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Jockey profile

Kai Lenihan

47 rides in the last 5 seasons · 28 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2024 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2022
8–47
Wins / Runs
17%
Strike rate
n=47
14 (30%)
Placed
1.44
Fair A/E
n=47 · 1.25 incl. margin
−0.67
£1 level stake
n=47 at SP · −1.4%
£52,541
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 18.2%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
18.5%+1.5
n=27 · A/E 1.61 · £1 +3.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
50%+33.0
n=6 · A/E 2.40 · £1 +9.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10%−7.0
n=10 · A/E 1.47 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
18.2%+1.2
n=44 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +2.33
Big fields · 14+ runners
14.3%−2.7
n=7 · A/E 2.31 · £1 −1.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Kim Bailey 22.9% vs 17% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 44 7 15.9% −2.17
Chase 3 1 33.3% +1.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 19 4 21.1% +2.33
Soft 12 1 8.3% −4.00
Good to Soft 11 3 27.3% +6.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Bangor-on-Dee 5 1 20% +3.00
Market Rasen 4 1 25% −0.50
Warwick 4 1 25% +4.50
Worcester 4 0 0% −4.00
Exeter 4 1 25% +0.33
Southwell 3 0 0% −3.00
Taunton 3 2 66.7% +6.50
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 3 1 33.3% +1.50
Ludlow 2 1 50% +6.00
Hereford 2 0 0% −2.00
Ffos Las 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield 1 0 0% −1.00
Leicester 1 0 0% −1.00
Huntingdon 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 23 4 17.4% +1.50
Class 5 20 4 20% +1.83
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 1 14.3% 0.49 −3.50
2nd–3rd fav 10 4 40% 2.15 +10.83
4th–6th fav 16 3 18.8% 2.34 +6.00
7th+ in betting 14 0 0% 0.00 −14.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.7% completed · 47 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 3 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 44 77.3% 2 1 7 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gerard Mentor (FR) 12 3 5 26 Nov 23
Lady Gwen (GB) 5 2 3 21 May 24
Getaweapon (IRE) 3 1 1 12 Mar 23
Be My Sea (IRE) 2 0 0 7 Feb 24
Design Icon (GB) 2 0 0 24 Feb 23
Amico Amore (GB) 1 0 0 6 Oct 24
O'grady's Boy (IRE) 1 0 0 11 Sep 24
The Flier Begley (IRE) 1 0 0 26 Aug 24
Camilla's Choice (IRE) 1 0 0 28 Jun 24
Faerie Cutlass (GB) 1 0 1 30 May 24
Miss Maverick (GB) 1 0 0 18 Mar 24
Stony Man (IRE) 1 0 0 7 Mar 24
All 28 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000·00·00404214
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardKim Bailey
74% of all rides
22.9% SR · A/E 1.60
TrainerRWSR£1
Kim Bailey 35 8 22.9% +11.33
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
9
Archived wins
£71,011
Prize money
2022
Best season · 6 wins
Seaston Spirit (GB) — Walters Handicap Hurdle Ffos Las · Nov 2020 · Class 3
£5,913
Gerard Mentor (FR) — Racing TV Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Ludlow · Nov 2022 · Class 4
£5,337
I Spy A Diva (GB) — Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Taunton · Nov 2022 · Class 4
£5,119
Notable horses
Gerard Mentor (FR) Lady Gwen (GB) Getaweapon (IRE) Seaston Spirit (GB) Rocky's Treasure (IRE) I Spy A Diva (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Policy Maker (IRE) 25% · 3–12
Progeny have won 9% of 1,249 runs since 2010 (144 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.5% from 199. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.7% from 127.
Haafhd (GB) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 10.9% of 4,752 runs since 2008 (305 horses).
Getaway (GER) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,994 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Schiaparelli (GER) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 12% of 1,835 runs since 2015 (203 horses).
Sageburg (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10% of 3,488 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,980 runs since 2013 (1,118 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 457. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 102 · newest first

The latest 50 of 102 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 December 2017 to 6 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Oct 24 Uttoxeter Amico Amore (GB)T: Gary Hanmer Lin Sargeant Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran UR 200/1
11 Sep 24 Worcester O'grady's Boy (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Les Ballard A Lifetime Of Laughter Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 11 ran PU 250/1
26 Aug 24 Cartmel The Flier Begley (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Wicks Waste Management Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 21f · Heavy · 6 ran 6th 18/1
28 Jun 24 Bangor-on-Dee Camilla's Choice (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Horseradish Catering & Events Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 13 ran PU 16/1
30 May 24 Ffos Las Faerie Cutlass (GB)T: Kim Bailey Evelyn Maisie Kent Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 8/1
21 May 24 Huntingdon Lady Gwen (GB)T: Kim Bailey Winners Choose My Pension Expert Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran PU 10/1
18 Mar 24 Southwell Miss Maverick (GB)T: Gary Hanmer Try The Racing App This Afternoon Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 5 ran F 50/1
07 Mar 24 Carlisle Stony Man (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Racing TV 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys' And Amateur Riders')Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 12 ran PU 50/1
28 Feb 24 Bangor-on-Dee Over Milk Wood (GB)T: Gary Hanmer Ruabon Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 125/1
07 Feb 24 Sedgefield Be My Sea (IRE)T: Daniel Bourne Betting.Bet Free Members Club Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 27f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 28/1
06 Feb 24 Taunton Halligator (FR)T: Kim Bailey Free Racing On Monday 11th March Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 16 ran 10th 12/1
27 Jan 24 Uttoxeter Be My Sea (IRE)T: Daniel Bourne Brit Direct Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 80/1
19 Dec 23 Fakenham Lady Gwen (GB)T: Kim Bailey Win An ITV7 Jackpot For Free Mares' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 5/2
15 Dec 23 Doncaster Mikhailovich (IRE)T: Kim Bailey Yates Drywall Ltd Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 5/1
11 Dec 23 Lingfield Moonlighter (GB)T: Kim Bailey Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 13/8F
07 Dec 23 Market Rasen Lady Gwen (GB)T: Kim Bailey Discover What's Trending At Rhino.Bet Casino Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 11/4
02 Dec 23 Bangor-on-Dee Pipers Cross (IRE)T: Robbie Llewellyn Yorton's 'Postponed' Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 15/8F
26 Nov 23 Exeter Gerard Mentor (FR)T: Kim Bailey Daa Racing To Save Lives Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 7/1
23 Nov 23 Market Rasen Lady Gwen (GB)T: Kim Bailey Pertemps Network Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/2J
16 Nov 23 Taunton Lady Gwen (GB)T: Kim Bailey Jeremy Parsons 60th Birthday Celebration Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 1st 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kai Lenihan's strike rate?
Kai Lenihan has won 8 of 47 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 17% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Kai Lenihan's Fair A/E?
1.44, from 47 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).