Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.13).
Deterministic profile computed from 208 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceJohn Kington: 5.9% from 51Claiming riders: 6.7%
The read
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.00). John Kington rides 25% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.9%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 5 (9.4%, n=106) and on Soft going (10.2%, n=49). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 50 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Matmata de Tendron (FR) — 10 wins from 69 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.3
n=56 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −56.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.3
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.1%+1.8
n=14 · A/E 2.57 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −1.12
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.7%+1.4
n=104 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −39.12
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Conor Rabbitt15.2% vs 5.3% · n=33
In Flat races0% vs 5.3% · n=50
In Class 60% vs 5.3% · n=46
In Class 59.4% vs 5.3% · n=106
On Soft going10.2% vs 5.3% · n=49
With Joe Williamson0% vs 5.3% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle10187.9%−32.62
Flat5000%−50.00
Chase3139.7%−15.00
NH Flat2600%−26.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good6822.9%−53.50
Good to Soft5335.7%−21.50
Soft49510.2%−17.12
Standard (AW)1800%−18.00
Good to Firm1100%−11.00
Heavy9111.1%−2.50
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield2713.7%−20.50
Catterick2700%−27.00
Wetherby2613.8%−21.50
Newcastle2300%−23.00
Market Rasen23313%+2.38
Hexham1500%−15.00
Carlisle12325%+5.50
Newcastle (AW)1000%−10.00
Southwell7228.6%+8.50
Ripon500%−5.00
Musselburgh500%−5.00
Wolverhampton (AW)400%−4.00
Southwell (AW)400%−4.00
Kelso300%−3.00
Beverley300%−3.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 5106109.4%−26.62
Class 44712.1%−42.00
Class 64600%−46.00
Class 3700%−7.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite5120%0.65−2.12
2nd–3rd fav19526.3%1.70+5.50
4th–6th fav5435.6%1.00−31.00
7th+ in betting13021.5%0.88−96.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f7468.1%−37.00
1m5f – 2m6534.6%−37.12
2m5f – 3m2328.7%−3.50
1m2f – 1m4f1400%−14.00
6f – 7f1300%−13.00
Under 6f700%−7.00
1m – 1m1f600%−6.00
Over 3m600%−6.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20226023.3%−52.62
20234924.1%−39.00
20243725.4%−21.50
202534514.7%+17.50
20262800%−28.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps154117.1%−69.62
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners7256.9%−30.00
11-13 runners6123.3%−36.50
5-7 runners4948.2%−31.12
14-16 runners1900%−19.00
17+ runners400%−4.00
2-4 runners300%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 32 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John C McConnell (4); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.
2 have since run for another yard; 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
09121246000040
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
66
Archived wins
£500k
Prize money
2012
Best season · 13 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Racemaker (GB) — Racing UK Straight Mile Series Handicap Redcar · Aug 2018 · Class 3
£9,704
Ornella Speed (FR) — At The Races Tip Top Mares' Only Handicap Chase Hexham · Nov 2005 · Class 4
£6,610
Lady Babs (GB) — Blackwell Mares' Handicap Hurdle Carlisle · Mar 2025 · Class 5
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,271 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 960. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 864. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 723.
Dansili (GB)0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 1,881 · newest first
The latest 50 of 1,881 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 14 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Andrew Crook's strike rate?
Andrew Crook has won 11 of 208 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Andrew Crook?
John Kington, with 51 runners since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.9%).
Is Andrew Crook in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Andrew Crook's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 205 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Andrew Crook·SR 5.3%·A/E 1.13
KTB
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