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Jockey profile

Kai Lenihan

102 rides in the lifetime window · 60 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2024 95% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
9–102
Wins / Runs
8.8%
Strike rate
n=102
20 (20%)
Placed
1.20
Fair A/E
n=102 · 1.03 incl. margin
−38.67
£1 level stake
n=102 at SP · −37.9%
£71,011
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.20).

Deterministic profile computed from 102 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance First rides: 10% Claiming: 9.1%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10%+1.2
n=60 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −12.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
50%+41.2
n=8 · A/E 2.85 · £1 +24.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.3%−0.5
n=24 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +1.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.1%+0.3
n=99 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −35.67
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.3%−4.5
n=23 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −17.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Kim Bailey 22.9% vs 8.8% · n=35
Over 1m5f – 2m 13.5% vs 8.8% · n=37
On Good going 11.8% vs 8.8% · n=34
In Hurdle races 10.3% vs 8.8% · n=78 · A/E 1.30
On first rides for the horse 10% vs 8.8% · n=60 · A/E 1.39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 78 8 10.3% −19.17
Chase 12 1 8.3% −7.50
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00
Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 34 4 11.8% −12.67
Soft 27 2 7.4% −2.00
Good to Soft 19 3 15.8% −2.00
Heavy 13 0 0% −13.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Huntingdon 9 0 0% −9.00
Warwick 7 1 14.3% +1.50
Taunton 7 2 28.6% +2.50
Worcester 6 0 0% −6.00
Bangor-on-Dee 5 1 20% +3.00
Exeter 5 1 20% −0.67
Hereford 5 0 0% −5.00
Uttoxeter 5 0 0% −5.00
Stratford 4 0 0% −4.00
Wincanton 4 0 0% −4.00
Market Rasen 4 1 25% −0.50
Doncaster 4 1 25% +0.50
Southwell 3 0 0% −3.00
Lingfield (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Ffos Las 3 1 33.3% +14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 47 4 8.5% −22.50
Class 5 41 4 9.8% −19.17
Class 3 10 1 10% +7.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 1 12.5% 0.46 −4.50
2nd–3rd fav 14 4 28.6% 1.78 +6.83
4th–6th fav 25 4 16% 2.26 +14.00
7th+ in betting 55 0 0% 0.00 −55.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.8% completed · 90 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 12 75% 0 0 2 0 1
Hurdle 78 78.2% 2 2 13 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gerard Mentor (FR) 12 3 5 26 Nov 23
Lady Gwen (GB) 5 2 3 21 May 24
Neil The Legend (GB) 4 0 1 10 Mar 21
Getaweapon (IRE) 3 1 1 12 Mar 23
Cheng Gong (GB) 3 0 2 26 Dec 21
Sackett (GB) 3 0 0 26 Dec 21
Rainbow Storm (FR) 3 0 0 23 Mar 21
Worth Knowing (IRE) 3 0 0 10 Mar 21
Givehimhisdew (IRE) 3 0 0 9 Mar 21
Be My Sea (IRE) 2 0 0 7 Feb 24
Design Icon (GB) 2 0 0 24 Feb 23
Realms Of Fire (GB) 2 0 1 22 Nov 22
All 60 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000000018305
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardKim Bailey
34% of all rides
22.9% SR · A/E 1.60
TrainerRWSR£1
Kim Bailey 35 8 22.9% +11.33
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
9
Archived wins
£71,011
Prize money
2022
Best season · 6 wins
Seaston Spirit (GB) — Walters Handicap Hurdle Ffos Las · Nov 2020 · Class 3
£5,913
Gerard Mentor (FR) — Racing TV Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Ludlow · Nov 2022 · Class 4
£5,337
I Spy A Diva (GB) — Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Taunton · Nov 2022 · Class 4
£5,119
Notable horses
Gerard Mentor (FR) Lady Gwen (GB) Getaweapon (IRE) Seaston Spirit (GB) Rocky's Treasure (IRE) I Spy A Diva (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Policy Maker (IRE) 25% · 3–12
Progeny have won 9% of 1,260 runs since 2010 (145 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.4% from 204. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.7% from 128.
Haafhd (GB) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 10.9% of 4,753 runs since 2008 (305 horses).
Midnight Legend (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,312 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Passing Glance (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,587 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.
Getaway (GER) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,056 runs since 2016 (1,035 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,215 runs since 2010 (928 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 102 · newest first

The latest 50 of 102 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 December 2017 to 6 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Oct 24 Uttoxeter Amico Amore (GB)T: Gary Hanmer Lin Sargeant Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran UR 200/1
11 Sep 24 Worcester O'grady's Boy (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Les Ballard A Lifetime Of Laughter Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 11 ran PU 250/1
26 Aug 24 Cartmel The Flier Begley (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Wicks Waste Management Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 21f · Heavy · 6 ran 6th 18/1
28 Jun 24 Bangor-on-Dee Camilla's Choice (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Horseradish Catering & Events Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 13 ran PU 16/1
30 May 24 Ffos Las Faerie Cutlass (GB)T: Kim Bailey Evelyn Maisie Kent Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 8/1
21 May 24 Huntingdon Lady Gwen (GB)T: Kim Bailey Winners Choose My Pension Expert Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran PU 10/1
18 Mar 24 Southwell Miss Maverick (GB)T: Gary Hanmer Try The Racing App This Afternoon Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 5 ran F 50/1
07 Mar 24 Carlisle Stony Man (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Racing TV 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys' And Amateur Riders')Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 12 ran PU 50/1
28 Feb 24 Bangor-on-Dee Over Milk Wood (GB)T: Gary Hanmer Ruabon Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 125/1
07 Feb 24 Sedgefield Be My Sea (IRE)T: Daniel Bourne Betting.Bet Free Members Club Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 27f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 28/1
06 Feb 24 Taunton Halligator (FR)T: Kim Bailey Free Racing On Monday 11th March Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 16 ran 10th 12/1
27 Jan 24 Uttoxeter Be My Sea (IRE)T: Daniel Bourne Brit Direct Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 80/1
19 Dec 23 Fakenham Lady Gwen (GB)T: Kim Bailey Win An ITV7 Jackpot For Free Mares' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 5/2
15 Dec 23 Doncaster Mikhailovich (IRE)T: Kim Bailey Yates Drywall Ltd Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 5/1
11 Dec 23 Lingfield Moonlighter (GB)T: Kim Bailey Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 13/8F
07 Dec 23 Market Rasen Lady Gwen (GB)T: Kim Bailey Discover What's Trending At Rhino.Bet Casino Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 11/4
02 Dec 23 Bangor-on-Dee Pipers Cross (IRE)T: Robbie Llewellyn Yorton's 'Postponed' Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 15/8F
26 Nov 23 Exeter Gerard Mentor (FR)T: Kim Bailey Daa Racing To Save Lives Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 7/1
23 Nov 23 Market Rasen Lady Gwen (GB)T: Kim Bailey Pertemps Network Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/2J
16 Nov 23 Taunton Lady Gwen (GB)T: Kim Bailey Jeremy Parsons 60th Birthday Celebration Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 1st 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kai Lenihan's strike rate?
Kai Lenihan has won 9 of 102 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Kai Lenihan's Fair A/E?
1.20, from 102 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).