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Trainer profile

Louise Allan

148 runners in the last 5 seasons · 26 individual horses
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 21 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
7–148
Wins / Runs
4.7%
Strike rate
n=148
26 (18%)
Placed
0.82
n=148 · 0.70 incl. margin
−89.29
£1 level stake
n=148 at SP · −60.3%
£59,862
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.82).

Deterministic profile computed from 148 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.7
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.7
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.7
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +1.38
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−4.7
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 9.7% vs 4.7% · n=31
In Class 6 8.3% vs 4.7% · n=72
With a new jockey booking 1.3% vs 4.7% · n=77
In Class 5 2.2% vs 4.7% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 97 6 6.2% −42.29
Hurdle 33 1 3% −29.00
NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00
Chase 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 70 4 5.7% −48.62
Good 35 1 2.9% −6.00
Good to Soft 19 2 10.5% −10.67
Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 37 2 5.4% −30.62
Fakenham 10 0 0% −10.00
Huntingdon 10 0 0% −10.00
Lingfield (AW) 9 1 11.1% −2.50
Warwick 9 0 0% −9.00
Kempton (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Southwell 7 0 0% −7.00
Newcastle (AW) 5 1 20% +3.50
Bath 5 2 40% +28.33
Yarmouth 5 0 0% −5.00
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Windsor 4 0 0% −4.00
Market Rasen 4 0 0% −4.00
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 72 6 8.3% −17.29
Class 5 45 1 2.2% −41.00
Class 4 28 0 0% −28.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 2 40% 1.14 +1.38
2nd–3rd fav 16 4 25% 1.57 +7.33
4th–6th fav 46 0 0% 0.00 −46.00
7th+ in betting 81 1 1.2% 0.62 −52.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bond Spirit (GB) 42 3 10 22 Jan 26
Harry The Norseman (GB)from Paul Webber 10 1 3 14 Sep 24
Easter Sundae (GB)then John Wainwright 9 0 0 8 May 23
Realms Of Fire (GB)from Caroline Fryer 8 0 0 22 Nov 22
Order Of Progress (GB)from Tom Lacey 6 0 0 14 Feb 25
Induro De Fontaine (FR) 6 1 4 15 Nov 23
Aris De Crat (GB)from Rebecca Menzies 6 0 0 14 Jun 23
Ifyouhaveaplan (GB) 5 0 0 1 Oct 26
Callmesusie (IRE)from Jack Teal 5 0 0 6 Apr 26
Apache Canyon (IRE)from Michael Wigham 3 0 0 19 Jun 25
All 26 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 26 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive; 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
500151600011000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Dylan Hogan 29 4 13.8% +14.88
Darragh Keenan 13 0 0% −13.00
Jack Quinlan 11 0 0% −11.00
Robert Havlin 7 0 0% −7.00
Joanna Mason 6 0 0% −6.00
Shane Quinlan 6 0 0% −6.00
Richie McLernon 5 0 0% −5.00
Ben Sanderson 4 0 0% −4.00
J M Quinlan 4 0 0% −4.00
Marco Ghiani 4 1 25% +0.33
Christian Howarth 4 0 0% −4.00
Jamie Hamilton 3 1 33.3% +1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
15
Archived wins
£122k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Different Drum (GB) — Ladies Night 4th July Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) Carlisle · Apr 2026 · Class 5
£3,829
Hard Toffee (IRE) — Book Tickets At chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Handicap (Div 1) Chelmsford City (AW) · Dec 2018 · Class 6
£3,493
Bond Spirit (GB) — Betuk Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Classified Stakes Southwell (AW) · Jan 2023 · Class 6
£3,402

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Monsieur Bond (IRE) 7.1% · 3–42
Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,979 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Sea The Moon (GER) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 12.1% of 4,555 runs since 2008 (502 horses).
Norse Dancer (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,800 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 278. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 207.
Polish Power (GER) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 0% of 17 runs since 2008 (2 horses). A small sample.
Malinas (GER) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,946 runs since 2008 (419 horses).
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,849 runs since 2008 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 370 · newest first

The latest 50 of 370 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 February 2005 to 6 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Louise Allan's strike rate?
Louise Allan has won 7 of 148 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Louise Allan do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 37 runners (5.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Louise Allan's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 148 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 27 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).