Joe Williamson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (77 rides). Rides mostly for Philip Kirby — 59% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Uttoxeter (0% over 33 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24.7% (n=77, Fair A/E 1.05), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=178, Fair A/E 0.72). Philip Kirby supplies 59% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.4%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (40%, n=35) and in Chase races (17.4%, n=144). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 1.2% over 86 rides, 7.3pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Clean Getaway (IRE) — 8 wins from 45 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 943 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 943 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 March 2016 to 14 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Nov 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Joe Williamson's strike rate?
- Joe Williamson has won 80 of 943 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Joe Williamson do best at?
- Southwell by strike rate: 6 wins from 44 rides (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Joe Williamson ride most for?
- Philip Kirby, with 557 rides since 2008 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 58 (10.4%).
- Is Joe Williamson in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Joe Williamson's Fair A/E?
- 0.98, from 942 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.