Karl Martin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.80). Rode mostly for Alex Fracas — 65% of rides in the window.
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.1% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.33). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 8.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.93 and +19.00 to a £1 stake over 101 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Alex Fracas supplied 65% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.8%, A/E 1.89) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well over 1m – 1m1f (12.8%, n=39). The record read poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 5.6% over 36 rides, 3.8pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 128 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 128 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 June 2009 to 23 December 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Karl Martin's strike rate?
- Karl Martin has won 12 of 128 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Karl Martin do best at?
- Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 74 rides (8.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Karl Martin ride most for?
- Alex Fracas, with 83 rides since 2008 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.8%).
- What is Karl Martin's Fair A/E?
- 1.80, from 117 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.