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Trainer profile

Patrick Neville

425 runners in the last 5 seasons · 63 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Won yesterday Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
72–425
Wins / Runs
16.9%
Strike rate
n=425
143 (34%)
Placed
1.43
Fair A/E
n=423 · 1.23 incl. margin
+89.16
£1 level stake
n=425 at SP · +21.0%
£945k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
21.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, winning with 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.43).

Deterministic profile computed from 425 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 54.3% when favourite Brian Hughes: 28.1% from 114 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 8.4% (n=83, Fair A/E 0.88). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 10.7% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.22 and +16.49 to a £1 stake over 121 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Brian Hughes rides 27% of the entries and beats the yard's average (28.1% vs 16.9%, A/E 1.59) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (26%, n=50). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 9.5% over 84 runners, 7.4pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Brown Advisory Novices' Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2023, £102,095). The stable star of the record: Upfordebate (IRE) — 7 wins from 23 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.7%−6.2
n=121 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +16.49
New recruits · first run for the yard
14.7%−2.2
n=34 · A/E 1.82 · £1 +8.33
Debutants · first career start
13.3%−3.6
n=30 · A/E 1.63 · £1 +0.33
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4%−12.9
n=25 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −18.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
14.3%−2.6
n=14 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +16.50
When favourite
54.3%
n=35 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +9.48
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.4%−8.5
n=83 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −38.94
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.7%−6.2
n=28 · A/E 1.46 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 31.3% vs 16.9% · n=67
With Brian Hughes 28.1% vs 16.9% · n=114
With C&D winners 29.2% vs 16.9% · n=48
With claiming riders up 8.4% vs 16.9% · n=83
Over 2m5f – 3m 26% vs 16.9% · n=50
On Good to Soft going 9.5% vs 16.9% · n=84
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 235 34 14.5% +17.28
Chase 102 24 23.5% +20.95
Flat 57 11 19.3% +65.43
NH Flat 31 3 9.7% −14.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 235 47 20% +86.08
Good to Soft 84 8 9.5% −23.34
Soft 73 12 16.4% +1.07
Good to Firm 14 3 21.4% −6.15
Standard (AW) 14 2 14.3% +36.50
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Perth 94 18 19.1% +32.96
Catterick 60 10 16.7% −8.95
Sedgefield 55 13 23.6% −14.33
Kelso 20 4 20% −0.25
Cheltenham 19 3 15.8% +12.00
Wetherby 16 2 12.5% −5.50
Carlisle 14 2 14.3% −3.17
Hexham 13 4 30.8% +48.70
Ayr 11 1 9.1% −4.00
Market Rasen 10 0 0% −10.00
Newcastle (AW) 10 1 10% +31.00
Doncaster 10 0 0% −10.00
Newcastle 9 2 22.2% −4.30
Southwell 8 1 12.5% −6.00
Ripon 7 3 42.9% +16.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 184 32 17.4% +27.61
Class 5 115 18 15.7% −16.42
Class 3 46 9 19.6% +1.62
Class 1 34 3 8.8% −8.00
Class 2 25 4 16% +29.50
Class 6 21 6 28.6% +54.85

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 40 21 52.5% 1.52 +12.06
2nd–3rd fav 127 32 25.2% 1.41 +22.60
4th–6th fav 146 14 9.6% 1.28 −2.50
7th+ in betting 112 5 4.5% 1.61 +57.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.2% completed · 337 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 102 78.4% 3 3 16 0 0
Hurdle 235 88.1% 4 3 21 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cosmic Soul (IRE)from James Horton 23 5 10 7 Oct 26
Upfordebate (IRE) 23 7 8 4 Oct 26
Tanking Along (IRE) 19 4 8 15 Oct 26
The Real Whacker (IRE) 19 5 7 23 Sep 26
Morandi Second (FR)from M Brasme 19 1 8 7 Jun 26
Byron Hill (IRE)from Richard Hughes 18 1 8 6 Jun 26
Here Comes Georgie (GB)then Dylan Cunha 18 6 9 17 Sep 25
Myfavouritesister (IRE) 17 0 2 26 Jul 26
Precious Spartan (IRE)from Nigel Tinkler 13 3 4 14 Sep 26
The Last Cloud (IRE) 12 3 5 24 Sep 26
Ailt An Chorrain (IRE) 12 2 4 7 Jun 26
Fusain (FR)from Ann Duffield 12 2 3 5 Mar 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 63 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ann Duffield (6) and Dr Richard Newland (3); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Dylan Cunha (3) and R Mike Smith (3); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
4 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
818187191542322351323
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderBrian Hughes
27% of all rides
28.1% SR · A/E 1.59
RiderRWSR£1
Brian Hughes 114 32 28.1% +30.65
Henry Brooke 53 9 17% +26.53
Gavin Sheehan 31 4 12.9% −7.37
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
106
Archived wins
6
Pattern / graded wins
£1.51m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 27 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
The Real Whacker (IRE) — Brown Advisory Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Broadway Novices' Chase) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2023 · Grade 1
£102,095
The Real Whacker (IRE) — bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Wetherby · Nov 2024 · Grade 2
£56,950
The Real Whacker (IRE) — Paddy Power Novices' Chase (Registered As The Dipper Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Jan 2023 · Grade 2
£31,323
Notable horses
Upfordebate (IRE) Here Comes Georgie (GB) Cosmic Soul (IRE) The Real Whacker (IRE) Rightville Boy (IRE) Tanking Along (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 23.8% · 10–42
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Soldier Of Fortune (IRE) 11.1% · 4–36
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,811 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 20.8% · 5–24
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,931 runs since 2008 (1,110 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 452. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Kingston Hill (GB) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,627 runs since 2008 (203 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 164.
Mount Nelson (GB) 30.4% · 7–23
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,257 runs since 2008 (538 horses).
Magna Grecia (IRE) 19% · 4–21
Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,466 runs since 2008 (170 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.4% from 169.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,097 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,097 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 December 2007 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Pontefract Longshanks Luke (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Happy 80th Birthday William 'bill' Carr Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 17/2
18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Going On (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Mw Civils & Groundworks Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 5th 6/4F
15 Oct 26 Perth Cockle Bay Wharf (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Racing Tv Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 4 ran 3rd 25/1
15 Oct 26 Perth Tanking Along (IRE)J: Brian Hughes RacingTV, Home Of Live Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 4/1
15 Oct 26 Perth Fearless Dragon (GB)J: Brian Hughes Join Racing TV Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 12/1
10 Oct 26 York Alfred Wincham (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 11/4F
10 Oct 26 Hexham Medieval Gold (GB)J: Brian Hughes Tackling Insights Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 3/1
07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Cosmic Soul (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 5/1
04 Oct 26 Kelso Upfordebate (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Scottish Racing Academy Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good To Firm · 3 ran 1st 5/4F
29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Tanking Along (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 4 ran 1st 3/1
24 Sep 26 Perth Medieval Gold (GB)J: Brian Hughes Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 4th 9/1
24 Sep 26 Perth Upfordebate (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Equine Products UK Best Turned Out Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 1st 8/1
24 Sep 26 Perth The Last Cloud (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Christmas Party Nights At Perth Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 13/8F
24 Sep 26 Perth Datstheholyallofit (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Saltire Hospitality EBF Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (EBF Mares' Nh Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 1st 11/2
23 Sep 26 Perth The Real Whacker (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow David Whitaker Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 1st 9/2
23 Sep 26 Perth Try Them (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Bet With The Dewhurst Ring Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 9/1
23 Sep 26 Perth Dolly Dior (GB)J: Brian Hughes Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran PU 9/1
19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Tickets (GB)J: Cian Horgan Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 11/2
16 Sep 26 Kelso Going On (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Join Racing TV For Free Now Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 5/2
14 Sep 26 Thirsk Precious Spartan (IRE)J: Joanna Mason Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 9th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Neville's strike rate?
Patrick Neville has won 72 of 425 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Neville do best at?
Sedgefield by strike rate: 13 wins from 55 runners (23.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Patrick Neville?
Brian Hughes, with 114 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (28.1%).
Is Patrick Neville in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Patrick Neville's Fair A/E?
1.43, from 423 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).