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Trainer profile

P Van De Poele

133 runners in the last 5 seasons · 18 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2024 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–133
Wins / Runs
3%
Strike rate
n=133
20 (15%)
Placed
0.46
Fair A/E
n=133 · 0.39 incl. margin
−74.50
£1 level stake
n=133 at SP · −56.0%
£163k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.46).

Deterministic profile computed from 133 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 3.3%
The read

The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.24 across 65 runners (1.5% strike, −55.70 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Dollar Casino Barriere de Montreux at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2007, £50,068). The stable star of the record: Dalstar (FR) — 7 wins from 47 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.3%+0.3
n=30 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −15.90
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−3.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.3%+11.3
n=7 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +2.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 4.5% vs 3% · n=67 · A/E 0.56
Off a 15-30-day break 1.5% vs 3% · n=65 · A/E 0.24
At Deauville (FR) 3.9% vs 3% · n=76 · A/E 0.65
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 102 3 2.9% −52.80
Good to Soft 13 1 7.7% −3.70
Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Good 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 76 3 3.9% −26.80
Chantilly (FR) 28 0 0% −28.00
Longchamp (FR) 12 0 0% −12.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 11 0 0% −11.00
Lyon Parilly (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Vichy (FR) 1 1 100% +8.30
Toulouse (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 7 1 14.3% +2.30

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 24 1 4.2% 0.31 −19.90
4th–6th fav 32 2 6.3% 0.79 −8.60
7th+ in betting 72 1 1.4% 0.52 −41.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lady Lou (FR)then G Pannier 24 1 4 26 Nov 24
Falwukair Laujac (FR)then Mme S Quere 17 1 2 18 Aug 24
Mykan (FR)then G Pannier 16 0 4 26 Nov 24
Lord Achilles (FR)then Mme Stephanie Nigge 11 2 5 23 Jun 24
Svolta (FR) 11 0 2 1 Mar 23
Cala Moli (FR)then Mme J Hendriks 10 0 0 7 Sep 24
On A Souffert (FR)then G Pannier 7 0 0 26 Nov 24
Acquamarina (FR)then Mme A Wattel 6 0 0 31 Mar 23
Spiritato (FR)then A Roussel 6 0 0 13 Mar 23
Contessa Senora (FR)from Y Barberot 5 0 1 20 Jan 23
Le Cannet (FR) 4 0 0 4 Feb 23
Grey Sensation (IRE)from G Bertrand 4 0 1 13 Apr 22
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G Bertrand (2); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for G Pannier (3); 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000000171000140
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRosario Mangione
29% of all rides
2.6% SR · A/E 0.42
RiderRWSR£1
Rosario Mangione 39 1 2.6% −24.90
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
156
Archived wins
13
Pattern / graded wins
£3.74m
Prize money
2011
Best season · 17 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Musical Way (FR) — Prix Dollar Casino Barriere de Montreux Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2007 · Group 2
£50,068
Musical Way (FR) — La Coupe de Maisons-Laffitte (Straight) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Sep 2006 · Group 3
£27,586
Musical Way (FR) — La Coupe de Maisons-Laffitte (Straight Course) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Sep 2007 · Group 3
£27,027
Notable horses
Dalstar (FR) Musical Way (FR) Aristote (GB) Lord Achilles (FR) The Captain (FR) Green Tango (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pedro The Great (USA) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,228 runs since 2008 (160 horses).
Recorder (GB) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 5.5% of 902 runs since 2008 (124 horses).
Rio De La Plata (USA) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 10.3% of 1,510 runs since 2008 (152 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 252.
Al Wukair (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,083 runs since 2008 (161 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 206.
Garswood (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,919 runs since 2008 (163 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 132.
Charm Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,812 runs since 2008 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.7% from 134. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 445.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,747 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,747 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2005 to 26 November 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) On A Souffert (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix de l'Hotel du Croissant (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 16/1
26 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Mykan (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix de l'Hotel du Croissant (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 11th 12/1
26 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix de l'Hotel du Croissant (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 42/10F
02 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix de Berd'Huis (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 15 ran 6th 20/1
02 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) On A Souffert (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix de Braudiere (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 15 ran 5th 38/1
02 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Mykan (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix de Braudiere (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 15 ran 4th 13/2
15 Oct 24 Chantilly (FR) On A Souffert (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix de l'Hotel de Vermandois (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)13.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 28/1
12 Oct 24 Chantilly (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix du Ru Popelin (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 16 ran 8th 18/1
20 Sep 24 Saint-Cloud (FR) On A Souffert (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix de l'Avenue Pyramide (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 13th 19/1
07 Sep 24 Chantilly (FR) Cala Moli (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix du Canal du Hameau (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 69/1
05 Sep 24 Longchamp (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix de l'Allee des Brouillards (Handicap) (4yo+) (Inner Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)12.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 7th 17/1
18 Aug 24 Deauville (FR) Falwukair Laujac (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Sumbe Prix de Saint-Symphorien (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 51/10
18 Aug 24 Deauville (FR) Mykan (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Sumbe Prix de Saint-Symphorien (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 81/10
08 Aug 24 Deauville (FR) Falwukair Laujac (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix de Clarbec (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Slow · 14 ran 11th 33/10
06 Jul 24 Deauville (FR) On A Souffert (FR)J: Hussain Asghar Prix Together For Racing International - Finale Ears (Handicap) (4yo+) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys)12.5f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 47/1
06 Jul 24 Deauville (FR) Falwukair Laujac (FR)J: Ertugrul Cankilic Prix Together For Racing International - Finale Ears (Handicap) (4yo+) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys)12.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 31/10
23 Jun 24 Lyon Parilly (FR) Lord Achilles (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Grand Prix de Lyon - 6th Etape du Defi du Galop () (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 7 ran 4th 83/10
26 May 24 Longchamp (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix de la Rue Cremieux (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)10.5f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 17/1
09 May 24 Longchamp (FR) Falwukair Laujac (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix du Bois du Russe (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)10.5f · Soft · 15 ran 12th 10/1
09 May 24 Longchamp (FR) Lady Lou (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix du Petit Bois (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)10.5f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Van De Poele's strike rate?
P Van De Poele has won 4 of 133 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Van De Poele do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 76 runners (3.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is P Van De Poele's Fair A/E?
0.46, from 133 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).