1 3 27 Nov 24
Hello Zabeel (IRE)from Charlie Fellowes 14 0 0 11 Mar 25
Love Dreams (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 12 2 3 21 Dec 22
Bounty Pursuit (GB)from Michael Appleby 9 1 1 18 Nov 22
Arctic Voyage (GB)from Iain Jardine 7 3 4 17 Oct 26
Forever My Prince (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton 7 0 0 23 Sep 26
Snow Eagle (GB) 7 0 0 2 Sep 24
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Pipe (3) and Tom Ward (3); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
70419151711104400
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMarco Ghiani
10% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 0.67
RiderRWSR£1
Marco Ghiani 31 2 6.5% −20.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
157
Archived wins
£945k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 17 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Coole Cody (IRE) — Martin & Co Jewellers Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cheltenham · Nov 2017 · Class 3
£12,512
Clearance (GB) — Don't Miss The Newton Abbot Country Show Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Jun 2024 · Class 3
£9,849
Arctic Voyage (GB) — Gordon Rowe Memorial Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Jul 2026 · Class 3
£7,922
Notable horses
Pick A Little (GB) Mr Zee (IRE) Bounty Pursuit (GB) Under The Twilight (GB) Clearance (GB) Doubly Clever (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Twilight Son (GB) 17.9% · 7–39
Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,643 runs since 2008 (281 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.6% from 613.
Zebedee (GB) 15.4% · 6–39
Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2008 (435 horses).
Kodiac (GB) 5.3% · 2–38
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,541 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Authorized (IRE) 19.4% · 6–31
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,021 runs since 2008 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Al Kazeem (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.8% of 1,262 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.2% from 127. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7% from 415.
Free Eagle (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,399 runs since 2008 (189 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.2% from 130.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,467 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,467 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 February 2006 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Arctic Voyage (GB)J: Rex Dingle Konsileo Local Award Winning Commercial Insurer Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 7th 15/2
01 Oct 26 Salisbury Under The Twilight (GB)J: Luke Morris Sandown Kia Salisbury Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 40/1
28 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Happy Chandler (GB)J: Harry Reed Jodie Standing's Point-to-point Recruits Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 20/1
23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Forever My Prince (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 12th 40/1
18 Sep 26 Newbury Military Air (GB)J: Rossa Ryan Fitzdares Handicap Stakes (Div II) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 7th 80/1
07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Arctic Voyage (GB)J: Harry Reed Par Inn Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 7/2
07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Happy Chandler (GB)J: Harry Reed Race Against Waste Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 4th 28/1
01 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Forever My Prince (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Free Tips On Attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 4/1
29 Aug 26 Windsor Under The Twilight (GB)J: Harry Davies Total Task Consultancy Take The Reins Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 7/2
25 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Viennetta (GB)J: William Carson Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 150/1
17 Aug 26 Windsor Under The Twilight (GB)J: Harry Davies #Matchbook Loves Racing Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 7/2
30 Jul 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Viennetta (GB)J: William Carson Book To Stay- Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 80/1
29 Jul 26 Goodwood Under The Twilight (GB)J: Harry Davies Coral Charlton Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 26 ran 2nd 13/2
22 Jul 26 Worcester Happy Chandler (GB)J: Harry Reed Colin Jones Memorial Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div II)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 40/1
13 Jul 26 Windsor Under The Twilight (GB)J: Harry Davies Fitzdares Sprint Series HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 1st 6/1
03 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Arctic Voyage (GB)J: Harry Reed Gordon Rowe Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 1st 17/2
23 Jun 26 Newbury Forever My Prince (GB)J: Charles Bishop Jebel Ali Racecourse HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th 11/1
13 Jun 26 Leicester Happy Chandler (GB)J: Joe Leavy Heather Small Live At LeicesterRaces Saturday 4th July HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 10 ran 10th 17/2
13 Jun 26 Leicester Under The Twilight (GB)J: Liam Wright SignFab Celebrating 25 Years HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 4th 3/1
03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Arctic Voyage (GB)J: Harry Reed Clearance Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 18/5

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Blake's strike rate?
Michael Blake has won 29 of 312 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Blake do best at?
Windsor by strike rate: 8 wins from 35 runners (22.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Michael Blake in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Michael Blake's Fair A/E?
1.11, from 312 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).