A S Cruz
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them. Debutants are a strength: 9% on first career starts (53 runs).
The record is strongest at Happy Valley (8.6%, n=58), clear of the yard's 4.5% baseline. Debutants strike at 9.4% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.50), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.00). Angus Chung rides 49% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (2.7%, A/E 0.50). The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (7.8%, n=51). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the The Hong Kong Racehorse Owners Association Trophy at Sha Tin (Jul 2026, £329,659).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2026→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 154 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 154 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 May 2026 to 4 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is A S Cruz's strike rate?
- A S Cruz has won 7 of 154 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does A S Cruz do best at?
- Happy Valley by strike rate: 5 wins from 58 runners (8.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for A S Cruz?
- Angus Chung, with 75 runners since 2022 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.7%).
- What is A S Cruz's Fair A/E?
- 0.57, from 69 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.