What is Joao Moreira's strike rate?

Joao Moreira has won 17 of 95 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 17.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Joao Moreira do best at?

Happy Valley by strike rate: 11 wins from 40 rides (27.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Joao Moreira ride most for?

C Fownes, with 74 rides since 2022 — 78% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (17.6%).

What is Joao Moreira's Fair A/E?

1.44, from 71 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Joao Moreira

95 rides in the last 5 seasons · 67 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 82 days ago 99% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

17–95

Wins / Runs

17.9%

Strike rate

n=95

32 (34%)

Placed

1.44

Fair A/E

n=71 · 1.18 incl. margin

+8.90

£1 level stake

n=71 at SP · +12.5%

£1.99m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

19.1%

KTB at a glance C Fownes: 17.6% from 74 First rides: 19.4%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

19.4%+1.5

n=67 · A/E 1.84 · £1 +19.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.2%+0.3

n=11 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −6.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

25%+7.1

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

37.5%

n=16 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +2.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.1%−8.8

n=33 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −5.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.7%−1.2

n=6 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +0.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Happy Valley 27.5% vs 17.9% · n=40

Over 6f – 7f 11.8% vs 17.9% · n=51

At Sha Tin 13% vs 17.9% · n=46

With first-time headgear 21.2% vs 17.9% · n=33

On Good going 20% vs 17.9% · n=50

On first rides for the horse 19.4% vs 17.9% · n=67 · A/E 1.84

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 94 17 18.1% +8.90

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 50 10 20% +4.80

Good to Firm 21 5 23.8% +12.10

Good to Soft 17 2 11.8% −2.00

Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sha Tin 46 6 13% +3.10

Happy Valley 40 11 27.5% +13.80

Ascot 6 0 0% −6.00

York 1 0 0% −1.00

Deauville (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 25 3 12% −11.30

Class 3 21 5 23.8% +22.50

Class 5 9 2 22.2% −2.40

Class 2 7 0 0% −6.00

Class 1 6 1 16.7% +0.60

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 16 6 37.5% 1.29 +2.00

2nd–3rd fav 18 4 22.2% 1.52 +5.40

4th–6th fav 21 3 14.3% 1.77 +3.00

7th+ in betting 16 1 6.3% 1.36 −1.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sky Deep (AUS) 3 0 1 15 Jul 26

Target Audience (NZ) 3 1 2 8 Jul 26

Jumbo Blessing (AUS) 3 1 1 8 Jul 26

Tang Heart (AUS) 3 0 2 4 Jul 26

Elegant Life (AUS) 3 1 2 27 Jun 26

Satono Reve (JPN) 2 0 1 22 Aug 26

Pejibaye (NZ) 2 0 1 15 Jul 26

Perfect Triumph (AUS) 2 0 1 15 Jul 26

Joy Of Spring (AUS) 2 0 0 8 Jul 26

Charming Legend (AUS) 2 0 1 8 Jul 26

Dancing Classics (AUS) 2 1 1 8 Jul 26

Quartz Legend (AUS) 2 0 0 8 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 67 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

····2919160····

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardC Fownes

78% of all rides
17.6% SR · A/E 1.37

TrainerRWSR£1

C Fownes 74 13 17.6% +1.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.16m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 17 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Beauty Joy (AUS) — Premier Plate (Handicap) (Course A) (Turf) Sha Tin (HK) · Jun 2026 · Group 3

£224,214

Dancing Classics (AUS) — Breakaway Handicap Happy Valley · Jul 2026

£150,470

Family Jewel (NZ) — The General Association Of Hong Kong Heyuan Societies Cup (Course B) (Handicap) (Turf) Sha Tin (HK) · May 2026 · Class 3

£109,438

Notable horses

Elegant Life (AUS) Jumbo Blessing (AUS) Target Audience (NZ) Sky Cap (AUS) Audacious Pursuit (NZ) Family Jewel (NZ)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Deep Field (AUS) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 8.6% of 105 runs since 2026 (41 horses).

Derryn (AUS) 50% · 2–4

Progeny have won 18.2% of 11 runs since 2026 (6 horses). A small sample.

Smart Missile (AUS) 50% · 2–4

Progeny have won 21.4% of 14 runs since 2026 (6 horses). A small sample.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,231 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,200.

Capitalist (AUS) 66.7% · 2–3

Progeny have won 8.5% of 82 runs since 2023 (35 horses).

Exceed And Excel (AUS) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 111 · newest first

The latest 50 of 111 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 September 2005 to 22 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Aug 26 York Satono Reve (JPN)T: Noriyuki Hori Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 12/1

16 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Strauss (JPN)T: Ryo Takei The Aga Khan Studs Prix Jacques Le Marois (group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 66/1

15 Jul 26 Happy Valley (HK) Bottomuptogether (AUS)T: F C Lor Lucky Patch Handicap6f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 4th 5.1

15 Jul 26 Happy Valley (HK) Somelovefromabove (AUS)T: C Fownes Encountered Handicap8f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 5th 3F

15 Jul 26 Happy Valley (HK) Perfect Triumph (AUS)T: C Fownes Super Oasis Handicap6f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 33

15 Jul 26 Happy Valley (HK) Pejibaye (NZ)T: C Fownes Star Shine Handicap6f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 2.6F

15 Jul 26 Happy Valley (HK) Sky Deep (AUS)T: C Fownes Sweet Orange Handicap8f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 7.2

15 Jul 26 Happy Valley (HK) Kyrus Treasure (NZ)T: D Eustace Turin Warrior Handicap9f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 1st 3F

15 Jul 26 Happy Valley (HK) I Am Back (AUS)T: C Fownes Fast Most Furious Handicap6f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 7th 11

15 Jul 26 Happy Valley (HK) Fashion Legend (AUS)T: D Eustace Silver Grecian Handicap8f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 1st 11

12 Jul 26 Sha Tin Daily AcclaimT: C Fownes Medic Kingdom Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —

12 Jul 26 Sha Tin Daily TrophyT: C Fownes Mr Award Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 11th —

12 Jul 26 Sha Tin Monarch CountyT: C Fownes All You Wish Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th —

12 Jul 26 Sha Tin Sky Vino (AUS)T: C Fownes Sight Winner Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th —

12 Jul 26 Sha Tin Sagacious LifeT: C Fownes The Hong Kong Racehorse Owners Association Trophy (Handicap)8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th —

12 Jul 26 Sha Tin So You WillT: C Fownes Solar Hei Hei Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —

12 Jul 26 Sha Tin Silver SpursT: C Fownes Victory Marvel Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th —

08 Jul 26 Happy Valley Target Audience (NZ)T: C Fownes Penalty Shootout Handicap6f · Good · 12 ran 2nd —

08 Jul 26 Happy Valley Joy Of Spring (AUS)T: C Fownes Hat Trick Handicap9f · Good · 12 ran 5th —

08 Jul 26 Happy Valley Dancing Classics (AUS)T: C Fownes Breakaway Handicap5f · Good · 12 ran 1st —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joao Moreira's strike rate?: Joao Moreira has won 17 of 95 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 17.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joao Moreira do best at?: Happy Valley by strike rate: 11 wins from 40 rides (27.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Joao Moreira ride most for?: C Fownes, with 74 rides since 2022 — 78% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (17.6%).
What is Joao Moreira's Fair A/E?: 1.44, from 71 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.